Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Using machine learning to assess the extent of busy ambulances and its impact on ambulance response times: A retrospective observational study.
Næss, Lars Eide; Krüger, Andreas Jørstad; Uleberg, Oddvar; Haugland, Helge; Dale, Jostein; Wattø, Jon-Ola; Nilsen, Sara Marie; Asheim, Andreas.
Afiliación
  • Næss LE; Department of Research and Development, The Norwegian Air Ambulance Foundation, Oslo, Norway.
  • Krüger AJ; Department of Emergency Medicine and Pre-Hospital Services, St. Olav's University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.
  • Uleberg O; Department of Circulation and Medical Imaging, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
  • Haugland H; Department of Research and Development, The Norwegian Air Ambulance Foundation, Oslo, Norway.
  • Dale J; Department of Emergency Medicine and Pre-Hospital Services, St. Olav's University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.
  • Wattø JO; Department of Circulation and Medical Imaging, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
  • Nilsen SM; Department of Emergency Medicine and Pre-Hospital Services, St. Olav's University Hospital, Trondheim, Norway.
  • Asheim A; Division of Emergencies and Critical Care, Department of Research and Development, Oslo University Hospital, Oslo, Norway.
PLoS One ; 19(1): e0296308, 2024.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38181019
ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND:

Ambulance response times are considered important. Busy ambulances are common, but little is known about their effect on response times.

OBJECTIVE:

To assess the extent of busy ambulances in Central Norway and their impact on ambulance response times.

DESIGN:

This was a retrospective observational study. We used machine learning on data from nearby incidents to assess the probability of up to five different ambulances being candidates to respond to a medical emergency incident. For each incident, the probability of a busy ambulance was estimated by summing the probabilities of candidate ambulances being busy at the time of the incident. The difference in response time that may be attributable to busy ambulances was estimated by comparing groups of nearby incidents with different estimated busy probabilities.

SETTING:

Medical emergency incidents with ambulance response in Central Norway from 2013 to 2022. MAIN OUTCOME

MEASURES:

Prevalence of busy ambulances and differences in response times associated with busy ambulances.

RESULTS:

The estimated probability of busy ambulances for all 216,787 acute incidents with ambulance response was 26.7% (95% confidence interval (CI) 26.6 to 26.9). Comparing nearby incidents, each 10-percentage point increase in the probability of a busy ambulance was associated with a delay of 0.60 minutes (95% CI 0.58 to 0.62). For incidents in rural and urban areas, the probability of a busy ambulance was 21.6% (95% CI 21.5 to 21.8) and 35.0% (95% CI 34.8 to 35.2), respectively. The delay associated with a 10-percentage point increase in busy probability was 0.81 minutes (95% CI 0.78 to 0.84) and 0.30 minutes (95% CI 0.28 to 0.32), respectively.

CONCLUSION:

Ambulances were often busy, which was associated with delayed ambulance response times. In rural areas, the probability of busy ambulances was lower, although the potentially longer delays when ambulances were busy made these areas more vulnerable.
Asunto(s)
Texto completo
Añadir a Mi BVS
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
Buscar en Google

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Ambulancias / Aprendizaje Automático Tipo de estudio: Observational_studies / Risk_factors_studies País/Región como asunto: Europa Idioma: En Revista: PLoS One Asunto de la revista: CIENCIA / MEDICINA Año: 2024 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Noruega Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos
Texto completo
Añadir a Mi BVS
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
Buscar en Google

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Ambulancias / Aprendizaje Automático Tipo de estudio: Observational_studies / Risk_factors_studies País/Región como asunto: Europa Idioma: En Revista: PLoS One Asunto de la revista: CIENCIA / MEDICINA Año: 2024 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Noruega Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos