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BACKGROUND: Hospital Survey on Patient Safety version 2.0 (HSOSPS 2.0) from the Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality enables hospitals to gather the information needed to evaluate the patient safety culture within their institution. However, version 2.0 has not been widely implemented in Chile. This study aims to customize and validate the original HSOSPS 2.0 for a Chilean hospital. METHODS: Translation and cross-cultural adaptation, content validity through a group of experts, and a pilot test with cognitive pretest were applied to 259 participants from the nursing team in 11 hospital services to study construct validity and reliability. RESULTS: In the current study, a version of the questionnaire adapted to the Chilean cultural context showed excellent content validity with an index of 0.982 (S-CVI). After conducting exploratory factor analysis, a new model with 7 dimensions and 23 questions was proposed, down from the original 10 dimensions and 32 questions. This new model explains 71% of the variability. The model's goodness of fit indicators were CFI=0.995, TLI=0.994, and RMSEA=0.048. The results of McDonald's Omega showed high overall reliability with 0.9325. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides a validated measurement instrument that contributes to improving patient safety conditions at the level of the hospital nursing team in highly complex establishments in Chile. However, the dimensions, such as the number of items, were reduced This questionnaire can be used in future nursing research by expanding the sample among health professionals in Chile. RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE: Applying this version of the questionnaire will be highly beneficial for clinical administrators and nursing staff. It will improve their care practices and promote patient safety in public hospitals in Chile, as well as assist in enhancing nursing policies.

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Objective. This work sought to develop the Actuasalud platformas a useful tool for nursing that permits assessing health, in term of frailty, in population over 65 years of age. Methods. For the design and development of Actuasalud, two working groups were formed: one from nursing with different profiles, to identify the scientific content and a computer science group responsible for the software programming and development. Both teams adapted the scientific content to the technology so that the tool would allow for population screening with detection of health problems and frailty states. Results. The software was developed in three large blocks that include all the dimensions of frailty: a) sociodemographic variables, b) comorbidities, and c) assessment tools of autonomy-related needs that evaluate the dimensions of frailty. At the end of the evaluation, a detailed report is displayed through bar diagram with the diagnosis of each of the dimensions assessed. The assessment in the participating elderly showed that 44.7% (n = 38) of the population was considered not frail, and 55.3%; (n = 47) as frail. Regarding associated pathologies, high blood pressure (67.1%; n = 57), osteoarthritis and/or arthritis (55.3%; n = 47), diabetes (48.2%; n = 41) and falls during the last year (35.3%; n = 30) were highlighted. Conclusion.Actuasalud is an application that allows nursing professionals to evaluate frailty and issue a quick diagnosis with ordered sequence,which helps to provide individualized care to elderly individuals according to the problems detected during the evaluation.

Objetivo. Desarrollar la plataforma Actuasalud como una herramienta útil para enfermería que permita evaluar la salud, en términos de fragilidad, en población mayor de 65 años. Métodos. Para el diseño y desarrollo de Actuasalud,se constituyeron dos grupos de trabajo: uno de enfermería con diferentes perfiles para identificar el contenido científico y uno informático que se responsabilizó de la programación y desarrollo del software. Ambos equipos adaptaron el contenido científico a la tecnología de manera que la herramienta permitiese hacer un cribado poblacional con detección de problemas de salud y estados de fragilidad. Resultados. Se desarrolló el software en tres grandes bloques que incluyen todas las dimensiones de fragilidad: a) variables sociodemográficas, b) comorbilidades y c) herramientas de evaluación de necesidades relacionadas con la autonomía que evalúan las dimensiones de fragilidad. Al finalizar la evaluación, se visualiza un informe detallado mediante diagrama de barras con el diagnóstico de cada una de las dimensiones evaluadas. La evaluación en los mayores participantes mostró que el 44.7% (n = 38) de la población se consideró como no frágil, y un 55.3%; (n = 47) como frágiles. En cuanto a las patologías asociadas, destacaron hipertensión arterial (67,1 %; n = 57), artrosis y/o artritis (55.3%; n = 47), diabetes (48.2 %; n = 41) y caídas en el último año (35,3 %; n = 30). Conclusión.Actuasalud es una aplicación que permite a los profesionales de enfermería evaluar fragilidad y emitir un diagnóstico de forma ágil con secuencia ordenada que ayuda a brindar cuidados individualizados a personas mayores de acuerdo los problemas detectados en la evaluación.

Objetivo. Desenvolver a plataforma Actuasalud como uma ferramenta útil para a enfermagem que permite avaliar a saúde, em termos de fragilidade, numa população com mais de 65 anos. Métodos. Para a concepção e desenvolvimento do Actuasalud foram formados dois grupos de trabalho: um grupo de enfermagem com perfis diferentes, para identificar o conteúdo científico, e um grupo de informática que foi responsável pela programação e desenvolvimento do software. Ambas as equipas adaptaram o conteúdo científico à tecnologia para que a ferramenta permitisse o rastreio da população para detectar problemas de saúde e estados de fragilidade. Resultados. O software foi desenvolvido em três grandes blocos que incluem todas as dimensões da fragilidade: a) variáveis sociodemográficas, b) comorbidades ec) instrumentos de avaliação de necessidades relacionadas à autonomia que avaliam as dimensões da fragilidade. Ao final da avaliação é apresentado um relatório detalhado através de um diagrama de barras com o diagnóstico de cada uma das dimensões avaliadas. A avaliação nos idosos mostrou que 44.7% (n=38) da população foi considerada não frágil e 55.3%; (n=47) como frágil. Quanto às patologias associadas, destacaram-se a hipertensão arterial (67.1%; n=57), a osteoartrite e/ou artrite (55.3%; n=47), a diabetes (48.2%; n=41) e as quedas no último ano (35.3%; n=30). Conclusão. Actuasalud é um aplicativo que permite ao profissional de enfermagem avaliar a fragilidade e emitir um diagnóstico de forma ágil e com sequência ordenada que auxilia no atendimento individualizado ao idoso de acordo com os problemas detectados na avaliação.

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Objective: This work sought to develop the Actuasalud platform as a useful tool for nursing that permits assessing health, in term of frailty, in population over 65 years of age. Methods: For the design and development of Actuasalud, two working groups were formed: one from nursing with different profiles, to identify the scientific content and a computer science group responsible for the software programming and development. Both teams adapted the scientific content to the technology so that the tool would allow for population screening with detection of health problems and frailty states. Results: The software was developed in three large blocks that include all the dimensions of frailty: a: sociodemographic variables, b: comorbidities, and c: assessment tools of autonomy-related needs that evaluate the dimensions of frailty. At the end of the evaluation, a detailed report is displayed through bar diagram with the diagnosis of each of the dimensions assessed. The assessment in the participating elderly showed that 44.7% (n = 38) of the population was considered not frail, and 55.3%; (n = 47) as frail. Regarding associated pathologies, high blood pressure (67.1%; n = 57), osteoarthritis and/or arthritis (55.3%; n = 47), diabetes (48.2%; n = 41) and falls during the last year (35.3%; n = 30) were highlighted. Conclusion: Actuasalud is an application that allows nursing professionals to evaluate frailty and issue a quick diagnosis with ordered sequence, which helps to provide individualized care to elderly individuals according to the problems detected during the evaluation.

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Patient safety culture is relevant both in the delivery of care and in the training of nursing staff, its purpose being to prevent and reduce risks associated with health care. This research aims to evaluate patient safety culture from the perspective of the nursing teams in a highly complex public hospital in the city of Valparaíso, Chile. A cross-sectional study with a quantitative approach applying descriptive, bivariate, and inferential statistical analysis was conducted on 259 nurses and nursing assistants from 13 adult medical-surgical units of the Carlos Van Buren hospital. The participants were obtained through a non-probabilistic convenience sample, answering the hospital survey on Patient Safety Culture version 2.0 (HSOPS 2.0), adapted to the Chilean population. The best-evaluated dimension was communication and receptivity; the worst was the support administrators provide for patient safety. This study identified the weaknesses and strengths of the hospital, the most worrying weakness being the shortage of human capital, material, and financial resources necessary to improve patient safety. This study was not registered.

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Objetivo: Analizar la tendencia de la prevalencia de úlceras por presión en Chile y sus regiones de acuerdo con los egresos hospitalarios. Material y Método: Estudio ecológico de series temporales, que analizó la prevalencia de úlceras por presión entre 2001 y 2019. Se realizó un análisis descriptivo, bivariante y lineal de tendencias. Este último con método de autorregresión Prais Winsten, calculando el cambio porcentual anual (APC) y sus intervalos de confianza al 95% (IC-95%). Resultados: La muestra fue de 11.060 casos. El 55,2% (6.103) fueron hombres, la media de edad fue 60 años (± 27.5) y la estancia hospitalaria fue 21,80 (± 35,084) días, siendo significativamente mayor en quienes presentaban lesiones por presión (p< 0,001). Existe una tendencia creciente y significativa en la prevalencia de úlceras por presión en Chile y todas sus regiones, teniendo promedio de un 11,33% de crecimiento interanual (APC= 0,0019; IC:95%= 0,0016-0,0022). Conclusión: Los resultados no son alentadores a pesar del aumento de la notificación de medidas de prevención y estandarización en los cuidados.

Objective: To analyze the trend in the prevalence of pressure ulcers in Chile and its regions according to hospital discharges. Material and Method: Ecological time series study, which analyzed the prevalence of pressure ulcers between 2001 and 2019. A descriptive, bivariate and linear analysis of trends was carried out. The latter with the Prais Winsten auto-regression method, calculating the annual percentage change (APC) and its 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). Results: The sample was 11,060 cases. 55.2% (6,103) were men, the average age was 60 years (± 27.5) and the hospital stay was 21.80 (± 35,084) days, being significantly longer in those with pressure injuries (p< 0.001). There is a growing and significant trend in the prevalence of pressure ulcers in Chile and all its regions, with an average of 11.33% interannual growth (APC= 0.0019; 95% CI= 0.0016-0.0022). Conclusion: The results are not encouraging despite the increase in notification of prevention measures and standardization of care.

Objetivo: Analisar a tendência da prevalência de úlceras por pressão no Chile e suas regiões de acordo com as altas hospitalares. Material e Método: Estudo ecológico de série temporal, que analisou a prevalência de úlceras por pressão entre 2001 e 2019. Foi realizada análise descritiva, bivariada e linear de tendências. Este último com o método de autorregressão de Prais Winsten, calculando a variação percentual anual (APC) e seus intervalos de confiança de 95% (IC 95%). Resultados: A amostra foi de 11.060 casos. 55,2% (6.103) eram homens, a idade média foi de 60 anos (± 27,5) e o tempo de internação foi de 21,80 (± 35.084) dias, sendo significativamente maior naqueles com lesão por pressão (p< 0,001). Há uma tendência crescente e significativa na prevalência de úlceras por pressão no Chile e em todas as suas regiões, com uma média de crescimento interanual de 11,33% (APC= 0,0019; IC 95%= 0,0016-0,0022). Conclusão: Os resultados não são animadores apesar do aumento da notificação de medidas de prevenção e da padronização dos cuidados.

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Objetivo: Analizar la tendencia de las infecciones del torrente sanguíneo asociadas a la instalación de catéter venoso central en el sistema sanitario de Chile. Material y Método: Estudio ecológico, con análisis de tendencia de la prevalencia anual de las infecciones de torrente sanguíneo asociadas a instalación de catéter venoso central en los hospitales chilenos desde el año 2001 a 2019. Para el análisis univariado se utilizaron frecuencias, porcentajes, media y desviación estándar. En el análisis bivariado se utilizó la prueba de X 2 y T de Student en función de la naturaleza de las variables, con un nivel de significación de p=0,0034/0,0039), con un 5% de crecimiento promedio interanual de la tasa. El análisis por regiones muestra, en general, una tendencia estática. Conclusión: La infección del torrente sanguíneo por catéter venoso central es una complicación creciente en Chile, por lo que se hace necesario desarrollar programas e intervenciones que permitan controlar el avance de esta complicación.

Objective: To analyze the trend of bloodstream infections associated with central venous catheter insertion in the Chilean healthcare system. Materials and Methods: Ecological study with trend analysis of the annual prevalence of bloodstream infections associated with central venous catheter insertion in Chilean hospitals from 2001 to 2019. For univariate analysis, frequencies, percentages, mean and standard deviation were used. For bivariate analysis, the X 2 test and Student's t-test were used, according to the nature of the variables, with a significance level of p<0.01. For the trend analysis, a linear trend analysis of the annual prevalence was performed using the Prais-Winsten autoregression method, which allows the estimation of a global trend of a series of data of a quantitative indicator. The annual percent change (APC) and its 95% confidence intervals (CI-95%) were calculated. Results: A total of 27,197,232 cases were analyzed. An overall increasing and significant trend was observed throughout Chile (APC=0.00370; 95% CI=0.0034 / 0.0039), with an average interannual growth rate of 5%. In general, the analysis by region shows a static trend. Conclusion: Central venous catheter-related bloodstream infection is a growing complication in Chile. Therefore, it is necessary to develop programs and interventions to control the progression of this complication.

Objetivo: Analisar a tendência das infecções da corrente sanguínea associadas à instalação de cateter venoso central no sistema de saúde chileno. Material e Método: Estudo ecológico, com análise de tendência da prevalência anual de infecções da corrente sanguínea associadas à instalação de cateter venoso central em hospitais chilenos de 2001 a 2019. Para a análise univariada foram utilizadas frequências, porcentagens, média e desvio padrão. A análise bivariada utilizou o teste X 2 e o teste t de Student de acordo com a natureza das variáveis, com um nível de significância de p<0,01. Para a análise de tendência, foi realizada uma análise de tendência linear da prevalência anual com o método de autoregressão de Prais-Winsten, que permite estimar uma tendência global de uma série de dados de um indicador quantitativo. Foi calculada a variação percentual anual (APC sigla em inglês) e os respectivos intervalos de confiança a 95% (IC-95%). Resultados: Foram analisados 27.197.232 casos. Observou-se uma tendência global crescente e significativa em todo o Chile (APC=0,00370; IC 95%=0,0034/0,0039), com uma taxa média de crescimento anual de 5%. A análise por região mostra, em geral, uma tendência estática. Conclusão: A infecção da corrente sanguínea por cateter venoso central é uma complicação crescente no Chile. Portanto, é necessário desenvolver programas e intervenções para controlar a progressão desta complicação.

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Objetivo: Analizar la tendencia del indicador "Infección del tracto urinario asociado a instalación de catéter urinario a permanencia" en Chile. Material y Método: Estudio ecológico, de series temporales en el sistema sanitario de Chile, correspondiente a un total de 15 regiones, desde el año 2001 al año 2017 (27.087.087 casos). Se incluyeron datos cuyo egreso hospitalario era infección de tracto urinario asociado a catéter urinario a permanencia, según la Clasificación Internacional de Enfermedades (CIE 10). El análisis descriptivo y correlacional (X2 y T de Student, respectivamente) se realizó en función del sexo, tipo de previsión, condición de egreso y operación quirúrgica. El análisis se realizó con el programa SPSS 24 y el nivel de significación estadística fue p< 0,05. La estimación, basada en análisis lineal, estimó cambios porcentuales anuales (APC: Annual Percentage Change) y sus intervalos de confianza al 95%. Se empleó el método de auto-regresión de Prais Winsten. El resguardo ético siguió lo dispuesto en la Ley N° 20.585. Resultados: Se observó un 2% de crecimiento interanual (APC= 0,00007; IC: 95%= 0,000069-0,000073). En los años 2005, 2008, 2009 y 2011 existió un aumento en el porcentaje de cambio de 2 a 5 puntos. Conclusión: El indicador analizado es un evento que ha presentado una tendencia creciente y significativa en Chile desde el año 2001, lo que resulta paradójico, puesto que el ordenamiento de los procesos hospitalarios, asociado a la Reforma de Salud, debería demostrar una mejora en el comportamiento de este tipo de indicadores.

Objective: To analyze the trend indicator "Urinary tract infection associated with indwelling urinary catheter insertion" in Chile. Material and Method: Ecological, time series study, carried out in the Chilean health system, corresponding to a total of 15 administrative regions, from 2001 to 2017 (27.087.087 cases). Data included information on patients whose hospital discharge was urinary tract infection associated with indwelling urinary catheter, according to the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10). Descriptive and correlational analysis (X2 and Student's t-test, respectively) was performed according to sex, type of health insurance, hospital discharge condition and surgical operation. The analysis was performed using SPSS 24 software and the level of statistical significance was p<0.05. The estimation was based on linear analysis, estimating annual percentage changes (APC) and their 95% confidence intervals. The Prais-Winsten autoregression method was used. Ethical considerations followed the provision of Law No. 20.585. Results: A 2% interannual growth rate was observed (APC= 0.00007; CI: 95% = 0.000069-0.000073). In the years 2005, 2008, 2009 and 2011 there was an increase in the percentage change of 2 to 5 points. Conclusion: The analyzed indicator corresponds to an event that has shown a significant and increasing trend in Chile since 2001, which seems paradoxical, since hospital processes management, associated with the health care reform, should show an improvement regarding this type of trend indicator.

Objetivo: Analisar a tendência do indicador "Infecção do trato urinário associada à instalação de cateter urinário permanente" no Chile. Material e Método: Estudo ecológico, e de series temporais realizado no sistema de saúde chileno, correspondente a um total de 15 regiões administrativas, de 2001 a 2017 (27.087.087 casos). Os dados incluíram informações sobre pacientes cuja alta hospitalar foi infecção do trato urinário associada ao uso do cateter urinário permanente, de acordo com a Classificação Internacional de Doenças (CID-10). A análise descritiva e correlacional (X2 e teste t de Student, respectivamente) foi realizada segundo sexo, tipo de seguro de saúde, condição de alta hospitalar e operação cirúrgica. A estimativa foi baseada na análise linear, estimando as mudanças percentuais anuais (APC) e seus intervalos de confiança de 95%. Foi utilizado o método Prais-Winsten de auto-regressão. As considerações éticas seguiram o disposto na Lei No. 20.585. Resultados: Foi observada uma taxa de crescimento interanual de 2% (APC= 0,00007; IC:95%=0,000069-0,000073). Nos anos 2005, 2008, 2009 e 2011 houve um aumento na variação percentual de 2 a 5 pontos. Conclusão: O indicador analizado corresponde a um evento que tem mostrado uma tendência significativa e ascendente no Chile desde 2001, o que parece paradoxal, dado que a organização dos processos hospitalares associados à reforma do sistema de saúde deveria mostrar uma melhoria no comportamento deste tipo de indicador.

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ABSTRACT Objetive To determine the validity and reliability of the CUCACE (Quality of Nursing Care Questionnaire) in Colombia. Every day there is a growing interest in measuring the quality of care received from nursing personnel as a tangible element of care; however, not having reliable and valid instruments is an obstacle, especially in Colombia. Method A psychometric and evaluative instrumental study was conducted. Data of interest from CUCACE filled out in Spanish were extracted together with demographic information of the participants. Results Confirmed the validity of the content and construct validity of the scales of care, attention to nursing care and the perception of care in a Colombian hospital. Cronbach's alpha was higher than 0.7, and its reliability is accepted in the context. Conclusion The CUCACE is adequate to measure the satisfaction and experience of patients with nursing care in the Colombian context. The questionnaire with its two scales is useful, clear, precise, valid and reliable to evaluate the quality of nursing care.

ABSTRACT Objetivo Determinar la validez y confiabilidad del CUCACE (Cuestionario de Calidad de la Atención de Enfermería) en Colombia. Cada día hay un interés creciente en medir la calidad de la atención recibida por parte del personal de enfermería como elemento tangible de la atención; sin embargo, un obstáculo para medir la satisfacción del paciente es la no tenencia de instrumentos confiables y válidos, especialmente en Colombia. Método Se realizó un estudio instrumental psicométrico y evaluativo. Se extrajeron datos de interés del CUCACE cumplimentados en español, junto con la información demográfica de los participantes. Resultados Se confirmó la validez del contenido y construcción de las escalas de atención, atención al cuidado de enfermería y percepción del cuidado en un hospital colombiano. El alfa de Cronbach fue superior a 0,7; por lo tanto su fiabilidad se acepta en el contexto. Conclusión El CUCACE es adecuado para medir la satisfacción y experiencia de los pacientes con los cuidados de enfermería en el contexto colombiano. El cuestionario con sus dos escalas es útil, claro, preciso, válido y confiable para evaluar la calidad de la atención de enfermería.

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RESUMEN Objetivo Desarrollar un modelo SIR pronóstico de la pandemia de COVID-19 en el territorio colombiano. Métodos Se utilizó un modelo SIR con enfoque determinístico para pronosticar el desarrollo de la pandemia de COVID-19 en Colombia. Los estados considerados fueron susceptibles (S), infecciosos (i) y recuperados o fallecidos (R). Los datos poblacionales se obtuvieron del Departamento Administrativo Nacional de estadística (Proyecciones de Población 2018-2020, difundida en enero de 2020) y los datos sobre casos diarios confirmados de COVID-19 del Instituto Nacional de Salud. Se plantearon diferentes modelos variando el número básico de reproducción (R0). Resultados A partir de los casos reportados por el Ministerio de Salud se crearon cuatro ambientes o escenarios simulados en un modelo SIR epidemiológico, se extendieron las series de tiempo hasta el 30 de mayo, fecha probable del 99% de infección poblacional. Un R0 de 2 es la aproximación más cercana al comportamiento de la pandemia durante los primeros 15 días desde el reporte del caso 0, el peor escenario se daría en la primera semana de abril con un R0 igual a 3. Conclusiones Se hacen necesarias nuevas medidas de mitigación y supresión en las fases de contención y transmisión sostenida, como aumento de la capacidad diagnostica por pruebas y desinfección de zonas pobladas y hogares de aislamiento.(AU)

ABSTRACT Objective To develop a prognostic SIR model of the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia. Materials and Methods A SIR model with a deterministic approach was used to forecast the development of the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia. The states considered were susceptible (S), infectious (i) and recovered or deceased (R). Population data were obtained from the National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE) - Population Projections 2018-2020, released in January 2020-, and data on daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 from the National Institute of Health. Different models were proposed varying the basic reproduction number (R0). Results Based on the cases reported by the Ministry of Health, 4 simulated environments were created in an epidemiological SIR model. The time series was extended until May 30, the probable date when 99% of the population will be infected. R0=2 is the basic reproduction number and the closest approximation to the behavior of the pandemic during the first 15 days since the first case report; the worst scenario would occur in the first week of April with R0=3. Conclusions Further mitigation and suppression measures are necessary in the containment and sustained transmission phases, such as increased diagnostic capacity through testing and disinfection of populated areas and homes in isolation.(AU)

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RESUMEN Objetivo Desarrollar un modelo SIR pronóstico de la pandemia de COVID-19 en el territorio colombiano. Métodos Se utilizó un modelo SIR con enfoque determinístico para pronosticar el desarrollo de la pandemia de COVID-19 en Colombia. Los estados considerados fueron susceptibles (S), infecciosos (i) y recuperados o fallecidos (R). Los datos poblacionales se obtuvieron del Departamento Administrativo Nacional de estadística (Proyecciones de Población 2018-2020, difundida en enero de 2020) y los datos sobre casos diarios confirmados de COVID-19 del Instituto Nacional de Salud. Se plantearon diferentes modelos variando el número básico de reproducción (R0). Resultados A partir de los casos reportados por el Ministerio de Salud se crearon cuatro ambientes o escenarios simulados en un modelo SIR epidemiológico, se extendieron las series de tiempo hasta el 30 de mayo, fecha probable del 99% de infección poblacional. Un R0 de 2 es la aproximación más cercana al comportamiento de la pandemia durante los primeros 15 días desde el reporte del caso 0, el peor escenario se daría en la primera semana de abril con un R0 igual a 3. Conclusiones Se hacen necesarias nuevas medidas de mitigación y supresión en las fases de contención y transmisión sostenida, como aumento de la capacidad diagnostica por pruebas y desinfección de zonas pobladas y hogares de aislamiento.

ABSTRACT Objective To develop a prognostic SIR model of the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia. Materials and Methods A SIR model with a deterministic approach was used to forecast the development of the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia. The states considered were susceptible (S), infectious (i) and recovered or deceased (R). Population data were obtained from the National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE) - Population Projections 2018-2020, released in January 2020-, and data on daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 from the National Institute of Health. Different models were proposed varying the basic reproduction number (R0). Results Based on the cases reported by the Ministry of Health, 4 simulated environments were created in an epidemiological SIR model. The time series was extended until May 30, the probable date when 99% of the population will be infected. R0=2 is the basic reproduction number and the closest approximation to the behavior of the pandemic during the first 15 days since the first case report; the worst scenario would occur in the first week of April with R0=3. Conclusions Further mitigation and suppression measures are necessary in the containment and sustained transmission phases, such as increased diagnostic capacity through testing and disinfection of populated areas and homes in isolation.

RESUMO OBJETIVO Desenvolver um modelo SIR prognóstico da pandemia de COVID-19 no território colombiano. MÉTODOS Um modelo SIR com abordagem determinística foi usado para prever o desenvolvimento da pandemia de COVID-19 na Colômbia. Os estados considerados foram suscetíveis (S), infecciosos (i) e recuperados ou falecidos (R). Os dados populacionais foram obtidos do Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estatística (Projeções de População 2018-2020, divulgado em janeiro de 2020) e dados sobre casos confirmados diariamente de COVID-19 do Instituto Nacional de Saúde. Diferentes modelos foram propostos variando o número básico de reprodução (R 0 ). RESULTADOS Dos casos relatados pelo Ministério da Saúde, quatro ambientes ou cenários simulados foram criados em um modelo epidemiológico de RIS, as séries temporais foram estendidas até 30 de maio, data provável de 99% de infecção populacional. Um R 0 de 2 é a aproximação mais próxima do comportamento da pandemia durante os primeiros 15 dias a partir do relato do caso 0, o pior cenário ocorreria na primeira semana de abril com um R 0 igual a 3. CONCLUSÕES Novas medidas de mitigação e supressão são necessárias nas fases de contenção e transmissão sustentada, como aumento da capacidade de diagnóstico por testes e desinfecção de áreas povoadas e residências isoladas.

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BACKGROUND: Academic motivation guides students toward the achievement of academic objectives and influences their learning. However, there is little research on this subject in nursing education, and validated instruments are not available in Latin America. OBJECTIVE: To determine the validity and reliability of the Academic Goals Orientation Questionnaire in Colombian nursing students. DESIGN: Cross-sectional psychometric study developed in the second semester of 2016. SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS: Undergraduate students in nursing at the National University of Colombia (n = 323). METHODS: The Academic Goals Orientation Questionnaire was administered electronically. In addition, the variables of age, sex and academic year were collected. An analysis of construct validity was carried out by exploratory and confirmatory factor analysis. The reliability of the questionnaire was studied with Cronbach's alpha. RESULTS: The exploratory factor analysis revealed the presence of four factors that explain 53.4% of the total variance and that correspond to the dimensions of the original instrument. The overall reliability was α = 0.714. The confirmatory factor analysis verified a good fit of the model (χ2 = 128, p = .024); its standardized mean square residue (SRMR) was 0.0471; the root mean square error of approximation (RMSEA) was 0.03 (IC95% = 0.011-0.044), and the comparative fit index (CFI) was 0.972. The learning or task goal obtained the highest average score (m = 4.67, 95% CI = 4.629-4.712), and the Work avoidance goal was the worst rated (m = 2.126, 95% CI = 2.055-2.198) by the students. CONCLUSION: The Academic Goal Orientation Questionnaire has an adequate validity and reliability in the Colombian context that allows it to be applied in nursing students. However, it is recommended to expand the study with larger samples and other countries in the same context.

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OBJECTIVE: To develop a prognostic SIR model of the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A SIR model with a deterministic approach was used to forecast the development of the COVID-19 pandemic in Colombia. The states considered were susceptible (S), infectious (i) and recovered or deceased (R). Population data were obtained from the National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE) - Population Projections 2018-2020, released in January 2020-, and data on daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 from the National Institute of Health. Different models were proposed varying the basic reproduction number (R0). RESULTS: Based on the cases reported by the Ministry of Health, 4 simulated environments were created in an epidemiological SIR model. The time series was extended until May 30, the probable date when 99% of the population will be infected. R0=2 is the basic reproduction number and the closest approximation to the behavior of the pandemic during the first 15 days since the first case report; the worst scenario would occur in the first week of April with R0=3. CONCLUSIONS: Further mitigation and suppression measures are necessary in the containment and sustained transmission phases, such as increased diagnostic capacity through testing and disinfection of populated areas and homes in isolation.

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OBJECTIVE: To analyze the trend of opinion and satisfaction indicators of the Spanish national health system from 2005 to 2017. METHODS: Ecological study of time series analyzing the trend of eight indicators of opinion and satisfaction on the Spanish national health system and its autonomous communities from 2005 to 2017. The data was obtained from the Ministry of Health, Social Services and Equality and from the Health Barometer. The Prais-Winsten regression method was used. RESULTS: A static tendency was observed in the perception of users on how the health system works (APC = 1.898, 95%CI -0.954 - 4.751) and decreasing opinion on the improvement of primary care (APC = -0.283; 95%CI -0.335 - -0.121), specialized (APC = -0.241, 95%CI -0.74 - -0.109) and hospitalization (APC = -0.171, 95%CI -0.307 - -0.036). Satisfaction with knowledge and follow-up by the family doctor and pediatrician showed an increasing trend (APC = 7.939, 95%CI 3.965 - 11.914). Satisfaction with medical and nursing professionals was static. No large differences were observed in the trends of the indicators studied in the autonomous communities. CONCLUSIONS: A negative trend was observed in the opinion of the Spanish national health system users. Financing, human resources, quality management systems and differences in the autonomous communities may be some of the causes.

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ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To analyze the trend of opinion and satisfaction indicators of the Spanish national health system from 2005 to 2017. METHODS Ecological study of time series analyzing the trend of eight indicators of opinion and satisfaction on the Spanish national health system and its autonomous communities from 2005 to 2017. The data was obtained from the Ministry of Health, Social Services and Equality and from the Health Barometer. The Prais-Winsten regression method was used. RESULTS A static tendency was observed in the perception of users on how the health system works (APC = 1.898, 95%CI -0.954 - 4.751) and decreasing opinion on the improvement of primary care (APC = -0.283; 95%CI -0.335 - -0.121), specialized (APC = -0.241, 95%CI -0.74 - -0.109) and hospitalization (APC = -0.171, 95%CI -0.307 - -0.036). Satisfaction with knowledge and follow-up by the family doctor and pediatrician showed an increasing trend (APC = 7.939, 95%CI 3.965 - 11.914). Satisfaction with medical and nursing professionals was static. No large differences were observed in the trends of the indicators studied in the autonomous communities. CONCLUSIONS A negative trend was observed in the opinion of the Spanish national health system users. Financing, human resources, quality management systems and differences in the autonomous communities may be some of the causes.

RESUMEN OBJETIVO Analizar la tendencia de indicadores de opinión y satisfacción del sistema nacional de salud español de 2005 a 2017. MÉTODOS Estudio ecológico de series temporales analizando la tendencia de ocho indicadores de opinión y satisfacción sobre el sistema nacional de salud y sus comunidades autónomas de 2005 a 2017. Los datos se obtuvieron del Ministerio de Sanidad, Servicios Sociales e Igualdad y del Barómetro Sanitario. Se utilizó el método de autoregresión de Prais-Winsten. RESULTADOS Se observó una tendencia estática en la percepción de los usuarios sobre el funcionamiento del sistema sanitario (APC = 1,898; IC95% -0,954-4,751) y decreciente sobre la opinión en la mejora de la atención primaria (APC = -0.283; IC95% -0,335- -0.121), especializada (APC = -0,241; IC95% -0.74- -0.109) y hospitalización (APC = -0.171; IC95% -0,307- -0,036). La satisfacción con el conocimiento y seguimiento por el médico de familia y pediatra mostró una tendencia creciente (APC = 7,939; IC95% 3,965-11,914). La satisfacción con los profesionales de medicina y enfermería fue estática. No se observaron grandes diferencias en las tendencias de los indicadores estudiados en las comunidades autónomas. CONCLUSIONES Se observó una tendencia negativa en la opinión de los usuarios del sistema nacional de salud español. Financiación, recursos humanos, sistemas de gestión de calidad y diferencias en las comunidades autónomas pueden ser algunas de las causas.

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OBJECTIVES: The study sought to evaluate the effectiveness of an educational intervention based on cooperative learning on the acquisition of knowledge and skills on hand washing. In addition, the interest and self-perception was studied of the participants on the acquisition of knowledge and skills. METHODS: This was a pre-post intervention study with 49 students from the second course of the Nursing degree, evaluating: i) acquisition of knowledge with an ad hoc questionnaire; ii) skills on hand washing by conducting the technique with reagent solution and verification with fluorescent lamp; and iii) interest and self-perception of the importance of acquiring knowledge and skills with specific questions. RESULTS: The mean age was 21.8 years, 83.7% were women, and 32.6% had prior studies related with health. Significant post-intervention improvement was evident in the level of knowledge (p< 0.001) and skills (p<0.001). Interest for the intervention (m=4.1±0.6) and perception on the acquisition of knowledge (m=4.4±0.6) and skills (m=4.3±0.5) were scored high (scale from 1 to 5). CONCLUSIONS: The cooperative learning intervention improved knowledge and skills on hand washing in nursing students and awakened their interest.

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OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study is to analyze the trend of the Key Indicators of the National Health System of Spain and its autonomous communities, related to Specialized Care, from the publication of the Law of Cohesion and Quality. METHODS: This is an ecological study of temporary series of Spain and its autonomous communities from 2003 to 2014. We have analyzed 10 indicators related to Specialized Care (percentage of expenditure, professionals, waiting lists, surgical activity, average duration, infections, and mortality) using the Prais-Winsten regression method. We have obtained data from the health information system of the Spanish Ministry of Health, Social Services, and Equality. RESULTS: Specialized care expenditure (APC = 0.059, 95%CI 0.041-0.074), number of medical professionals (APC = 0.0006, 95%CI 0.0003-0.0009) and nursing professionals (APC = 0.001, 95%CI 0.0005-0.0016), hospital infections (APC = 0.0003, 95%CI 0.0002-0.0004), and in-hospital mortality (APC = 0.0008, 95%CI 0.0006-0.001) had an increasing trend in Spain. Average duration presented a decreasing trend (APC = -0.0017, 95%CI -0.002- -0.0014). The trend of waiting lists (specialized appointment and non-urgent surgical interventions) was static. The trend of these indicators varied in the Autonomous Communities. CONCLUSIONS: We have observed a non-compliance with the principles of equity and quality of the services offered. Increased aging, technological development, and inadequate strategies taken to reduce health costs may be the main causes.

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ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE The objective of this study is to analyze the trend of the Key Indicators of the National Health System of Spain and its autonomous communities, related to Specialized Care, from the publication of the Law of Cohesion and Quality. METHODS This is an ecological study of temporary series of Spain and its autonomous communities from 2003 to 2014. We have analyzed 10 indicators related to Specialized Care (percentage of expenditure, professionals, waiting lists, surgical activity, average duration, infections, and mortality) using the Prais-Winsten regression method. We have obtained data from the health information system of the Spanish Ministry of Health, Social Services, and Equality. RESULTS Specialized care expenditure (APC = 0.059, 95%CI 0.041-0.074), number of medical professionals (APC = 0.0006, 95%CI 0.0003-0.0009) and nursing professionals (APC = 0.001, 95%CI 0.0005-0.0016), hospital infections (APC = 0.0003, 95%CI 0.0002-0.0004), and in-hospital mortality (APC = 0.0008, 95%CI 0.0006-0.001) had an increasing trend in Spain. Average duration presented a decreasing trend (APC = -0.0017, 95%CI -0.002- -0.0014). The trend of waiting lists (specialized appointment and non-urgent surgical interventions) was static. The trend of these indicators varied in the Autonomous Communities. CONCLUSIONS We have observed a non-compliance with the principles of equity and quality of the services offered. Increased aging, technological development, and inadequate strategies taken to reduce health costs may be the main causes.

RESUMEN OBJETIVO Analizar la tendencia de los Indicadores Clave del Sistema Nacional de Salud de España y sus comunidades autónomas, relacionados con la Atención Especializada, desde la publicación de la Ley de Cohesión y Calidad. MÉTODOS Estudio ecológico de series temporales de España y sus comunidades autónomas desde 2003 hasta 2014. Se analizaron 10 indicadores relacionados con Atención Especializada (porcentaje de gasto, profesionales, listas de espera, actividad quirúrgica, estancia media, infecciones y mortalidad) utilizando el método de auto-regresión de Prais-Winsten. Los datos se obtuvieron del sistema de información sanitaria del Ministerio de Sanidad, Servicios Sociales e Igualdad español. RESULTADOS Existió una tendencia creciente del gasto en atención especializada (APC = 0,059; IC95% 0,041-0,074), número de profesionales de medicina (APC = 0,0006; IC95% 0,0003-0,0009) y enfermería (APC = 0,001; IC95% 0,0005-0,0016), infecciones hospitalarias (APC = 0,0003; IC95% 0,0002-0,0004) y mortalidad intrahospitalaria (APC = 0,0008; IC95% 0,0006-0,001) en España. La estancia media presentó una tendencia decreciente (APC = -0,0017; IC95% -0,002- -0,0014). La tendencia de las listas de espera (consulta especializada e intervenciones quirúrgicas no urgentes) fue estática. La tendencia de estos indicadores varió en las Comunidades Autónomas. CONCLUSIONES Se observa un incumplimiento de los principios de equidad y calidad de las prestaciones ofrecidas. El aumento del envejecimiento, el desarrollo tecnológico y estrategias poco adecuadas tomadas para reducir los costes sanitarios pueden ser las principales causas.

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Objective. The aim herein was to validate a questionnaire to measure the level of participation of clinical nursing professionals in the mentorship of nursing students during clinical practices. Methods. Design and validation of a questionnaire. The psychometric properties of the tool were determined through four phases: 1- literature review; 2- evaluation of content validity; 3- pilot test, cognitive pretest and intra-observer reliability study; 4- construct validity study through an exploratory factor analysis of main components with varimax rotation in a sample of 249 nursing professionals from primary care and hospital care from different Spanish provinces. The internal consistency was studied with Cronbach's alpha coefficient. Results. The global content validity was above 0.8. The final version of the questionnaire had 33 items, with a global intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.852 and Cronbach's alpha of 0.837. Factor analysis explained 55.4% of the total variance, with a solution of five factors that made up the dimensions: Implication, Motivation, Satisfaction, Obstacles, and Commitment. Conclusion. The questionnaire evaluated has adequate validity and reliability to permit determining the level of nurse participation in the mentorship of students. (AU)

Objetivo. Validar un cuestionario para medir el nivel de participación de los profesionales de enfermería clínicos en la tutela de estudiantes de enfermería durante las prácticas clínicas. Métodos. Diseño y validación de un cuestionario. Se determinaron las propiedades psicométricas de la herramienta mediante cuatro fases: 1- revisión de la literatura; 2- evaluación de la validez de contenido; 3- prueba piloto, pretest cognitivo y estudio de la fiabilidad intraobservador; 4-, estudio de validez de constructo mediante un análisis factorial exploratorio de componentes principales con rotación varimax en una muestra de 249 profesionales de enfermería de atención primaria y de atención hospitalaria de diferentes provincias españolas. La consistencia interna se estudió con el coeficiente Alfa de Cronbach. Resultados. La validez de contenido global fue superior a 0.8. La versión final del cuestionario fue de 33 ítems, con un CCI global de 0.852 y un alfa de Cronbach de 0.837. El análisis factorial explicó el 55.4% de varianza total, con una solución de cinco factores que formaron las dimensiones Implicación, Motivación, Satisfacción, Obstáculos y Compromiso. Conclusión. El cuestionario evaluado tiene validez y fiabilidad adecuadas que permite determinar el nivel de participación de las enfermeras en la tutela de estudiantes. (AU)

Objetivo. Validar um questionário para medir o nível de participação dos profissionais de enfermagem clínicos na tutela de estudantes de enfermagem durante as práticas clínicas. Métodos. Desenho e validação de um questionário. Se determinaram as propriedades psicométricas da ferramenta mediante quatro fases: 1- revisão da literatura; 2- avaliação da validez de conteúdo; 3- prova piloto, pré-teste cognitivo e estudo da fiabilidade intra-observador; 4-, estudo de validez de construto mediante uma análise fatorial exploratório de componentes principais com rotação varimax numa amostra de 249 profissionais de enfermagem de atenção primária e de atenção hospitalar de diferentes províncias espanholas. A consistência interna se estudou com o coeficiente Alfa de Cronbach. Resultados. A validez de conteúdo global foi superior a 0.8. A versão final do questionário foi de 33 itens, com um CCI global de 0.852 e um alfa de Cronbach de 0.837. A análise fatorial explicou que 55.4% de variância total, com uma solução de cinco fatores que formaram as dimensões; Implicação, Motivação, Satisfação, Obstáculos e Compromisso. Conclusão. O questionário avaliado tem validez e fiabilidade adequadas que permite determinar o nível de participação das enfermeiras na tutela de estudantes. (AU)

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OBJECTIVES: The aim herein was to validate a questionnaire to measure the level of participation of clinical nursing professionals in the mentorship of nursing students during clinical practices. METHODS: Design and validation of a questionnaire. The psychometric properties of the tool were determined through four phases: 1- literature review; 2- evaluation of content validity; 3- pilot test, cognitive pretest and intra-observer reliability study; 4- construct validity study through an exploratory factor analysis of main components with varimax rotation in a sample of 249 nursing professionals from primary care and hospital care from different Spanish provinces. The internal consistency was studied with Cronbach's alpha coefficient. RESULTS: The global content validity was above 0.8. The final version of the questionnaire had 33 items, with a global intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.852 and Cronbach's alpha of 0.837. Factor analysis explained 55.4% of the total variance, with a solution of five factors that made up the dimensions: Implication, Motivation, Satisfaction, Obstacles, and Commitment. CONCLUSIONS: The questionnaire evaluated has adequate validity and reliability to permit determining the level of nurse participation in the mentorship of students.

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