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Social Contact Patterns and Implications for Infectious Disease Transmission: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Contact Surveys
Andria Mousa; Peter Winskill; Oliver John Watson; Oliver Ratmann; Mélodie Monod; Marco Ajelli; Aldiouma Diallo; Peter J. Dodd; Carlos G Grijalva; Moses Chapa Kiti; Anand Krishnan; Rakesh Kumar; Supriya Kumar; Kin O Kwok; Claudio F Lanata; Olivier le Polain de Waroux; Kathy Leung; Wiriya Mahikul; Alessia Melegaro; Carl D Morrow; Joël Mossong; Eleanor FG Neal; D James Nokes; Wirichada Pan-ngum; Gail E Potter; Fiona M Russell; Siddhartha Saha; Jonathan D Sugimoto; Wan In Wei; Robin R Wood; Joseph Wu; Juanjuan Zhang; Patrick Walker; Charlie Whittaker.
Afiliación
  • Andria Mousa; MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis; and the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA), School of Public Health, I
  • Peter Winskill; Imperial College London
  • Oliver John Watson; Imperial College London
  • Oliver Ratmann; Imperial College London
  • Mélodie Monod; Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London
  • Marco Ajelli; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health
  • Aldiouma Diallo; VITROME, Institut de Recherche pour le Developpement
  • Peter J. Dodd; University of Sheffield
  • Carlos G Grijalva; Vanderbilt University Medical Center
  • Moses Chapa Kiti; KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme
  • Anand Krishnan; Centre for Community Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences
  • Rakesh Kumar; Centre for Community Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences
  • Supriya Kumar; Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
  • Kin O Kwok; Chinese University of Hong Kong
  • Claudio F Lanata; Instituto de Investigación Nutricional
  • Olivier le Polain de Waroux; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
  • Kathy Leung; The University of Hong Kong
  • Wiriya Mahikul; Faculty of Medicine and Public Health, HRH Princess Chulabhorn College of Medical Science, Chulabhorn Royal Academy
  • Alessia Melegaro; Bocconi University
  • Carl D Morrow; Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, University of Cape Town
  • Joël Mossong; Health Directorate
  • Eleanor FG Neal; Infection & Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute
  • D James Nokes; KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme
  • Wirichada Pan-ngum; Department of Tropical Hygiene, Mahidol University
  • Gail E Potter; National Institute for Allergies and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health
  • Fiona M Russell; Infection & Immunity, Murdoch Children's Research Institute
  • Siddhartha Saha; US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
  • Jonathan D Sugimoto; Seattle Epidemiologic Research and Information Center, United States Department of Veterans Affairs
  • Wan In Wei; JC School of Public Health and Primary Care, The Chinese University of Hong Kong
  • Robin R Wood; Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, University of Cape Town
  • Joseph Wu; The University of Hong Kong
  • Juanjuan Zhang; School of Public Health, Fudan University
  • Patrick Walker; Imperial College London
  • Charlie Whittaker; Imperial College London
Preprint en En | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-21258720
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ABSTRACT
BackgroundTransmission of respiratory pathogens such as SARS-CoV-2 depends on patterns of contact and mixing across populations. Understanding this is crucial to predict pathogen spread and the effectiveness of control efforts. Most analyses of contact patterns to date have focussed on high-income settings. MethodsHere, we conduct a systematic review and individual-participant meta-analysis of surveys carried out in low- and middle-income countries and compare patterns of contact in these settings to surveys previously carried out in high-income countries. Using individual-level data from 28,503 participants and 413,069 contacts across 27 surveys we explored how contact characteristics (number, location, duration and whether physical) vary across income settings. ResultsContact rates declined with age in high- and upper-middle-income settings, but not in low-income settings, where adults aged 65+ made similar numbers of contacts as younger individuals and mixed with all age-groups. Across all settings, increasing household size was a key determinant of contact frequency and characteristics, but low-income settings were characterised by the largest, most intergenerational households. A higher proportion of contacts were made at home in low-income settings, and work/school contacts were more frequent in high-income strata. We also observed contrasting effects of gender across income-strata on the frequency, duration and type of contacts individuals made. ConclusionsThese differences in contact patterns between settings have material consequences for both spread of respiratory pathogens, as well as the effectiveness of different non-pharmaceutical interventions. FundingThis work is primarily being funded by joint Centre funding from the UK Medical Research Council and DFID (MR/R015600/1).
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 09-preprints Base de datos: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Tipo de estudio: Experimental_studies / Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Rct / Review / Systematic_reviews Idioma: En Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Preprint
Texto completo: 1 Colección: 09-preprints Base de datos: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Tipo de estudio: Experimental_studies / Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Rct / Review / Systematic_reviews Idioma: En Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Preprint