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Hip fracture projections up to the year 2060: an analysis based on data from the National Hip Fracture Database (NHFD) for England, Wales, and Northern Ireland.
Murphy, Thomas; Culliford, David J; Hawley, Samuel; Johansen, Antony; Whitehouse, Michael R; Judge, Andrew; Matharu, Gulraj S.
Afiliación
  • Murphy T; Musculoskeletal Research Unit, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
  • Culliford DJ; NIHR Applied Research Collaboration Wessex, School of Health Sciences, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
  • Hawley S; Musculoskeletal Research Unit, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK. Electronic address: Samuel.hawley@bristol.ac.uk.
  • Johansen A; University Hospital of Wales, National Hip Fracture Database, Royal College of Physicians, Cardiff, London, UK.
  • Whitehouse MR; Musculoskeletal Research Unit, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; NIHR Bristol Biomedical Research Centre, University of Bristol, UK.
  • Judge A; Musculoskeletal Research Unit, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; NIHR Bristol Biomedical Research Centre, University of Bristol, UK.
  • Matharu GS; Musculoskeletal Research Unit, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Injury ; 55(11): 111863, 2024 Sep 07.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39288651
ABSTRACT

INTRODUCTION:

Hip fractures are common and cause a huge socioeconomic burden to patients, their carers, and healthcare services worldwide. Our aim was to examine how much hip fracture numbers would be expected to rise over coming decades, simply as a consequence of the ageing of the population.

METHODS:

We used data from the National Hip Fracture Database on the volume of hip fractures occurring in England, Wales and Northern Ireland in the year 2019 (n = 67,210). We projected future numbers of hip fractures by applying this number, assuming stable rates, to population growth forecast data provided by the Office for National Statistics up to the year 2060.

RESULTS:

By 2060, the number of hip fractures occurring in England, Wales and Northern Ireland are projected to increase by 107 % (n = 139,105). In males, there was an estimated increase of 130 % compared with 97 % in females. There was an estimated increase across all age ranges, however the oldest age groups demonstrated the largest relative increases. The estimated increase for those aged 90 years or over was as high as 348 % and 198 % for males and females, respectively.

CONCLUSION:

As a consequence of future ageing of the population, the demand on the health service posed by people with hip fracture is projected to more than double by the year 2060. Policymakers should be striving to mitigate against the huge public health impact of these projections by maximising fracture prevention strategies as far as possible and by improving the quality of hip fracture care.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Idioma: En Revista: Injury Año: 2024 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Reino Unido Pais de publicación: Países Bajos
Texto completo
Añadir a Mi BVS
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
Buscar en Google

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Idioma: En Revista: Injury Año: 2024 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Reino Unido Pais de publicación: Países Bajos