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Increase in COVID-19 inpatient survival following detection of Thromboembolic and Cytokine storm risk from the point of admission to hospital by a near real time Traffic-light System (TraCe-Tic).
Vizcaychipi, Marcela P; Shovlin, Claire L; McCarthy, Alex; Godfrey, Andrew; Patel, Sheena; Shah, Pallav L; Hayes, Michelle; Keays, Richard T; Beveridge, Iain; Davies, Gary.
Afiliação
  • Vizcaychipi MP; Chelsea & Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, London, United Kingdom; Imperial College London, Department of Surgery and Cancer, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: Marcela.Vizcaychipi@chelwest.nhs.uk.
  • Shovlin CL; Imperial College London, NHLI Vascular Science, London, United Kingdom. Electronic address: c.shovlin@imperial.ac.uk.
  • McCarthy A; Chelsea & Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Information, Data Quality and Clinical Coding, London, United Kingdom.
  • Godfrey A; Chelsea & Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Haematology, London, United Kingdom.
  • Patel S; Chelsea & Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Pharmacy, London, United Kingdom.
  • Shah PL; Chelsea & Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Respiratory Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
  • Hayes M; Chelsea & Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, London, United Kingdom.
  • Keays RT; Chelsea & Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, London, United Kingdom; Imperial College London, Department of Surgery and Cancer, London, United Kingdom.
  • Beveridge I; West Middlesex University Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Department of Anaesthesia & Intensive Care Medicine, Isleworth, United Kingdom.
  • Davies G; Chelsea & Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, Respiratory Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Braz J Infect Dis ; 24(5): 412-421, 2020.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32857990
INTRODUCTION: Our goal was to evaluate if traffic-light driven personalized care for COVID-19 was associated with improved survival in acute hospital settings. METHODS: Discharge outcomes were evaluated before and after prospective implementation of a real-time dashboard with feedback to ward-based clinicians. Thromboembolism categories were "medium-risk" (D-dimer >1000ng/mL or CRP >200mg/L); "high-risk" (D-dimer >3000ng/mL or CRP >250mg/L) or "suspected" (D-dimer >5000ng/mL). Cytokine storm risk was categorized by ferritin. RESULTS: 939/1039 COVID-19 positive patients (median age 67 years, 563/939 (60%) male) completed hospital encounters to death or discharge by 21st May 2020. Thromboembolism flag criteria were reached by 568/939 (60.5%), including 238/275 (86.6%) of the patients who died, and 330/664 (49.7%) of the patients who survived to discharge, p<0.0001. Cytokine storm flag criteria were reached by 212 (22.6%) of admissions, including 80/275 (29.1%) of the patients who died, and 132/664 (19.9%) of the patients who survived, p<0.0001. The maximum thromboembolism flag discriminated completed encounter mortality (no flag: 37/371 [9.97%] died; medium-risk: 68/239 [28.5%]; high-risk: 105/205 [51.2%]; and suspected thromboembolism: 65/124 [52.4%], p<0.0001). Flag criteria were reached by 535 consecutive COVID-19 positive patients whose hospital encounter completed before traffic-light introduction: 173/535 (32.3% [95% confidence intervals 28.0, 36.0]) died. For the 200 consecutive admissions after implementation of real-time traffic light flags, 46/200 (23.0% [95% confidence intervals 17.1, 28.9]) died, p=0.013. Adjusted for age and sex, the probability of death was 0.33 (95% confidence intervals 0.30, 0.37) before traffic light implementation, 0.22 (0.17, 0.27) after implementation, p<0.001. In subgroup analyses, older patients, males, and patients with hypertension (p≤0.01), and/or diabetes (p=0.05) derived the greatest benefit from admission under the traffic light system. CONCLUSION: Personalized early interventions were associated with a 33% reduction in early mortality. We suggest benefit predominantly resulted from early triggers to review/enhance anticoagulation management, without exposing lower-risk patients to potential risks of full anticoagulation therapy.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Pneumonia Viral / Tromboembolia / Infecções por Coronavirus / Pandemias Tipo de estudo: Diagnostic_studies / Etiology_studies / Observational_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limite: Aged / Humans / Male Idioma: En Revista: Braz J Infect Dis Assunto da revista: DOENCAS TRANSMISSIVEIS Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Article País de publicação: Brasil

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Pneumonia Viral / Tromboembolia / Infecções por Coronavirus / Pandemias Tipo de estudo: Diagnostic_studies / Etiology_studies / Observational_studies / Risk_factors_studies Limite: Aged / Humans / Male Idioma: En Revista: Braz J Infect Dis Assunto da revista: DOENCAS TRANSMISSIVEIS Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Article País de publicação: Brasil