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Trends, regional variation and clinical characteristics of recipients of antivirals and neutralising monoclonal antibodies for non-hospitalised COVID-19: a descriptive cohort study of 23.4 million people in OpenSAFELY
Amelia CA Green; Helen J Curtis; Rose Higgins; Rebecca Smith; Amir Mehrkar; Peter Inglesby; Viyaasan Mahalingasivam; Henry Drysdale; Nicholas DeVito; Richard Croker; Christopher T Rentsch; Krishnan Bhaskaran; Colm D Andrews; Sebastian CJ Bacon; Simon Davy; Iain Dillingham; David Evans; Louis Fisher; George Hickman; Lisa E M Hopcroft; William J Hulme; Jon Massey; Jessica Morley; Caroline E Morton; Robin Y Park; Alex J Walker; Tom Ward; Milan Wiedemann; Christopher Bates; Jonathan Cockburn; John Parry; Frank Hester; Sam Harper; Ian J Douglas; Stephen JW Evans; Laurie Tomlinson; Brian MacKenna; Ben Goldacre.
Afiliación
  • Amelia CA Green; University of Oxford
  • Helen J Curtis; University of Oxford
  • Rose Higgins; University of Oxford
  • Rebecca Smith; University of Oxford
  • Amir Mehrkar; University of Oxford
  • Peter Inglesby; University of Oxford
  • Viyaasan Mahalingasivam; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Henry Drysdale; University of Oxford
  • Nicholas DeVito; University of Oxford
  • Richard Croker; University of Oxford
  • Christopher T Rentsch; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Krishnan Bhaskaran; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Colm D Andrews; University of Oxford
  • Sebastian CJ Bacon; University of Oxford
  • Simon Davy; University of Oxford
  • Iain Dillingham; University of Oxford
  • David Evans; University of Oxford
  • Louis Fisher; University of Oxford
  • George Hickman; University of Oxford
  • Lisa E M Hopcroft; University of Oxford
  • William J Hulme; University of Oxford
  • Jon Massey; University of Oxford
  • Jessica Morley; University of Oxford
  • Caroline E Morton; University of Oxford
  • Robin Y Park; University of Oxford
  • Alex J Walker; University of Oxford
  • Tom Ward; University of Oxford
  • Milan Wiedemann; University of Oxford
  • Christopher Bates; TPP
  • Jonathan Cockburn; TPP
  • John Parry; TPP
  • Frank Hester; TPP
  • Sam Harper; TPP
  • Ian J Douglas; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Stephen JW Evans; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Laurie Tomlinson; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Brian MacKenna; University of Oxford
  • Ben Goldacre; University of Oxford
Preprint en En | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-22272026
ABSTRACT
ObjectivesAscertain patient eligibility status and describe coverage of antivirals and neutralising monoclonal antibodies (nMAB) as treatment for COVID-19 in community settings in England. DesignCohort study, approved by NHS England. SettingRoutine clinical data from 23.4m people linked to data on COVID-19 infection and treatment, within the OpenSAFELY-TPP database. ParticipantsNon-hospitalised COVID-19 patients at high-risk of severe outcomes. InterventionsNirmatrelvir/ritonavir (Paxlovid), sotrovimab, molnupiravir, casirivimab or remdesivir, administered in the community by COVID-19 Medicine Delivery Units. ResultsWe identified 102,170 non-hospitalised patients with COVID-19 between 11th December 2021 and 28th April 2022 at high-risk of severe outcomes and therefore potentially eligible for antiviral and/or nMAB treatment. Of these patients, 18,210 (18%) received treatment; sotrovimab, 9,340 (51%); molnupiravir, 4,500 (25%); Paxlovid, 4,290 (24%); casirivimab, 50 (<1%); and remdesivir, 20 (<1%). The proportion of patients treated increased from 8% (180/2,380) in the first week of treatment availability to 22% (420/1870) in the latest week. The proportion treated varied by high risk group, lowest in those with Liver disease (12%; 95% CI 11 to 13); by treatment type, with sotrovimab favoured over molnupiravir/Paxlovid in all but three high risk groups Down syndrome (36%; 95% CI 31 to 40), Rare neurological conditions (46%; 95% CI 44 to 48), and Primary immune deficiencies (49%; 95% CI 48 to 51); by ethnicity, from Black (10%; 95% CI 9 to 11) to White (18%; 95% CI 18 to 19); by NHS Region, from 11% (95% CI 10 to 12) in Yorkshire and the Humber to 23% (95% CI 22 to 24) in the East of England); and by deprivation level, from 12% (95% CI 12 to 13) in the most deprived areas to 21% (95% CI 21 to 22) in the least deprived areas. There was also lower coverage among unvaccinated patients (5%; 95% CI 4 to 7), those with dementia (5%; 95% CI 4 to 6) and care home residents (6%; 95% CI 5 to 6). ConclusionsUsing the OpenSAFELY platform we were able to identify patients who were potentially eligible to receive treatment and assess the coverage of these new treatments amongst these patients. Targeted activity may be needed to address apparent lower treatment coverage observed among certain groups, in particular (at present) different NHS regions, socioeconomically deprived areas, and care homes. What is already known about this topicSince the emergence of COVID-19, a number of approaches to treatment have been tried and evaluated. These have mainly consisted of treatments such as dexamethasone, which were used in UK hospitals,from early on in the pandemic to prevent progression to severe disease. Until recently (December 2021), no treatments have been widely used in community settings across England. What this study addsFollowing the rollout of antiviral medicines and neutralising monoclonal antibodies (nMABs) as treatment for patients with COVID-19, we were able to identify patients who were potentially eligible to receive antivirals or nMABs and assess the coverage of these new treatments amongst these patients, in as close to real-time as the available data flows would support. While the proportion of the potentially eligible patients receiving treatment increased over time, rising from 8% (180/2,380) in the first week of the roll out to 22% (420/1870) in the last week of April 2022, there were variations in coverage between key clinical, geographic, and demographic subgroup. How this study might affect research, practice, or policyTargeted activity may therefore be needed to address lower treatment rates observed among certain geographic areas and key groups including ethnic minorities, people living in areas of higher deprivation, and in care homes.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 09-preprints Base de datos: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Tipo de estudio: Cohort_studies / Experimental_studies / Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Rct Idioma: En Año: 2022 Tipo del documento: Preprint
Texto completo: 1 Colección: 09-preprints Base de datos: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Tipo de estudio: Cohort_studies / Experimental_studies / Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Rct Idioma: En Año: 2022 Tipo del documento: Preprint