Modelling and simulating Chikungunya spread with an unstructured triangular cellular automata.

Ortigoza, Gerardo; Brauer, Fred; Neri, Iris

Ortigoza, Gerardo; Brauer, Fred; Neri, Iris.

Afiliação

Ortigoza G; Facultad de Ingeniería,Universidad Veracruzana, Boca Del Río, Ver, Mexico.
Brauer F; Mathematics Department, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, B.C, Canada.
Neri I; Maestría en Gestión Integrada de Cuencas, Universidad Autónoma de Querétaro, Mexico.

Infect Dis Model ; 5: 197-220, 2020.

Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32021947

RESUMO

In this work we propose a mathematical model to simulate Chikungunya spread; the spread model is implemented in a C++ cellular automata code defined on unstructured triangular grids and space visualizations are performed with Python. In order to simulate the time space spread of the Chikungunya diseases we include assumptions such as: heterogeneous human and vector densities, population mobility, geographically localized points of infection using geographical information systems, changes in the probabilities of infection, extrinsic incubation and mosquito death rate due to environmental variables. Numerical experiments reproduce the qualitative behavior of diseases spread and provide an insight to develop strategies to prevent the diseases spread.

Palavras-chave

Cellular automata; Chikungunya spread; Unstructured triangular grids

Texto completo

Adicionar na Minha BVS

Imprimir

XML

PubMed Links

Buscar no Google

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Tipo de estudo: Prognostic_studies / Qualitative_research Idioma: En Revista: Infect Dis Model Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: México País de publicação: China

Texto completo

Adicionar na Minha BVS

Imprimir

XML

PubMed Links

Buscar no Google