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[Progress in surveillance of acute respiratory infections in the Republic of Cuba]. / Progresos en la vigilancia de las infecciones respiratorias agudas en la república de Cuba.
González Ochoa, E; Armas Pérez, L; Pérez Rodríguez, A; Goyenechea Hernández, A; Aguirre Jaime, A.
Afiliação
  • González Ochoa E; Instituto de Medicina Tropical Pedro Kouri, La Habana, Cuba.
Rev Sanid Hig Publica (Madr) ; 67(4): 305-14, 1993.
Article em Es | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-7732296
BACKGROUND: A process of techniques perfection of the epidemiologic surveillance of morbidity by Acute Respiratory Infections, with the purpose of obtaining a better and more appropriate description of the problem, was carried out. METHODS: A mathematical model of Fourier harmonic analysis and an Arima model was applied to the time series of weekly consulting rates for those diseases by age groups and provinces. This allowed to identify the epidemical moments, based on the prediction of expected values and an specific cut-off. RESULTS: The application of this technique made it possible and early and appropriate identification of an epidemical rise in children of less than 1 year, between July and August of 1988, with the identification of the Respiratory Syncytial Virus, as the aetiological agent. In the age-group of 5-14 years, a rise was observed in September, at the beginning of the school-year, and a smaller one between May-June of 1989. In the group age of 65 years and more, an epidemical increase took place from July to October. CONCLUSIONS: The use of these techniques provided new possibilities to make more precise and appropriate recommendations to improve epidemiological surveillance of these diseases at a national level.
Assuntos
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Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Infecções Respiratórias Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies / Screening_studies Limite: Adolescent / Adult / Aged / Child / Child, preschool / Humans / Infant / Middle aged / Newborn País/Região como assunto: Caribe / Cuba Idioma: Es Revista: Rev Sanid Hig Publica (Madr) Ano de publicação: 1993 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Cuba País de publicação: Espanha
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Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Infecções Respiratórias Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies / Screening_studies Limite: Adolescent / Adult / Aged / Child / Child, preschool / Humans / Infant / Middle aged / Newborn País/Região como assunto: Caribe / Cuba Idioma: Es Revista: Rev Sanid Hig Publica (Madr) Ano de publicação: 1993 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Cuba País de publicação: Espanha