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External validation of SAPS 3 and MPM0-III scores in 48,816 patients from 72 Brazilian ICUs.
Moralez, Giulliana Martines; Rabello, Ligia Sarmet Cunha Farah; Lisboa, Thiago Costa; Lima, Mariza da Fonte Andrade; Hatum, Rodrigo Marques; De Marco, Fernando Vinicius Cesar; Alves, Alessandra; Pinto, Jorge Eduardo da Silva Soares; de Araújo, Hélia Beatriz Nunes; Ramos, Grazielle Viana; Silva, Aline Reis; Fernandes, Guilherme Côrtes; Faria, Guilherme Brenande Alves; Mendes, Ciro Leite; Ramos Filho, Roberto Álvaro; de Souza, Valdênia Pereira; do Brasil, Pedro Emmanuel Alvarenga Americano; Bozza, Fernando Augusto; Salluh, Jorge Ibrain Figueira; Soares, Marcio.
Afiliação
  • Moralez GM; Graduate Program in Translational Medicine, D'Or Institute for Research and Education (IDOR), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • Rabello LSCF; PPG Internal Medicine, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • Lisboa TC; ICU, Hospital Copa D'Or, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • Lima MDFA; Complexo Hospitalar, Santa Casa de Misericórdia de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, Brazil.
  • Hatum RM; ICU, Hospital Esperança Recife, Recife, Brazil.
  • De Marco FVC; ICU, Hospital Total Cor, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • Alves A; ICU, Hospital viValle, São José dos Campos, Brazil.
  • Pinto JEDSS; ICU, Hospital Rios D'Or, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • de Araújo HBN; ICU, Hospital Norte D'Or, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • Ramos GV; Hospital do Coração do Brasil, Brasília, Brazil.
  • Silva AR; Department of Critical Care, D'Or Institute for Research and Education (IDOR), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • Fernandes GC; Department of Critical Care, D'Or Institute for Research and Education (IDOR), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • Faria GBA; ICU, Santa Casa de Misericórdia de Juiz de Fora, Juiz de Fora, Brazil.
  • Mendes CL; ICU, Hospital Oeste D'Or, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • Ramos Filho RÁ; ICU, Hospital Universitário Lauro Wanderley, João Pessoa, Brazil.
  • de Souza VP; ICU, Hospital São Luiz - Unidade Jabaquara, São Paulo, Brazil.
  • do Brasil PEAA; Complexo Hospitalar de Niterói, Niterói, Brazil.
  • Bozza FA; Department of Critical Care, D'Or Institute for Research and Education (IDOR), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • Salluh JIF; Instituto Nacional de Infectologia Evandro Chagas, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz-Fiocruz, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
  • Soares M; Department of Critical Care, D'Or Institute for Research and Education (IDOR), Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.
Ann Intensive Care ; 7(1): 53, 2017 Dec.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28523584
BACKGROUND: The performance of severity-of-illness scores varies in different scenarios and must be validated prior of being used in a specific settings and geographic regions. Moreover, models' calibration may deteriorate overtime and performance of such instruments should be reassessed regularly. Therefore, we aimed at to validate the SAPS 3 in a large contemporary cohort of patients admitted to Brazilian ICUs. In addition, we also compared the performance of the SAPS 3 with the MPM0-III. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study in which 48,816 (medical admissions = 67.9%) adult patients are admitted to 72 Brazilian ICUs during 2013. We evaluated models' discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). We applied the calibration belt to evaluate the agreement between observed and expected mortality rates (calibration). RESULTS: Mean SAPS 3 score was 44.3 ± 15.4 points. ICU and hospital mortality rates were 11.0 and 16.5%. We estimated predicted mortality using both standard (SE) and Central and South American (CSA) customized equations. Predicted mortality rates were 16.4 ± 19.3% (SAPS 3-SE), 21.7 ± 23.2% (SAPS 3-CSA) and 14.3 ± 14.0% (MPM0-III). Standardized mortality ratios (SMR) obtained for each model were: 1.00 (95% CI, 0.98-0.102) for the SAPS 3-SE, 0.75 (0.74-0.77) for the SAPS 3-CSA and 1.15 (1.13-1.18) for the MPM0-III. Discrimination was better for SAPS 3 models (AUROC = 0.85) than for MPM0-III (AUROC = 0.80) (p < 0.001). We applied the calibration belt to evaluate the agreement between observed and expected mortality rates (calibration): the SAPS 3-CSA overestimated mortality throughout all risk classes while the MPM0-III underestimated it uniformly. The SAPS 3-SE did not show relevant deviations from ideal calibration. CONCLUSIONS: In a large contemporary database, the SAPS 3-SE was accurate in predicting outcomes, supporting its use for performance evaluation and benchmarking in Brazilian ICUs.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Tipo de estudo: Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies País/Região como assunto: America do sul / Brasil Idioma: En Revista: Ann Intensive Care Ano de publicação: 2017 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Brasil País de publicação: Alemanha

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Tipo de estudo: Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies País/Região como assunto: America do sul / Brasil Idioma: En Revista: Ann Intensive Care Ano de publicação: 2017 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Brasil País de publicação: Alemanha