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Camptothecin is a complex monoterpenoid indole alkaloid with remarkable antitumor activity. Given that two C-10 modified camptothecin derivatives, topotecan and irinotecan, have been approved as potent anticancer agents, there is a critical need for methods to access other aromatic ring-functionalized congeners (e.g., C-9, C-10, etc.). However, contemporary methods for chemical oxidation are generally harsh and low-yielding when applied to the camptothecin scaffold, thereby limiting the development of modified derivatives. Reported herein, we have identified four tailoring enzymes responsible for C-9 modifications of camptothecin from Nothapodytes tomentosa, via metabolomic and transcriptomic analysis. These consist of a cytochrome P450 (NtCPT9H) which catalyzes the regioselective oxidation of camptothecin to 9-hydroxycamptothecin, as well as two methyltransferases (NtOMT1/2, converting 9-hydroxycamptothecin to 9-methoxycamptothecin), and a uridine diphosphate-glycosyltransferase (NtUGT5, decorating 9-hydroxycamptothecin to 9-ß-D-glucosyloxycamptothecin). Importantly, the critical residues that contribute to the specific catalytic activity of NtCPT9H have been elucidated through molecular docking and mutagenesis experiments. This work provides a genetic basis for producing camptothecin derivatives through metabolic engineering. This will hasten the discovery of novel C-9 modified camptothecin derivatives, with profound implications for pharmaceutical manufacture.

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Anisodus tanguticus is a medicinal herb that belongs to the Anisodus genus of the Solanaceae family. This endangered herb is mainly distributed in Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. In this study, we combined the Illumina short-read, Nanopore long-read and high-throughput chromosome conformation capture (Hi-C) sequencing technologies to de novo assemble the A. tanguticus genome. A high-quality chromosomal-level genome assembly was obtained with a genome size of 1.26 Gb and a contig N50 of 25.07 Mb. Of the draft genome sequences, 97.47% were anchored to 24 pseudochromosomes with a scaffold N50 of 51.28 Mb. In addition, 842.14 Mb of transposable elements occupying 66.70% of the genome assembly were identified and 44,252 protein-coding genes were predicted. The genome assembly of A. tanguticus will provide genetic repertoire to understand the adaptation strategy of Anisodus species in the plateau, which will further promote the conservation of endangered A. tanguticus resources.

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In this study, the extract from Artabotrys hexapetalus showed strong antifungal activity against phytopathogenic fungi in vitro. Four unreported aporphine alkaloids, hexapetalusine A-D (1-4), were isolated from stems and roots of Artabotrys hexapetalus (L.f.) Bhandari, along with six known aporphine alkaloids (5-10). Their chemical structures were elucidated by extensive spectroscopic analysis. The absolute configurations of 1-3 were determined using single-crystal X-ray diffractions and ECD calculations. Hexapetalusine A-C (1-3) were special amidic isomers. Additionally, all isolated compounds were evaluated for their antifungal activity against four phytopathogenic fungi in vitro. Hexapetalusine D (4) exhibited weak antifungal activity against Curvularia lunata. Liriodenine (5) displayed significant antifungal activity against Fusarium proliferatum and Fusarium oxysporum f. sp. vasinfectum, which is obviously better than positive control nystatin, suggesting that it had great potential to be developed into an effective and eco-friendly fungicide.

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Objective:To investigate the techniques of digit-tip replantation with anastomosis of superior digital arch artery in children and to evaluate the clinical effects.Methods:From January 2020 to September 2022, 62 children (62 digits) with completely severed digit-tips were admitted to the Department of Paediatric Orthopaedics, Suzhou Ruihua Orthopaedic Hospital. All the injury planes were distal to the nail root. All arterial dissections were distal to the digital arterial arch with the vessel calibre from 0.15 mm to 0.35 mm. The superior arch arteries of the digital arterial arch were successfully anastomosed. After surgery, a significant blood flux to the replanted digit body were observed. Postoperative necroses or failures were analysed for the causes. All children with survived digit-tips were entered into scheduled follow-ups through a combination of visit of outpatient clinics or via WeChat and telephone reviews. Postoperative follow-up included digit body fullness, motion of distal interphalangeal joint, nail growth, scarring, and response of the replanted digit-tips to needling. Clinical outcomes were evaluated according to the evaluation criteria for finger replantation function.Results:Of the 62 replanted digit-tips, 56 survived after replantation. Two digits had wound infection after surgery, and survived by dressing change and applying sensitive antibiotics. Necrosis occurred in 6 replanted digit-tips, of which 2 necrotic digit bodies were amputated, and the stumps at the distal interphalangeal joint were repaired. The other 4 necrotic digits were healed after dressing change under the scab due to a smaller digit body. A total of 52 children (including 2 survivals from postoperative infection after dressing changes and 4 survivals with healing underneath-eschar after necrosis) and with 10 lost during follow-up (including 2 with stump repairs after necrosis). The follow-up period ranged from 2 to 30 months, with an average of 6 months. The shape and function of replanted digit-tips recovered well. According to the evaluation criteria for finger replantation function, 44 digits were of excellent, 6 of good, and 2 of fair.Conclusion:In children, the superior arch arteries of digital arterial arches of the digit-tips are small in diameter. However, the vessels in smaller calibres can be anastomosed, should proper surgical techniques are applied. Therefore, due to the satisfactory outcomes, microsurgeons should try the best efforts to replant a digit severed at the plane of digit-tip.

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Prostate cancer emerges as a life-threatening disease that affects approximately 1.3 million patients of male population globally. Various studies established lncRNAs as a critical role in prostate cancer progression by regulating multiple epigenetic pathways. Therefore, it is imperative to disclose the involvement of lncRNAs in prostate cancer and their usability as prognostic markers for the disease. The model was constructed using Cox and LASSO analysis. The accuracy of model was evaluated using various cohorts. Furthermore, the study assessed the correlative relationship of the model with tumor immunity, immunotherapy, SNV mutation, and drug sensitivity, among other factors. We developed an accurate and stable prognostic model for prostate cancer patients by screening out 11 m6A regulators related lncRNAs and integrating pathological features and age through a nomogram model. The model had satisfactory accuracy and stability in stratification of clinical outcomes of prostate cancer patients, as demonstrated by AUC values (higher than 0.7) at 3, 5, and 7 years in both internal and external cohorts. Moreover, we performed PCA analysis to confirm m6A-related lncRNAs as the best modeling strategy. We developed a prognosis predicting model based on 11 selected m6A modification related lncRNA, which displayed satisfactory potency in multiple cohorts.

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BACKGROUND: Knee diseases are more common in middle-aged and elderly people, so artificial knee replacement is also more used in middle-aged and elderly people. Although the patient's pain can be reduced through surgery, often accompanied by moderate pain after surgery and neutralization, which not only increases the psychological burden of the patient, but also greatly reduces the postoperative recovery effect, and may also lead to the occurrence of postoperative adverse events in severe cases. AIM: To investigate the analgesic effect of artificial intelligence (AI) and ultrasound-guided nerve block in total knee arthroplasty (TKA). METHODS: A total of 92 patients with TKA admitted to our hospital from January 2021 to January 2022 were opted and divided into two groups according to the treatment regimen. The control group received combined spinal-epidural anesthesia. The research group received AI technique combined with ultrasound-guided nerve block anesthesia. The sensory block time, motor block time, visual analogue scale (VAS) at different time points and complications were contrasted between the two groups. RESULTS: The time of sensory block onset and sensory block perfection in the research group was shorter than those in the control group, but the results had no significant difference (P > 0.05). Duration of sensory block in the research group was significantly longer than those in the control group (P < 0.05). The time of motor block onset and motor block perfection in the research group was shorter than those in the control group, but the results had no significant difference (P > 0.05). Duration of motor block in the research group was significantly longer than those in the control group. The VAS scales of the research group were significantly lower than that of the control group at different time points (P < 0.05). The postoperative hip flexion and abduction range of motion in the research group were significantly better than those in the control group at different time points (P < 0.05). The incidence of complications was significantly lower in the research group than in the control group (P = 0.049). CONCLUSION: In TKA, the combination of AI technology and ultrasound-guided nerve block has a significantly effect, with fewer postoperative complications and significantly analgesic effect, which is worthy of application.

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BACKGROUND: Oxaliplatin (Oxa) is the first-line chemotherapy drug for colorectal cancer (CRC), and Oxa resistance is crucial for treatment failure. Prostaglandin F2α synthase (PGF2α) (PGFS), an enzyme that catalyzes the production of PGF2α, is involved in the proliferation and growth of a variety of tumors. However, the role of PGFS in Oxa resistance in CRC remains unclear. AIM: To explore the role and related mechanisms of PGFS in mediating Oxa resistance in CRC. METHODS: The PGFS expression level was examined in 37 pairs of CRC tissues and paracancerous tissues at both the mRNA and protein levels. Overexpression or knockdown of PGFS was performed in CRC cell lines with acquired Oxa resistance (HCT116-OxR and HCT8-OxR) and their parental cell lines (HCT116 and HCT8) to assess its influence on cell proliferation, chemoresistance, apoptosis, and DNA damage. For determination of the underlying mechanisms, CRC cells were examined for platinum-DNA adducts and reactive oxygen species (ROS) levels in the presence of a PGFS inhibitor or its products. RESULTS: Both the protein and mRNA levels of PGFS were increased in the 37 examined CRC tissues compared to the adjacent normal tissues. Oxa induced PGFS expression in the parental HCT116 and HCT8 cells in a dose-dependent manner. Furthermore, overexpression of PGFS in parental CRC cells significantly attenuated Oxa-induced proliferative suppression, apoptosis, and DNA damage. In contrast, knockdown of PGFS in Oxa-resistant HCT116 and HCT8 cells (HCT116-OxR and HCT8-OxR) accentuated the effect of Oxa treatment in vitro and in vivo. The addition of the PGFS inhibitor indomethacin enhanced the cytotoxicity caused by Oxa. Treatment with the PGFS-catalyzed product PGF2α reversed the effect of PGFS knockdown on Oxa sensitivity. Interestingly, PGFS inhibited the formation of platinum-DNA adducts in a PGF2α-independent manner. PGF2α exerts its protective effect against DNA damage by reducing ROS levels. CONCLUSION: PGFS promotes resistance to Oxa in CRC via both PGF2α-dependent and PGF2α-independent mechanisms.

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In view of the nephrotoxicity, hepatotoxicity, and carcinogenicity of aristolochic acids (AAs), the removal of AAs from plants becomes an urgent priority for ensuring the safety of Aristolochia herbal materials. In this study, based on the root-predominant distribution of aristolochic acid I (AAI) in Aristolochia debilis, transcriptome sequencing, in combination with phylogenetic analyses, and gene expression pattern analysis together provided five candidate genes for investigating AAI biosynthesis. Comprehensive in vitro and in vivo enzymatic assays revealed that Ab6OMT1 (6-O-methyltransferase) and AbNMT1 (N-methyltransferase) exhibit promiscuity in substrate recognition, and they could act in a cooperative fashion to achieve conversion of norlaudanosoline, a predicted intermediate in AAI biosynthetic route, into 3'-hydroxy-N-methylcoclaurine through two different methylation reaction sequences. These results shed light on the molecular basis for AAI biosynthesis in Aristolochia herbs. More importantly, Ab6OMT1 and AbNMT1 may be employed as targets for the metabolic engineering of AAI biosynthesis to produce AAs-free Aristolochia herbal materials.

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The tropane alkaloids (TAs) cocaine and hyoscyamine have been used medicinally for thousands of years. To understand the evolutionary origins and trajectories of serial biosynthetic enzymes of TAs and especially the characteristic tropane skeletons, we generated the chromosome-level genome assemblies of cocaine-producing Erythroxylum novogranatense (Erythroxylaceae, rosids clade) and hyoscyamine-producing Anisodus acutangulus (Solanaceae, asterids clade). Comparative genomic and phylogenetic analysis suggested that the lack of spermidine synthase/N-methyltransferase (EnSPMT1) in ancestral asterids species contributed to the divergence of polyamine (spermidine or putrescine) methylation in cocaine and hyoscyamine biosynthesis. Molecular docking analysis and key site mutation experiments suggested that ecgonone synthases CYP81AN15 and CYP82M3 adopt different active-site architectures to biosynthesize the same product ecgonone from the same substrate in Erythroxylaceae and Solanaceae. Further synteny analysis showed different evolutionary origins and trajectories of CYP81AN15 and CYP82M3, particularly the emergence of CYP81AN15 through the neofunctionalization of ancient tandem duplication genes. The combination of structural biology and comparative genomic analysis revealed that ecgonone methyltransferase, which is responsible for the biosynthesis of characteristic 2-substituted carboxymethyl group in cocaine, evolved from the tandem copies of salicylic acid methyltransferase by the mutations of critical E216 and S153 residues. Overall, we provided strong evidence for the independent origins of serial TA biosynthetic enzymes on the genomic and structural level, underlying the chemotypic convergence of TAs in phylogenetically distant species.

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Camptothecin (CPT) and its derivatives have attracted worldwide attention because of their notable anticancer activity. However, the growing demand for CPT in the global pharmaceutical industry has caused a severe shortage of CPT-producing plant resources. In this study, phytochemical analysis of Nothapodytes tomentosa results in the isolation and identification of CPT (13: ) and 16 analogues (1:  - 12, 14:  - 17: ), including a new (1: ) and five known (9, 10, 12, 15: , and 17: ) CPT analogues with an open E-ring. In view of the potential anticancer activity of CPT analogues with an open E-ring, the fragmentation pathways and mass spectra profiles of these six CPT analogues (1, 9, 10, 12, 15: , and 17: ) are investigated, providing a reference for the rapid detection of these compounds in other plants. Furthermore, based on the fragmentation patterns of CPT (13: ) and known analogues (2:  - 8, 11, 14, 16, 18:  - 26: ), the distribution and content of these compounds in different tissues of N. tomentosa, N. nimmoniana, Camptotheca acuminata, and Ophiorrhiza japonica are further studied. Our findings not only provide an alternative plant resource for further expanding the development and utilization of CPT and its analogues, but also lay a foundation for improving the utilization of known CPT-producing plant resources.

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Two new prenylxanthone derivatives, asperidulins A (1) and B (2), along with a known emodin analogue (3) were isolated from an apple-derived fungus Aspergillus nidulans KIB-HACM-01. Their structures were elucidated by interpretation of HRMS, NMR, and comparisons of specific optical rotation. Asperidulin B (2) exhibited a moderate cytotoxicity against A549 and BEAS-2B with an IC50 values of 13.62 ± 0.41 and 11.27 ± 0.52 µM, and methyl-averantin (3) showed moderate cytotoxicities against all six tested cell lines (HL-60, A549, SMMC-7721, MDA-MB-231, SW480, BEAS-2B) with IC50 values ranging from 8.93 ± 0.56 to 35.27 ± 0.25 µM.

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Quinolizidomycins A (1) and B (2), two unprecedented quinolizidine alkaloids featuring a tricyclic 6/6/5 ring system, were isolated from Streptomyces sp. KIB-1714. Their structures were assigned by detailed spectroscopic data analyses and X-ray diffraction. Stable isotope labeling experiments suggested that compounds 1 and 2 are derived from lysine, ribose 5-phosphate, and acetate units, which indicates an unprecedented manner of assembly of the quinolizidine (1-azabicyclo[4.4.0]decane) scaffold in quinolizidomycin biosynthesis. Quinolizidomycin A (1) was active in an acetylcholinesterase inhibitory assay.

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Background: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a progressive form of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The diagnostic gold standard for detecting NASH still relies upon an invasive pathological biopsy. There is, therefore, a need to identify non-invasive diagnostic markers. Oxidative stress mediates fatty liver progression to NASH. Imbalanced iron metabolism produces many reactive oxygen species (ROS). Ceruloplasmin is associated with oxidase and iron metabolism-related activities. The current study aimed to determine whether there was a correlation between ceruloplasmin levels and NASH and whether such a relationship may be associated with altered iron metabolism in NASH patients. Methods: A total of 135 NAFLD patients were enrolled in this study. A pathological biopsy confirmed that 60 of those patients had NAFLD activity scores (NAS) 5, while the remaining 75 had NAS<5. Results: Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves confirmed that serum ceruloplasmin and ferritin levels were predictors of NAS 5 and NAS<5, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.80 and 0.81, respectively. The serum ceruloplasmin levels in NAS 5 patients were significantly lower than those in NAS<5 patients (p< 0.001). Serum ceruloplasmin levels were also negatively correlated with ferritin levels. Lower serum ceruloplasmin levels were associated with more severe histopathological findings. Conclusions: Low serum ceruloplasmin and high serum ferritin are correlated with NASH. A high concentration of serum ferritin is a viable clinical biomarker of NASH, and low serum ceruloplasmin may participate in the occurrence of NASH by regulating iron load, which can be used as a non-invasive diagnostic marker of NASH.

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Six new azoxy-aromatic compounds (o-alkylazoxymycins A-F, 1-6) and two new nitrogen-bearing phenylvaleric/phenylheptanoic acid derivatives (o-alkylphemycins A and B, 7 and 8) were isolated from Streptomyces sp. Py50. Their structures were elucidated based on HRESIMS, NMR, UV spectroscopic analyses, and X-ray crystallographic data. O-Alkylazoxymycins A-F (1-6) are the first natural examples of azoxy compounds with the azoxy bond attached to the ortho-position of the phenylheptanoic acid or phenylvaleric acid moiety. Compounds 1, 5, and 6 were active against Epidermophyton floccosum with MIC50 values ranging from 10.1 to 51.2 µM. A plausible biosynthetic pathway of 2 and 3 was proposed.

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Guvermectin is a novel plant growth regulator that has been registered as a new agrochemical in China. It is an adenosine analogue with an unusual psicofuranose instead of ribose. Herein, the gene cluster responsible for guvermectin biosynthesis in Streptomyces caniferus NEAU6 is identified using gene interruption and heterologous expression experiments. A key intermediate psicofuranine 6'-phosphate (PMP) is chemically synthesized, and the functions of GvmB, C, D, and E are verified by individual stepwise enzyme reactions in vitro. The results also show that the biosynthesis of guvermectin is coupled with adenosine production by a single cluster. The higher catalytic efficiency of GvmB on PMP than AMP ensures the effective biosynthesis of guvermectin. Moreover, a phosphoribohydrolase GvmA is employed in the pathway that can hydrolyze AMP but not PMP and shows higher catalytic efficiency for the AMP hydrolysis than that of the AMP dephosphorylation by GvmB, leading to shunting of adenosine biosynthesis toward the production of guvermectin. Finally, the crystal structure of GvmE in complex with the product PMP has been solved. Glu160 at the C-terminal is identified as the acid/base for protonation/deprotonation of N7 of the adenine ring, demonstrating that GvmE is a noncanonical adenine phosphoribosyltransferase.

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Angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors are widely used for treatment of hypertension and related diseases. Here, six karnamicins E1-E6 (1-6), which bear fully substituted hydroxypyridine and thiazole moieties are characterized from the rare actinobacterium Lechevalieria rhizosphaerae NEAU-A2. Through a combination of isotopic labeling, genome mining, and enzymatic characterization studies, the programmed assembly of the fully substituted hydroxypyridine moiety in karnamicin is proposed to be due to sequential operation of a hybrid polyketide synthase-nonribosomal peptide synthetase, two regioselective pyridine ring flavoprotein hydroxylases, and a methyltransferase. Based on AlphaFold protein structures predictions, molecular docking, and site-directed mutagenesis, we find that two pyridine hydroxylases deploy active site residues distinct from other flavoprotein monooxygenases to direct the chemo- and regioselective hydroxylation of the pyridine nucleus. Pleasingly, karnamicins show significant angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitory activity with IC50 values ranging from 0.24 to 5.81 µM, suggesting their potential use for the treatment of hypertension and related diseases.

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Objective: To investigate the effect and possible mechanism of Y-box-binding protein 1 (YB-1) on sorafenib resistance in hepatoma cells. Methods: Lentiviral vectors with YB-1 overexpression and knockdown were constructed, respectively, to stimulate human hepatoma cell lines (HepG2 and Huh7) alone or in combination with sorafenib.The overexpression part of the experiment was divided into four groups: overexpression control group (Lv-NC), YB-1 overexpression group (Lv-YB-1), overexpression control combined with sorafenib resistance group (Lv-NC+sorafenib), YB-1 overexpression combined with sorafenib resistance group (Lv-YB-1 + sorafenib). The knockdown part of the experiment was also divided into four groups: knockdown control group (Lv-shNC), YB-1 knockdown group (Lv-shYB-1), knockdown control combined with sorafenib resistance group (Lv-shNC + sorafenib), YB-1 knockdown combined with sorafenib resistance group (Lv-shYB-1 + sorafenib). The occurrence of cell apoptosis was detected by TUNEL. The protein expression levels of phosphorylated (p)-ERK and ERK, key proteins in the extracellular regulatory protein kinase (ERK) signaling pathway, were detected by Western blot and quantified by ImageJ software. Subcutaneous tumorigenesis experiments were performed in nude mice. The effect of YB-1 on the efficacy of sorafenib was verified in vivo. The comparison between the two sets of data was carried out by an independent sample t-test. One-way ANOVA was used for comparisons between the three groups of data above. Results: Sorafenib had accelerated the occurrence of apoptosis in hepatoma cells, while YB-1 overexpression had inhibited cell apoptosis, and at the same time also inhibited the apoptosis-accelerating impact of sorafenib. On the contrary, YB-1 knockdown accelerated cell apoptosis and amplified the induction effect of sorafenib on apoptosis. Furthermore, sorafenib resistance had down-regulated p-ERK levels (HepG2: Lv-NC 0.685 ± 0.143, Lv-NC + sorafenib 0.315 ± 0.168, P < 0.05; Huh7: Lv-NC 0.576 ± 0.078, Lv-NC + sorafenib 0.150 ± 0.131, P < 0.01), whereas YB-1 overexpression had inhibited sorafenib resistance p-ERK reduction (HepG2: Lv-NC + sorafenib 0.315 ± 0.168, Lv-YB-1 + sorafenib 0.688 ± 0.042, P < 0.05; Huh7: Lv-NC + sorafenib 0.150 ± 0.131, Lv-YB-1 + sorafenib 0.553 ± 0.041, P < 0.05). YB-1 knockdown further increased sorafenib-induced p-ERK downregulation (HepG2: Lv-shNC + sorafenib 0.911 ± 0.252, Lv-shYB-1 + sorafenib 0.500 ± 0.201, P < 0.05; Huh7: Lv-shNC + sorafenib 0.577 ± 0.082, Lv-shYB-1 + sorafenib 0.350 ± 0.143, P < 0.05), which was further verified in naked mice (Lv-shNC + sorafenib 0.812 ± 0.279, Lv-shYB-1 + sorafenib 0.352 ± 0.109, P < 0.05). Conclusion: YB-1 mediates the occurrence of sorafenib resistance via the ERK signaling pathway in hepatoma cells.

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Food is a fundamental human right, and global food security is threatened by crop production. Plant growth regulators (PGRs) play an essential role in improving crop yield and quality, and this study reports on a novel PGR, termed guvermectin (GV), isolated from plant growth-promoting rhizobacteria, which can promote root and coleoptile growth, tillering, and early maturing in rice. GV is a nucleoside analogue like cytokinin (CK), but it was found that GV significantly promoted root and hypocotyl growth, which is different from the function of CK in Arabidopsis. The Arabidopsis CK receptor triple mutant ahk2-2 ahk3-3 cre1-12 still showed a GV response. Moreover, GV led different growth-promoting traits from auxin, gibberellin (GA), and brassinosteroid (BR) in Arabidopsis and rice. The results from a four-year field trial involving 28 rice varieties showed that seed-soaking treatment with GV increased the yields by 6.2 to 19.6%, outperforming the 4.0 to 10.8% for CK, 1.6 to 16.9% for BR, and 2.2 to 7.1% for GA-auxin-BR mixture. Transcriptome analysis demonstrated that GV induced different transcriptome patterns from CK, auxin, BR, and GA, and SAUR genes may regulate GV-mediated plant growth and development. This study suggests that GV represents a novel PGR with a unique signal perception and transduction pathway in plants.

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Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the world's deadliest infectious disease killers today, and despite China's increasing efforts to prevent and control TB, the TB epidemic is still very serious. In the context of the COVID-19 pandemic, if reliable forecasts of TB epidemic trends can be made, they can help policymakers with early warning and contribute to the prevention and control of TB. In this study, we collected monthly reports of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) in Guiyang, China, from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2020, and monthly meteorological data for the same period, and used LASSO regression to screen four meteorological factors that had an influence on the monthly reports of PTB in Guiyang, including sunshine hours, relative humidity, average atmospheric pressure, and annual highest temperature, of which relative humidity (6-month lag) and average atmospheric pressure (7-month lag) have a lagging effect with the number of TB reports in Guiyang. Based on these data, we constructed ARIMA, Holt-Winters (additive and multiplicative), ARIMAX (with meteorological factors), LSTM, and multivariable LSTM (with meteorological factors). We found that the addition of meteorological factors significantly improved the performance of the time series prediction model, which, after comprehensive consideration, included the ARIMAX (1,1,1) (0,1,2)12 model with a lag of 7 months at the average atmospheric pressure, outperforms the other models in terms of both fit (RMSE = 37.570, MAPE = 10.164%, MAE = 28.511) and forecast sensitivity (RMSE = 20.724, MAPE = 6.901%, MAE = 17.306), so the ARIMAX (1,1,1) (0,1,2)12 model with a lag of 7 months can be used as a predictor tool for predicting the number of monthly reports of PTB in Guiyang, China.

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