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On the increasing role of older adolescents and younger adults during the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in Mexico.
Stern, Dalia; Lajous, Martin; De la Rosa, Blanca; Goldstein, Edward.
Afiliação
  • Stern D; Centro de Investigación en Salud Poblacional, Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Cuernavaca, México.
  • Lajous M; Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología (CONACYT), Ciudad de México, México.
  • De la Rosa B; Centro de Investigación en Salud Poblacional, Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública, Cuernavaca, México.
  • Goldstein E; Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, United States.
medRxiv ; 2020 Dec 15.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33354686
Background: During the first months of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, Mexico implemented a national lockdown followed by post-lockdown mitigation. Methods: We used daily number of SARS-CoV-2-confirmed hospitalizations (by date of symptom onset) to assess the changes in the incidence of individuals between the age of 10-59 years during the epidemic in Mexico. For each age group g, we computed the proportion E(g) of individuals in that age group among all cases aged 10-59y during the early lockdown period (April 20-May 3, 2020), and the corresponding proportion L(g) during the late lockdown period (May 18-31, 2020) and post-lockdown mitigation (June 15-28, 2020). For each later period (late lockdown or post-lockdown), we computed the proportion ratios relative to the early lockdown period PR(g)=L(g)/E(g). For each pair of age groups g1,g2, PR(g1)> PR(g2) is interpreted as a relative increase in SARS-CoV-2 infections in the age group g1 compared to g2 for the late lockdown and post-lockdown periods vs. the early lockdown period. Results: For the late lockdown period, the highest PR estimates belong to persons aged 15-19y (PR=1.69(95%CI(1.05, 2.72))) and 20-24y (PR=1.43(1.10,1.86)). For the post-lockdown period, the highest PR estimates were also in age groups 15-19y (PR=2.05(1.30, 3.24)) and 20-24y (PR=1.49(1.15,1.93)). These estimates were higher in persons 15-24y compared to those ≥30y. Conclusions: Our results suggest that adolescents and younger adults had an increased relative incidence during late lockdown and the post-lockdown mitigation periods. The role of these age groups during the epidemic should be considered when implementing future pandemic response efforts.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE País/Região como assunto: Mexico Idioma: En Revista: MedRxiv Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Article País de publicação: Estados Unidos

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE País/Região como assunto: Mexico Idioma: En Revista: MedRxiv Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Article País de publicação: Estados Unidos