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Modelling the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on violent discipline against children.
Fabbri, Camilla; Bhatia, Amiya; Petzold, Max; Jugder, Munkhbadar; Guedes, Alessandra; Cappa, Claudia; Devries, Karen.
Afiliação
  • Fabbri C; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom. Electronic address: camilla.fabbri@lshtm.ac.uk.
  • Bhatia A; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom. Electronic address: amiya.bhatia@lshtm.ac.uk.
  • Petzold M; University of Gothenburg, Sweden. Electronic address: max.petzold@gu.se.
  • Jugder M; UNICEF, USA. Electronic address: mjugder@unicef.org.
  • Guedes A; UNICEF Office of Research Innocenti, Italy. Electronic address: aguedes@unicef.org.
  • Cappa C; UNICEF, USA. Electronic address: ccappa@unicef.org.
  • Devries K; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, United Kingdom. Electronic address: karen.devries@lshtm.ac.uk.
Child Abuse Negl ; 116(Pt 2): 104897, 2021 06.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33451678
BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic could increase violence against children at home. However, collecting empirical data on violence is challenging due to ethical, safety, and data quality concerns. OBJECTIVE: This study estimated the anticipated effect of COVID-19 on violent discipline at home using multivariable predictive regression models. PARTICIPANTS: Children aged 1-14 years and household members from the Multiple Indicator Cluster Surveys (MICS) conducted in Nigeria, Mongolia, and Suriname before the COVID-19 pandemic were included. METHODS: A conceptual model of how the COVID-19 pandemic could affect risk factors for violent discipline was developed. Country specific multivariable linear models were used to estimate the association between selected variables from MICS and a violent discipline score which captured the average combination of violent disciplinary methods used in the home. A review of the literature informed the development of quantitative assumptions about how COVID-19 would impact the selected variables under a "high restrictions" pandemic scenario, approximating conditions expected during a period of intense response measures, and a "lower restrictions" scenario with easing of COVID-19 restrictions but with sustained economic impacts. These assumptions were used to estimate changes in violent discipline scores. RESULTS: Under a "high restrictions" scenario there would be a 35%-46% increase in violent discipline scores in Nigeria, Mongolia and Suriname, and under a "lower restrictions" scenario there would be between a 4%-6% increase in violent discipline scores in these countries. CONCLUSION: Policy makers need to plan for increases in violent discipline during successive waves of lockdowns.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Maus-Tratos Infantis / COVID-19 Tipo de estudo: Etiology_studies / Prevalence_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Aspecto: Ethics Limite: Adolescent / Adult / Child / Child, preschool / Female / Humans / Infant / Male País/Região como assunto: Africa / America do sul / Caribe ingles / Suriname Idioma: En Revista: Child Abuse Negl Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de publicação: Reino Unido
Texto completo
Adicionar na Minha BVS
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
Buscar no Google

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Maus-Tratos Infantis / COVID-19 Tipo de estudo: Etiology_studies / Prevalence_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Aspecto: Ethics Limite: Adolescent / Adult / Child / Child, preschool / Female / Humans / Infant / Male País/Região como assunto: Africa / America do sul / Caribe ingles / Suriname Idioma: En Revista: Child Abuse Negl Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de publicação: Reino Unido