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The new SARS-CoV-2 variant and reinfection in the resurgence of COVID-19 outbreaks in Manaus, Brazil
Daihai He; Guihong Fan; Xueying Wang; Yingke Li; Zhihang Peng.
Afiliación
  • Daihai He; Hong Kong Polytechnic University
  • Guihong Fan; Columbus State University
  • Xueying Wang; Washington State University
  • Yingke Li; Xinjiang Agriculture University
  • Zhihang Peng; Nanjing Medical University
Preprint en En | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-21254281
ABSTRACT
Manaus, a city of 2.2 million population, the capital of Amazonas state of Brazil was hit badly by two waves of COVID-19 with more than 10,000 severe acute respiratory syndrome deaths by the end of February 2021. It was estimated that the first wave infected over three quarters of the population in Manaus based on routine blood donor data, and the second wave was largely due to reinfection with a new variant named P1 strain. In this work, we revisit these claims, and discuss biological constraints. In particular, we model the two waves with a two-strain model without a significant proportion of reinfections.
Licencia
cc_by_nc_nd
Texto completo: 1 Colección: 09-preprints Base de datos: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Idioma: En Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Preprint
Texto completo: 1 Colección: 09-preprints Base de datos: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Idioma: En Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Preprint