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1.
Heliyon ; 10(11): e31666, 2024 Jun 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38845931

RESUMEN

Eradicating malaria remains a big challenge for computer scientists, mathematicians, epidemiologists, entomologists, physicians and many others. Their approaches range from recovering patients to eradicating the disease. However, collaboration, not always efficient between all these scientists, leads to the implementation of incomplete prototypes or to an under-exploitation of their results. Environmental and climatic factors are part of these elements that are usually omitted by computer scientists and mathematicians in the modelling of the malaria spread dynamic. Tropical countries, most affected by the disease are also mostly underdeveloped or developing countries, and therefore, statistical data are often lacking or difficult to access. Populations are constantly in motion over ecosystems with different environmental and climatic conditions, from a region to another. In this paper, we analyse the global asymptotic stability at the disease-free equilibrium of a metapopulation model including climatic factors.

2.
J Math Biol ; 89(1): 12, 2024 Jun 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38879853

RESUMEN

The transmission of infectious diseases on a particular network is ubiquitous in the physical world. Here, we investigate the transmission mechanism of infectious diseases with an incubation period using a networked compartment model that contains simplicial interactions, a typical high-order structure. We establish a simplicial SEIRS model and find that the proportion of infected individuals in equilibrium increases due to the many-body connections, regardless of the type of connections used. We analyze the dynamics of the established model, including existence and local asymptotic stability, and highlight differences from existing models. Significantly, we demonstrate global asymptotic stability using the neural Lyapunov function, a machine learning technique, with both numerical simulations and rigorous analytical arguments. We believe that our model owns the potential to provide valuable insights into transmission mechanisms of infectious diseases on high-order network structures, and that our approach and theory of using neural Lyapunov functions to validate model asymptotic stability can significantly advance investigations on complex dynamics of infectious disease.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Transmisibles , Simulación por Computador , Epidemias , Conceptos Matemáticos , Modelos Biológicos , Humanos , Enfermedades Transmisibles/epidemiología , Enfermedades Transmisibles/transmisión , Epidemias/estadística & datos numéricos , Aprendizaje Automático , Redes Neurales de la Computación , Modelos Epidemiológicos
3.
Math Biosci Eng ; 20(12): 20422-20436, 2023 Nov 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38124559

RESUMEN

Bacterial resistance caused by prolonged administration of the same antibiotics exacerbates the threat of bacterial infection to human health. It is essential to optimize antibiotic treatment measures. In this paper, we formulate a simplified model of conversion between sensitive and resistant bacteria. Subsequently, impulsive state feedback control is introduced to reduce bacterial resistance to a low level. The global asymptotic stability of the positive equilibrium and the orbital stability of the order-1 periodic solution are proved by the Poincaré-Bendixson Theorem and the theory of the semi-continuous dynamical system, respectively. Finally, numerical simulations are performed to validate the accuracy of the theoretical findings.


Asunto(s)
Bacterias , Infecciones Bacterianas , Humanos , Simulación por Computador , Retroalimentación
4.
Math Biosci Eng ; 20(12): 20748-20769, 2023 Nov 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38124574

RESUMEN

In this paper, we mainly consider a eco-epidemiological predator-prey system where delay is time-varying to study the transmission dynamics of Bacterial white spot disease in Litopenaeus Vannamei, which will contribute to the sustainable development of shrimp. First, the permanence and the positiveness of solutions are given. Then, the conditions for the local asymptotic stability of the equilibriums are established. Next, the global asymptotic stability for the system around the positive equilibrium is gained by applying the functional differential equation theory and constructing a proper Lyapunov function. Last, some numerical examples verify the validity and feasibility of previous theoretical results.

5.
Math Biosci Eng ; 20(8): 14596-14615, 2023 07 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37679150

RESUMEN

A transmission dynamics model with the logistic growth of cystic echinococcus in sheep was formulated and analyzed. The basic reproduction number was derived and the results showed that the global dynamical behaviors were determined by its value. The disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when the value of the basic reproduction number is less than one; otherwise, there exists a unique endemic equilibrium and it is globally asymptotically stable. Sensitivity analysis and uncertainty analysis of the basic reproduction number were also performed to screen the important factors that influence the spread of cystic echinococcosis. Contour plots of the basic reproduction number versus these important factors are presented, too. The results showed that the higher the deworming rate of dogs, the lower the prevalence of echinococcosis in sheep and dogs. Similarly, the higher the slaughter rate of sheep, the lower the prevalence of echinococcosis in sheep and dogs. It also showed that the spread of echinococcosis has a close relationship with the maximum environmental capacity of sheep, and that they have a remarkable negative correlation. This reminds us that the risk of cystic echinococcosis may be underestimated if we ignore the increasing number of sheep in reality.


Asunto(s)
Equinococosis , Animales , Ovinos , Perros , Número Básico de Reproducción , Equinococosis/epidemiología , Equinococosis/veterinaria , Incertidumbre
6.
J Math Biol ; 87(3): 39, 2023 08 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37553436

RESUMEN

A consumer-resource reaction-diffusion model with a single consumer species was proposed and experimentally studied by Zhang et al.(Ecol Lett 20:1118-1128, 2017). Analytical study on its dynamics was further performed by He et al.(J Math Biol 78:1605-1636, 2019). In this work, we completely settle the conjecture proposed by He et al.(J Math Biol 78:1605-1636, 2019) about the global dynamics of the consumer-resource model for small yield rate. We then study a multi-species consumer-resource model where all the consumer species compete with each other through depression of the limited resources by consumption and there is no direct competition between them. We show that in this case, all consumer species persist uniformly, which implies that "competition exclusion" phenomenon will never happen. We also clarify its dynamics in both homogeneous and heterogeneous environments under various circumstances.


Asunto(s)
Ecosistema , Modelos Biológicos , Dinámica Poblacional
7.
Math Biosci Eng ; 20(6): 10174-10199, 2023 03 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37322928

RESUMEN

In this study, we examine the impact of vaccination and environmental transmission on the dynamics of the monkeypox. We formulate and analyze a mathematical model for the dynamics of monkeypox virus transmission under Caputo fractional order. We obtain the basic reproduction number, the conditions for the local and global asymptotic stability for the disease-free equilibrium of the model. Under the Caputo fractional order, existence and uniqueness solutions have been determined using fixed point theorem. Numerical trajectories are obtained. Furthermore, we explored some of the sensitive parameters impact. Based on the trajectories, we hypothesised that the memory index or fractional order could use to control the Monkeypox virus transmission dynamics. We observed that if the proper vaccination is administrated, public health education is given, and practice like personal hygiene and proper disinfection spray, the infected individuals decreases.


Asunto(s)
Desinfección , Monkeypox virus , Humanos , Número Básico de Reproducción , Educación en Salud , Vacunación
8.
Math Biosci Eng ; 20(2): 3396-3424, 2023 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36899587

RESUMEN

In this work, the global stability of a continuous bioreactor model is studied, with the concentrations of biomass and substrate as state variables, a general non-monotonic function of substrate concentration for the specific growth rate, and constant inlet substrate concentration. Also, the dilution rate is time varying but bounded, thus leading to state convergence to a compact set instead of an equilibrium point. Based on the Lyapunov function theory with dead-zone modification, the convergence of the substrate and biomass concentrations is studied. The main contributions with respect to closely related studies are: i) The convergence regions of the substrate and biomass concentrations are determined as function of the variation region of the dilution rate (D) and the global convergence to these compact sets is proved, considering monotonic and non-monotonic growth functions separately; ii) several improvements are proposed in the stability analysis, including the definition of a new dead zone Lyapunov function and the properties of its gradient. These improvements allow proving convergence of substrate and biomass concentrations to their compact sets, while tackling the interwoven and nonlinear nature of the dynamics of biomass and substrate concentrations, the non-monotonic nature of the specific growth rate, and the time-varying nature of the dilution rate. The proposed modifications are a basis for further global stability analysis of bioreactor models exhibiting convergence to a compact set instead of an equilibrium point. Finally, the theoretical results are illustrated through numerical simulation, showing the convergence of the states under varying dilution rate.


Asunto(s)
Reactores Biológicos , Redes Neurales de la Computación , Simulación por Computador , Factores de Tiempo , Biomasa
9.
ISA Trans ; 135: 94-104, 2023 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36270811

RESUMEN

The core idea of traditional adaptive control is to reconstruct parameter estimation errors with known signals and damping injection based on tracking error, while the formulation of desired damping in controller designs is usually a nontrivial task. The main contribution of this paper lies in the development of the classic RISE result and a constructive damping injection procedure for the adaptive tracking control of Euler-Lagrange mechanical systems. By utilizing generalized dynamic scaling function, scalar filtering, the improved RISE method and analyzing the existence of finite escape time of the closed-loop system, a globally asymptotically stable result is obtained with facilitative damping injection, significant order reduction and improved design efficiency when compared with the existing results. Simulations on a fully actuated 2-DOF planar robot manipulator model demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.

10.
Math Biosci Eng ; 19(11): 11217-11231, 2022 08 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36124588

RESUMEN

In this paper, a two-patch SIS model with saturating contact rate and one-directing population dispersal is proposed. In the model, individuals can only migrate from patch 1 to patch 2. The basic reproduction number $ R_0^1 $ of patch 1 and the basic reproduction number $ R_0^2 $ of patch 2 is identified. The global dynamics are completely determined by the two reproduction numbers. It is shown that if $ R_0^1 < 1 $ and $ R_0^2 < 1 $, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; if $ R_0^1 < 1 $ and $ R_0^2 > 1 $, there is a boundary equilibrium which is globally asymptotically stable; if $ R_0^1 > 1 $, there is a unique endemic equilibrium which is globally asymptotically stable. Finally, numerical simulations are performed to validate the theoretical results and reveal the influence of saturating contact rate and migration rate on basic reproduction number and the transmission scale.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Epidemiológicos , Modelos Biológicos , Número Básico de Reproducción , Simulación por Computador , Humanos
11.
Bull Math Biol ; 84(11): 121, 2022 09 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36112293

RESUMEN

Due to the role of cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI), releasing Wolbachia-infected male mosquitoes into the wild becomes a very promising strategy to suppress the wild mosquito population. When developing a mosquito suppression strategy, our main concerns are how often, and in what amount, should Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes be released under different CI intensity conditions, so that the suppression is most effective and cost efficient. In this paper, we propose a mosquito population suppression model that incorporates suppression and self-recovery under different CI intensity conditions. We adopt the new modeling idea that only sexually active Wolbachia-infected male mosquitoes are considered in the model and assume the releases of Wolbachia-infected male mosquitoes are impulsive and periodic with period T. We particularly study the case where the release period is greater than the sexual lifespan of the Wolbachia-infected male mosquitoes. We define the CI intensity threshold, mosquito release thresholds, and the release period threshold to characterize the model dynamics. The global and local asymptotic stability of the origin and the existence and stability of T-periodic solutions are investigated. Our findings provide useful guidance in designing practical release strategies to control wild mosquitoes.


Asunto(s)
Aedes , Wolbachia , Animales , Masculino , Conceptos Matemáticos , Modelos Biológicos
12.
J Biol Dyn ; 16(1): 254-276, 2022 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35166193

RESUMEN

We investigate a mosquito population suppression model, which includes the release of Wolbachia-infected males causing incomplete cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI). The model consists of two sub-equations by considering the density-dependent birth rate of wild mosquitoes. By assuming the release waiting period T is larger than the sexual lifespan T¯ of Wolbachia-infected males, we derive four thresholds: the CI intensity threshold sh∗, the release amount thresholds g∗ and c∗, and the waiting period threshold T∗. From a biological view, we assume sh>sh∗ throughout the paper. When g∗T∗, which is globally asymptotically stable. Our theoretical results are confirmed by numerical simulations.


Asunto(s)
Culicidae , Wolbachia , Animales , Masculino , Modelos Biológicos , Mosquitos Vectores
13.
J Math Biol ; 84(3): 14, 2022 01 29.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35094148

RESUMEN

Based on the idea that only sexually active sterile mosquitoes are included in the modeling process, we study the dynamics of the interactive wild and sterile mosquito model with time delay, which consists of three sub-equations. Due to the fact that the maturation period of sterile mosquitoes bred in the lab or mosquito factories is almost the same time period of wild adult mosquitoes matured from larvae, we particularly assume that the waiting period for two consecutive releases of sterile mosquitoes equals the maturation period of wild mosquitoes, as a new practical sterile mosquito release strategy. We first ingeniously solve the delay model with the initial functions that are solutions of the corresponding equation without delay and we call them "good" solutions. Using these "good" solutions, we then surprisedly obtain sufficient and necessary conditions for the trivial solution and a unique periodic solution of the delay model to be globally asymptotically stable, respectively. We provide a numerical example to demonstrate the model dynamics and brief discussions of our findings as well.


Asunto(s)
Culicidae , Infertilidad , Animales , Larva , Modelos Biológicos , Mosquitos Vectores
14.
Adv Differ Equ ; 2021(1): 112, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33619432

RESUMEN

In this paper we consider a standard class of the neural networks and propose an investigation of the global asymptotic stability of these neural systems. The main aim of this investigation is to define a novel Lyapunov functional having quadratic-integral form and use it to reach a stability criterion for the under study neural networks. Since some fundamental characteristics, such as nonlinearity, including time-delays and neutrality, help us design a more realistic and applicable model of neural systems, we will use all of these factors in our neural dynamical systems. At the end, some numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the obtained stability criterion and show the essential role of the time-delays in appearance of the oscillations and stability in the neural networks.

15.
Chaos Solitons Fractals ; 139: 110060, 2020 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32834613

RESUMEN

In this paper, we considered a new mathematical model depicting the possibility of spread within a given general population. The model is constructed with five classes including susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered and deaths. We presented a detailed analysis of the suggested model including, the derivation of equilibrium points endemic and disease-free, reproductive number using the next generation matrix, the stability analysis of the equilibrium points and finally the positiveness of the model solutions. The model was extended to the concept of fractional differentiation to capture different memories including power law, decay and crossover behaviors. A numerical method based on the Newton was used to provide numerical solutions for different memories.

16.
J Biol Dyn ; 14(1): 578-589, 2020 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32672096

RESUMEN

In this work, we study a non-autonomous differential equation model for the interaction of wild and sterile mosquitoes. Suppose that the number of sterile mosquitoes released in the field is a given nonnegative continuous function. We determine a threshold [Formula: see text] for the number of sterile mosquitoes and provide a sufficient condition for the origin [Formula: see text] to be globally asymptotically stable based on the threshold [Formula: see text]. For the case when the number of sterile mosquitoes keeps at a constant level, we find that the origin [Formula: see text] is globally asymptotically stable if and only if the constant number [Formula: see text] of sterile mosquitoes released in the field is above [Formula: see text].


Asunto(s)
Culicidae/fisiología , Modelos Biológicos , Animales , Simulación por Computador , Análisis Numérico Asistido por Computador , Dinámica Poblacional
17.
J Biol Dyn ; 14(1): 421-437, 2020 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32498616

RESUMEN

In this paper, we consider a nonautonomous predator-prey system with Beddington-DeAngelis functional response and explore the global stability of boundary solution. Based on the dynamics of logistic equation, some new sufficient conditions on the global asymptotic stability of boundary solution are presented for general time-dependence case. Our main results indicate that (i) the long-term ineffective predation behaviour or high mortality of predator species will lead the predator species to extinction, even if the intraspecies competition of predator species is weak or no intraspecies competition; (ii) the long-term intense intraspecific competition may lead the predator species to extinction, even though the long-term accumulative predation benefit is higher than the death lose. When all parameters are periodic functions with common period, a necessary and sufficient condition on the global stability of boundary periodic solution is obtained. In addition, some numerical simulations are performed to illustrate the theoretical results.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Biológicos , Conducta Predatoria/fisiología , Animales , Simulación por Computador , Análisis Numérico Asistido por Computador , Dinámica Poblacional
18.
Bull Math Biol ; 81(11): 4366-4411, 2019 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31286347

RESUMEN

We analyze an epidemiological model to evaluate the effectiveness of multiple means of control in malaria-endemic areas. The mathematical model consists of a system of several ordinary differential equations and is based on a multi-compartment representation of the system. The model takes into account the multiple resting-questing stages undergone by adult female mosquitoes during the period in which they function as disease vectors. We compute the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] and show that if [Formula: see text], the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable (GAS) on the nonnegative orthant. If [Formula: see text], the system admits a unique endemic equilibrium (EE) that is GAS. We perform a sensitivity analysis of the dependence of [Formula: see text] and the EE on parameters related to control measures, such as killing effectiveness and bite prevention. Finally, we discuss the implications for a comprehensive, cost-effective strategy for malaria control.


Asunto(s)
Malaria/prevención & control , Modelos Biológicos , Control de Mosquitos/métodos , Mosquitos Vectores , Animales , Anopheles/parasitología , Número Básico de Reproducción/estadística & datos numéricos , Simulación por Computador , Enfermedades Endémicas/prevención & control , Enfermedades Endémicas/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Interacciones Huésped-Parásitos , Humanos , Malaria/epidemiología , Malaria/transmisión , Conceptos Matemáticos , Control de Mosquitos/estadística & datos numéricos , Mosquitos Vectores/parasitología
19.
J Math Biol ; 79(3): 1029-1076, 2019 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31168636

RESUMEN

Boundedness, persistence and stability properties are considered for a class of nonlinear, possibly infinite-dimensional, forced difference equations which arise in a number of ecological and biological contexts. The inclusion of forcing incorporates the effects of control actions (such as harvesting or breeding programmes), disturbances induced by seasonal or environmental variation, or migration. We provide sufficient conditions under which the states of these models are bounded and persistent uniformly with respect to the forcing terms. Under mild assumptions, the models under consideration naturally admit two equilibria when unforced: the origin and a unique non-zero equilibrium. We present sufficient conditions for the non-zero equilibrium to be stable in a sense which is strongly inspired by the input-to-state stability concept well-known in mathematical control theory. In particular, our stability concept incorporates the impact of potentially persistent forcing. Since the underlying state-space may be infinite dimensional, our framework enables treatment of so-called integral projection models (IPMs). The theory is applied to a number of examples from population dynamics.


Asunto(s)
Algoritmos , Ecología , Modelos Teóricos , Dinámica Poblacional , Animales , Humanos , Dinámicas no Lineales
20.
J Math Biol ; 78(6): 1605-1636, 2019 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30603993

RESUMEN

We study the dynamics of a consumer-resource reaction-diffusion model, proposed recently by Zhang et al. (Ecol Lett 20(9):1118-1128, 2017), in both homogeneous and heterogeneous environments. For homogeneous environments we establish the global stability of constant steady states. For heterogeneous environments we study the existence and stability of positive steady states and the persistence of time-dependent solutions. Our results illustrate that for heterogeneous environments there are some parameter regions in which the resources are only partially limited in space, a unique feature which does not occur in homogeneous environments. Such difference between homogeneous and heterogeneous environments seems to be closely connected with a recent finding by Zhang et al. (2017), which says that in consumer-resource models, homogeneously distributed resources could support higher population abundance than heterogeneously distributed resources. This is opposite to the prediction by Lou (J Differ Equ 223(2):400-426, 2006. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jde.2005.05.010 ) for logistic-type models. For both small and high yield rates, we also show that when a consumer exists in a region with a heterogeneously distributed input of exploitable renewed limiting resources, the total population abundance at equilibrium can reach a greater abundance when it diffuses than when it does not. In contrast, such phenomenon may fail for intermediate yield rates.


Asunto(s)
Conservación de los Recursos Naturales , Ecosistema , Modelos Biológicos , Recursos Naturales/provisión & distribución , Dinámica Poblacional/estadística & datos numéricos , Modelos Logísticos
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