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[Driving Forces and Mitigation Potential of CO2 Emissions for Ship Transportation in Guangdong Province, China].
Weng, Shu-Juan; Liu, Ying-Ying; Tang, Feng; Sha, Qing-E; Peng, Bo; Wang, Ye-Jia; Chen, Cheng; Zhang, Xue-Chi; Li, Jing-Jie; Chen, Hao-Qi; Zheng, Jun-Yu; Song, Xian-Zhong.
Afiliación
  • Weng SJ; Institute for Environment and Climate Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou 511443, China.
  • Liu YY; Institute for Environment and Climate Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou 511443, China.
  • Tang F; Institute for Environment and Climate Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou 511443, China.
  • Sha QE; Institute for Environment and Climate Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou 511443, China.
  • Peng B; Research Center of Low Carbon Economy for Guangzhou Region, Jinan University, Guangzhou 511443, China.
  • Wang YJ; Institute for Environment and Climate Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou 511443, China.
  • Chen C; Guangdong Marine Development Planning and Research Centre, Guangzhou 510220, China.
  • Zhang XC; Institute for Environment and Climate Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou 511443, China.
  • Li JJ; Guiyang Power China Guiyang Engineering Co., Ltd., Guiyang 650011, China.
  • Chen HQ; Institute for Environment and Climate Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou 511443, China.
  • Zheng JY; Institute for Environment and Climate Research, Jinan University, Guangzhou 511443, China.
  • Song XZ; Sustainable Energy and Environment, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology(Guangzhou), Guangzhou 510000, China.
Huan Jing Ke Xue ; 45(1): 115-122, 2024 Jan 08.
Article en Zh | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38216463
ABSTRACT
Ships are important sources of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in Guangdong Province. The study of historical evolutions, drivers, and projected pathways of CO2 emissions can provide scientific support for the development of carbon peaking and carbon neutral strategies in Guangdong Province. The emission factor method, log-average index (LMDI) method, and scenario analysis method were adopted to estimate CO2 emissions, identify the drivers, and explore the mitigation potential from ships in Guangdong Province, separately. The results showed that① CO2 emissions from ships in Guangdong Province increased from 3.319 4 million tons to 6.392 9 million tons from 2006 to 2020, with dry bulk carriers and container ships being the main ship types causing the increase in emissions. ② The positive drivers of CO2 emissions from ships in Guangdong Province from 2006 to 2020 were transport intensity (51%) and economic factors (49%), and the negative drivers were energy intensity (93%) and cargo class structure (7%). ③ Carbon peaking would not be reached by 2030 if Guangdong Province maintains the current policy (baseline scenario) for ship transportation. ④ Simultaneous optimization of the energy structure and promotion of the energy intensity (energy-efficient and low-carbon scenario) had a 56.51% potential to reduce CO2 emissions from ships compared to the baseline scenario. This can provide scientific support for Guangdong Province to develop a carbon peaking and carbon neutral control strategy for the shipping industry.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Idioma: Zh Revista: Huan Jing Ke Xue Año: 2024 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: China Pais de publicación: China
Texto completo
Añadir a Mi BVS
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
Buscar en Google

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Idioma: Zh Revista: Huan Jing Ke Xue Año: 2024 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: China Pais de publicación: China