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Brazil's sugarcane embitters the EU-Mercosur trade talks.
Follador, Marco; Soares-Filho, Britaldo Silveira; Philippidis, George; Davis, Juliana Leroy; de Oliveira, Amanda Ribeiro; Rajão, Raoni.
Afiliação
  • Follador M; Joint Research Centre, Bio-Economy Unit, European Commission, Ispra, Italy. marco.follador@ec.europa.eu.
  • Soares-Filho BS; Centre for Remote Sensing (CSR), Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
  • Philippidis G; Aragonese Agency for Research and Development (ARAID), Centre for Agro-Food Research and, Technology (CITA), Agrifood Institute of Aragón (IA2), Government of Aragón, Saragossa, Spain.
  • Davis JL; Joint Research Centre, Economics of Agriculture Unit, European Commission, Seville, Spain.
  • de Oliveira AR; Centre for Remote Sensing (CSR), Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
  • Rajão R; Centre for Remote Sensing (CSR), Federal University of Minas Gerais, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 13768, 2021 07 02.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34215823
The Brazilian government's decision to open the Amazon biome to sugarcane expansion reignited EU concerns regarding the sustainability of Brazil's sugar sector, hindering the ratification of the EU-Mercosur trade agreement. Meanwhile, in the EU, certain conventional biofuels face stricter controls, whilst uncertainty surrounding the commercialisation of more sustainable advanced-biofuels renders bioethanol as a short- to medium-term fix. This paper examines Brazil's land-use changes and associated greenhouse gas emissions arising from an EU driven ethanol import policy and projections for other 13 biocommodities. Results suggest that Brazil's sugarcane could satisfy growing ethanol demand and comply with EU environmental criteria, since almost all sugarcane expansion is expected to occur on long-established pasturelands in the South and Midwest. However, expansion of sugarcane is also driven by competition for viable lands with other relevant commodities, mainly soy and beef. As a result, deforestation trends in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes linked to soy and beef production could jeopardize Brazil's contribution to the Paris agreement with an additional 1 ± 0.3 billion CO2eq tonnes above its First NDC target by 2030. Trade talks with a narrow focus on a single commodity could thus risk unsustainable outcomes, calling for systemic sustainability benchmarks, should the deal be ratified.

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies País/Região como assunto: America do sul / Brasil Idioma: En Revista: Sci Rep Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Itália País de publicação: Reino Unido

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies País/Região como assunto: America do sul / Brasil Idioma: En Revista: Sci Rep Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Itália País de publicação: Reino Unido