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Current and future potential distributions of Helicoverpa punctigera (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae): is this the next FAW?
de M Oliveira, Ruan C; Zalucki, Myron P; Pastori, Patrik L; Kriticos, Darren J.
Afiliação
  • de M Oliveira RC; Programa de Pós-graduação em Agronomia/Fitotecnia, Universidade Federal do Ceará - UFC, Av. Mister Hull, 2977, 60356-001, Fortaleza CE, Brazil.
  • Zalucki MP; School of Biological Science, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD4072, Australia.
  • Pastori PL; Programa de Pós-graduação em Agronomia/Fitotecnia, Universidade Federal do Ceará - UFC, Av. Mister Hull, 2977, 60356-001, Fortaleza CE, Brazil.
  • Kriticos DJ; School of Biological Science, The University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD4072, Australia.
Bull Entomol Res ; 112(1): 119-130, 2022 Feb.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34474704
Helicoverpa punctigera (Wallengren), the native budworm, is an important highly polyphagous pest that has caused serious damage on a wide variety of crops in Australia. In Australia, its range overlaps that of its congener, Helicoverpa armigera (Hübner), a notorious invasive pest globally. We used CLIMEX, a bioclimatic niche modelling software package, to estimate the potential geographical distribution of H. punctigera under current and future climates (A1B scenario). Under both current and future climate conditions, the model indicates that H. punctigera could establish throughout the tropics and subtropics. Comparing the potential distributions under each climate scenario revealed that in the future its potential distribution is likely to shift poleward and into higher altitudes, into areas that are currently too cold as observed in the South of Brazil, Europe, North America, South East Asia, and South Pacific Islands including New Zealand. The projected potential distribution can inform pre- and post-border biosecurity strategies for the management of this pest in each country.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Mariposas Limite: Animals País/Região como assunto: America do sul / Brasil / Europa / Oceania Idioma: En Revista: Bull Entomol Res Ano de publicação: 2022 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Brasil País de publicação: Reino Unido

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Mariposas Limite: Animals País/Região como assunto: America do sul / Brasil / Europa / Oceania Idioma: En Revista: Bull Entomol Res Ano de publicação: 2022 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Brasil País de publicação: Reino Unido