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Is hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination achievable among people who inject drugs in Tijuana, Mexico? A modeling analysis.
Marquez, Lara K; Cepeda, Javier A; Bórquez, Annick; Strathdee, Steffanie A; Gonzalez-Zúñiga, Patricia E; Fleiz, Clara; Rafful, Claudia; Garfein, Richard S; Kiene, Susan M; Brodine, Stephanie; Martin, Natasha K.
Afiliação
  • Marquez LK; Department of Family Medicine & Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, United States; School of Public Health, San Diego State University, San Diego, California, United States. Electronic address: lkusnezo@mail.ucsd.edu.
  • Cepeda JA; Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, United States.
  • Bórquez A; Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, United States.
  • Strathdee SA; Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, United States.
  • Gonzalez-Zúñiga PE; Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, United States.
  • Fleiz C; National Institute of Psychiatry Ramon de la Fuente Muniz, Huipulco, Tlalpan, Mexico City, United States.
  • Rafful C; Faculty of Psychology, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Mexico City, United States; Center on Global Mental Health Research, National Institute of Psychiatry, Mexico City, United States; Centre on Drug Policy Evaluation, St. Michael's Hospital, Toronto, OH, Canada.
  • Garfein RS; Department of Family Medicine & Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, United States.
  • Kiene SM; School of Public Health, San Diego State University, San Diego, California, United States.
  • Brodine S; School of Public Health, San Diego State University, San Diego, California, United States.
  • Martin NK; Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, California, United States; Population Health Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.
Int J Drug Policy ; 88: 102710, 2021 02.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32165050
BACKGROUND: In 2019, Mexico became the first Latin American country committed to hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination, but the amount of intervention scale-up required is unclear. In Tijuana, HCV among people who inject drugs (PWID) is high; yet there is minimal and intermittent harm reduction, and involuntary exposure to compulsory abstinence programs (CAP) occurs which is associated with increased HCV risk. We determined what combination intervention scale-up can achieve HCV elimination among current and former PWID in Tijuana. METHODS: We constructed a dynamic, deterministic model of HCV transmission, disease progression, and harm reduction among current and former PWID parameterized to Tijuana (~10,000 current PWID, 90% HCV seropositive, minimal opiate agonist therapy [OAT] or high coverage needle/syringe programs [HCNSP]). We evaluated the number of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatments needed from 2019 to achieve elimination targets (80% incidence reduction, 65% mortality reduction by 2030) with: (a) DAAs alone, (b) DAAs plus scale-up of OAT+HCNSP (up to 50% coverage of OAT and HCNSP separately, producing 25% of PWID receiving both), (c) DAAs plus CAP scale-up to 50%. Scenarios examined the number of DAAs required if prioritized to current PWID or provided regardless of current injection status, and impact of harm reduction interruptions. RESULTS: Modeling suggests among ~30,000 current and former PWID in Tijuana, 16,160 (95%CI: 12,770-21,610) have chronic HCV. DAA scale-up can achieve the incidence target, requiring 770 treatments/year (95%CI: 640-970) if prioritized to current PWID. 40% fewer DAAs are required with OAT+HCNSP scale-up to 50% among PWID, whereas more are required with involuntary CAP scale-up. Both targets can only be achieved through treating both current and former PWID (1,710 treatments/year), and impact is reduced with harm reduction interruptions. CONCLUSIONS: Elimination targets are achievable in Tijuana through scale-up of harm reduction and DAA therapy, whereas involuntary CAP and harm reduction interruptions hamper elimination.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Preparações Farmacêuticas / Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa / Hepatite C / Hepatite C Crônica Limite: Humans País/Região como assunto: Mexico Idioma: En Revista: Int J Drug Policy Assunto da revista: SAUDE PUBLICA / TRANSTORNOS RELACIONADOS COM SUBSTANCIAS Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de publicação: Holanda

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Assunto principal: Preparações Farmacêuticas / Abuso de Substâncias por Via Intravenosa / Hepatite C / Hepatite C Crônica Limite: Humans País/Região como assunto: Mexico Idioma: En Revista: Int J Drug Policy Assunto da revista: SAUDE PUBLICA / TRANSTORNOS RELACIONADOS COM SUBSTANCIAS Ano de publicação: 2021 Tipo de documento: Article País de publicação: Holanda