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LiverRisk score: An accurate, cost-effective tool to predict fibrosis, liver-related, and diabetes-related mortality in the general population.
Liu, Shanghao; Chen, Xiaohan; Jiang, Xuanwei; Yin, Xiaochun; Fekadu, Ginenus; Liu, Chuan; He, Yan; Chen, Huihui; Ni, Wenjing; Wang, Ruiying; Zeng, Qing-Lei; Chen, Yuping; Yang, Ling; Shi, Ruihua; Ju, Sheng-Hong; Shen, Jie; Gao, Jingli; Zhao, Linhua; Ming, Wai-Kit; Zhong, Victor W; Teng, Gao-Jun; Qi, Xiaolong.
Afiliación
  • Liu S; Center of Portal Hypertension, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Nanjing, China; Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center
  • Chen X; Department of Infectious Diseases and Public Health, Jockey Club College of Veterinary Medicine and Life Sciences, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
  • Jiang X; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
  • Yin X; Department of Gastroenterology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
  • Fekadu G; Department of Infectious Diseases and Public Health, Jockey Club College of Veterinary Medicine and Life Sciences, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
  • Liu C; Center of Portal Hypertension, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Nanjing, China; Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center
  • He Y; Department of Infectious Diseases and Public Health, Jockey Club College of Veterinary Medicine and Life Sciences, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
  • Chen H; Department of Ultrasound, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
  • Ni W; Department of Infectious Diseases, Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital Clinical College of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, China.
  • Wang R; The First Clinical Medical College of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
  • Zeng QL; Department of Infectious Diseases and Hepatology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, China.
  • Chen Y; Center of Portal Hypertension, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Nanjing, China; Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center
  • Yang L; Center of Portal Hypertension, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Nanjing, China.
  • Shi R; Department of Gastroenterology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nanjing, China.
  • Ju SH; Center of Portal Hypertension, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Nanjing, China; Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center
  • Shen J; Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Shunde Hospital, Southern Medical University (The First People's Hospital of Shunde), Foshan, China.
  • Gao J; Department of Intensive Care Unit, Kailuan General Hospital, Tangshan, Hebei, China.
  • Zhao L; Institute of Metabolic Diseases, Guang'anmen Hospital, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, China.
  • Ming WK; Department of Infectious Diseases and Public Health, Jockey Club College of Veterinary Medicine and Life Sciences, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
  • Zhong VW; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.
  • Teng GJ; Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center of Ministry of Education, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, State Key Laboratory of Digital Medical Engineering, Nanjing, China; Center of Interventional Radiology and Vascular Surgery, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Sou
  • Qi X; Center of Portal Hypertension, Department of Radiology, Zhongda Hospital, Medical School, Southeast University, Nurturing Center of Jiangsu Province for State Laboratory of AI Imaging & Interventional Radiology (Southeast University), Nanjing, China; Basic Medicine Research and Innovation Center
Med ; 5(6): 570-582.e4, 2024 Jun 14.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38554711
ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND:

Noninvasive and early assessment of liver fibrosis is of great significance and is challenging. We aimed to evaluate the predictive performance and cost-effectiveness of the LiverRisk score for liver fibrosis and liver-related and diabetes-related mortality in the general population.

METHODS:

The general population from the NHANES 2017-March 2020, NHANES 1999-2018, and UK Biobank 2006-2010 were included in the cross-sectional cohort (n = 3,770), along with the NHANES follow-up cohort (n = 25,317) and the UK Biobank follow-up cohort (n = 17,259). The cost-effectiveness analysis was performed using TreeAge Pro software. Liver stiffness measurements ≥10 kPa were defined as compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD).

FINDINGS:

Compared to conventional scores, the LiverRisk score had significantly better accuracy and calibration in predicting liver fibrosis, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.76 (0.72-0.79) for cACLD. According to the updated thresholds of LiverRisk score (6 and 10), we reclassified the population into three groups low, medium, and high risk. The AUCs of LiverRisk score for predicting liver-related and diabetes-related mortality at 5, 10, and 15 years were all above 0.8, with better performance than the Fibrosis-4 score. Furthermore, compared to the low-risk group, the medium-risk and high-risk groups in the two follow-up cohorts had a significantly higher risk of liver-related and diabetes-related mortality. Finally, the cost-effectiveness analysis showed that the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio for LiverRisk score compared to FIB-4 was USD $18,170 per additional quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, below the willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000/QALY.

CONCLUSIONS:

The LiverRisk score is an accurate, cost-effective tool to predict liver fibrosis and liver-related and diabetes-related mortality in the general population.

FUNDING:

The National Natural Science Foundation of China (nos. 82330060, 92059202, and 92359304); the Key Research and Development Program of Jiangsu Province (BE2023767a); the Fundamental Research Fund of Southeast University (3290002303A2); Changjiang Scholars Talent Cultivation Project of Zhongda Hospital of Southeast University (2023YJXYYRCPY03); and the Research Personnel Cultivation Program of Zhongda Hospital Southeast University (CZXM-GSP-RC125).
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Análisis Costo-Beneficio / Cirrosis Hepática Límite: Adult / Aged / Female / Humans / Male / Middle aged Idioma: En Revista: Med Año: 2024 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Análisis Costo-Beneficio / Cirrosis Hepática Límite: Adult / Aged / Female / Humans / Male / Middle aged Idioma: En Revista: Med Año: 2024 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos