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Profiling post-COVID syndrome across different variants of SARS-CoV-2
Liane S Canas PhD; Erika Molteni PhD; Jie Deng PhD; Carole H. Sudre PhD; Benjamin Murray MSc; Eric Kerfoot PhD; Michela Antonelli PhD; Liyuan Chen MSc; Khaled Rjoob PhD; Joan Capdevila Pujol PhD; Lorenzo Polidori MSc; Anna May MSc; Marc F. Osterdahl PhD; Ronan Whiston PhD; Nathan J. Cheetham PhD; Vicky Bowyer MSc; Tim D. Spector Prof; Alexander Hammers PhD; Emma L. Duncan Prof; Sebastien Ourselin Prof; Claire J. Steves PhD; Marc Modat PhD.
Afiliación
  • Liane S Canas PhD; School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Erika Molteni PhD; School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Jie Deng PhD; School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Carole H. Sudre PhD; MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing, Department of Population Health Sciences, University College London, London, UK; Centre for Medical Image Computing, De
  • Benjamin Murray MSc; School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Eric Kerfoot PhD; School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Michela Antonelli PhD; School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Liyuan Chen MSc; School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Khaled Rjoob PhD; MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing, Department of Population Health Sciences, University College London, London, UK
  • Joan Capdevila Pujol PhD; ZOE Limited London, UK
  • Lorenzo Polidori MSc; ZOE Limited London, UK
  • Anna May MSc; ZOE Limited London, UK
  • Marc F. Osterdahl PhD; Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Ronan Whiston PhD; Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Nathan J. Cheetham PhD; Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Vicky Bowyer MSc; Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Tim D. Spector Prof; Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Alexander Hammers PhD; Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Emma L. Duncan Prof; Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, Kings College London, London, UK; Department of Endocrinology, Guys and St Thomas NHS Foundation Trust, Lo
  • Sebastien Ourselin Prof; School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Claire J. Steves PhD; Department of Twin Research and Genetic Epidemiology, Kings College London, London, UK
  • Marc Modat PhD; School of Biomedical Engineering & Imaging Sciences, Kings College London, London, UK
Preprint en En | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-22278159
ABSTRACT
AbstractO_ST_ABSBackgroundC_ST_ABSSelf-reported symptom studies rapidly increased our understanding of SARS-CoV-2 during the pandemic and enabled the monitoring of long-term effects of COVID-19 outside the hospital setting. It is now evident that post-COVID syndrome presents with heterogeneous profiles, which need characterisation to enable personalised care among the most affected survivors. This study describes post-COVID profiles, and how they relate to different viral variants and vaccination status. MethodsIn this prospective longitudinal cohort study, we analysed data from 336,652 subjects, with regular health reports through the Covid Symptom Study (CSS) smartphone application. These subjects had reported feeling physically normal for at least 30 days before testing positive for SARS-CoV-2. 9,323 individuals subsequently developed Long-COVID, defined as symptoms lasting longer than 28 days. 1,459 had post-COVID syndrome, defined as more than 12 weeks of symptoms. Clustering analysis of the time-series data was performed to identify distinct symptom profiles for post-COVID patients, across variants of SARS-CoV-2 and vaccination status at the time of infection. Clusters were then characterised based on symptom prevalence, duration, demography, and prior conditions (comorbidities). Using an independent testing sample with additional data (n=140), we investigated the impact of post-COVID symptom clusters on the lives of affected individuals. FindingsWe identified distinct profiles of symptoms for post-COVID syndrome within and across variants four endotypes were identified for infections due to the wild-type variant; seven for the alpha variant; and five for delta. Across all variants, a cardiorespiratory cluster of symptoms was identified. A second cluster related to central neurological, and a third to cases with the most severe and debilitating multi-organ symptoms. Gastrointestinal symptoms clustered in no more than two specific phenotypes per viral variant. The three main clusters were confirmed in an independent testing sample, and their functional impact was assessed. InterpretationUnsupervised analysis identified different post-COVID profiles, characterised by differing symptom combinations, durations, and functional outcomes. Phenotypes were at least partially concordant with individuals reported experiences. Our classification may be useful to understand distinct mechanisms of the post-COVID syndrome, as well as subgroups of individuals at risk of prolonged debilitation. FundingUK Government Department of Health and Social Care, Chronic Disease Research Foundation, The Wellcome Trust, UK Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, UK Research and Innovation London Medical Imaging & Artificial Intelligence Centre for Value-Based Healthcare, UK National Institute for Health Research, UK Medical Research Council, British Heart Foundation and Alzheimers Society, and ZOE Limited, UK. Research in contextO_ST_ABSEvidence before this studyC_ST_ABSWe conducted a search in the PubMed Central database, with keywords ("Long-COVID*" OR "post?covid*" OR "post?COVID*" OR postCOVID* OR postCovid*) AND (cluster* OR endotype* OR phenotype* OR sub?type* OR subtype). On 15 June 2022, 161 documents were identified, of which 24 either provided descriptions of sub-types or proposed phenotypes of Long-COVID or post-COVID syndrome(s). These included 16 studies attempting manual sub-grouping of phenotypes, 6 deployments of unsupervised methods for patient clustering and automatic semantic phenotyping (unsupervised k-means=2; random forest classification=1; other=2), and two reports of uncommon presentations of Long-COVID/post-COVID syndrome. Overall, two to eight symptom profiles (clusters) were identified, with three recurring clusters. A cardiopulmonary syndrome was the predominant observation, manifesting with exertional intolerance and dyspnoea (n=10), fatigue (n=8), autonomic dysfunction, tachycardia or palpitations (n=5), lung radiological abnormalities including fibrosis (n=2), and chest pain (n=1). A second common presentation consisted in persistent general autoimmune activation and proinflammatory state (n=2), comprising multi-organ mild sequelae (n=2), gastrointestinal symptoms (n=2), dermatological symptoms (n=2), and/or fever (n=1). A third syndrome was reported, with neurological or neuropsychiatric symptoms brain fog or dizziness (n=2), poor memory or cognition (n=2), and other mental health issues including mood disorders (n=5), headache (n=2), central sensitization (n=1), paresthesia (n=1), autonomic dysfunction (n=1), fibromyalgia (n=2), and chronic pain or myalgias (n=6). Unsupervised clustering methods identified two to six different post-COVID phenotypes, mapping to the ones described above. 14 further documents focused on possible causes and/or mechanisms of disease underlying one or more manifestations of Long-COVID or post-COVID and identifying immune response dysregulation as a potential common element. All the other documents were beyond the scope of this work. To our knowledge, there are no studies examining the symptom profile of post-COVID syndrome between different variants and vaccination status. Also, no studies reported the modelling of longitudinally collected symptoms, as time-series data, aiming at the characterisation of post-COVID syndrome. Added-value of this studyOur study aimed to identify symptom profiles for post-COVID syndrome across the dominant variants in 2020 and 2021, and across vaccination status at the time of infection, using a large sample with prospectively collected longitudinal self-reports of symptoms. For individuals developing 12 weeks or more of symptoms, we identified three main symptom profiles which were consistent across variants and by vaccination status, differing only in the ratio of individuals affected by each profile and symptom duration overall. Implications of all the available evidenceWe demonstrate the existence of different post-COVID syndromes, which share commonalities across SARS-CoV-2 variant types in both symptoms themselves and how they evolved through the illness. We describe subgroups of patients with specific post-COVID presentations which might reflect different underlying pathophysiological mechanisms. Given the time-series component, our study is relevant for post-COVID prognostication, indicating how long certain symptoms last. These insights could aid in the development of personalised diagnosis and treatment, as well as helping policymakers plan for the delivery of care for people living with post-COVID syndrome.
Licencia
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 09-preprints Base de datos: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Tipo de estudio: Cohort_studies / Experimental_studies / Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Qualitative_research / Rct / Review Idioma: En Año: 2022 Tipo del documento: Preprint
Texto completo: 1 Colección: 09-preprints Base de datos: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Tipo de estudio: Cohort_studies / Experimental_studies / Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Qualitative_research / Rct / Review Idioma: En Año: 2022 Tipo del documento: Preprint