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Ecological Niche Modeling of Aedes and Culex Mosquitoes: A Risk Map for Chikungunya and West Nile Viruses in Zambia.
Velu, Rachel Milomba; Kwenda, Geoffrey; Bosomprah, Samuel; Chisola, Moses Ngongo; Simunyandi, Michelo; Chisenga, Caroline Cleopatra; Bumbangi, Flavien Nsoni; Sande, Nicholus Chintu; Simubali, Limonty; Mburu, Monicah Mirai; Tembo, John; Bates, Matthew; Simuunza, Martin Chitolongo; Chilengi, Roma; Orba, Yasuko; Sawa, Hirofumi; Simulundu, Edgar.
Afiliación
  • Velu RM; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka P.O. Box 34681, Zambia.
  • Kwenda G; Department of Disease Control, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of Zambia, Lusaka P.O. Box 32379, Zambia.
  • Bosomprah S; Department of Biomedical Sciences, School of Health Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka P.O. Box 50110, Zambia.
  • Chisola MN; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka P.O. Box 34681, Zambia.
  • Simunyandi M; Department of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Ghana, Accra P.O. Box LG13, Ghana.
  • Chisenga CC; Department of Geography and Environmental Studies, School of Natural Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka P.O. Box 32379, Zambia.
  • Bumbangi FN; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka P.O. Box 34681, Zambia.
  • Sande NC; Centre for Infectious Disease Research in Zambia, Lusaka P.O. Box 34681, Zambia.
  • Simubali L; Department of Medicine and Clinical Sciences, School of Medicine, Eden University, Lusaka P.O. Box 37727, Zambia.
  • Mburu MM; National Malaria Elimination Centre, Chainama Hills Hospital Grounds, Lusaka P.O. Box 32509, Zambia.
  • Tembo J; Macha Research Trust, Choma P.O. Box 630166, Zambia.
  • Bates M; Macha Research Trust, Choma P.O. Box 630166, Zambia.
  • Simuunza MC; HerpeZ, University Teaching Hospital, Lusaka 10101, Zambia.
  • Chilengi R; HerpeZ, University Teaching Hospital, Lusaka 10101, Zambia.
  • Orba Y; Joseph Banks Laboratories, School of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Lincoln, Lincolnshire LN6 7TS, UK.
  • Sawa H; Department of Disease Control, School of Veterinary Medicine, University of Zambia, Lusaka P.O. Box 32379, Zambia.
  • Simulundu E; Africa Centre of Excellence for Infectious Diseases of Humans and Animals, University of Zambia, Lusaka P.O. Box 32379, Zambia.
Viruses ; 15(9)2023 09 08.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37766306
The circulation of both West Nile Virus (WNV) and Chikungunya Virus (CHIKV) in humans and animals, coupled with a favorable tropical climate for mosquito proliferation in Zambia, call for the need for a better understanding of the ecological and epidemiological factors that govern their transmission dynamics in this region. This study aimed to examine the contribution of climatic variables to the distribution of Culex and Aedes mosquito species, which are potential vectors of CHIKV, WNV, and other arboviruses of public-health concern. Mosquitoes collected from Lusaka as well as from the Central and Southern provinces of Zambia were sorted by species within the Culex and Aedes genera, both of which have the potential to transmit viruses. The MaxEnt software was utilized to predict areas at risk of WNV and CHIKV based on the occurrence data on mosquitoes and environmental covariates. The model predictions show three distinct spatial hotspots, ranging from the high-probability regions to the medium- and low-probability regions. Regions along Lake Kariba, the Kafue River, and the Luangwa Rivers, as well as along the Mumbwa, Chibombo, Kapiri Mposhi, and Mpika districts were predicted to be suitable habitats for both species. The rainfall and temperature extremes were the most contributing variables in the predictive models.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Virus del Nilo Occidental / Virus Chikungunya / Aedes / Culex / Fiebre Chikungunya Tipo de estudio: Etiology_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Animals / Humans País/Región como asunto: Africa Idioma: En Revista: Viruses Año: 2023 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Zambia Pais de publicación: Suiza
Texto completo
Añadir a Mi BVS
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Virus del Nilo Occidental / Virus Chikungunya / Aedes / Culex / Fiebre Chikungunya Tipo de estudio: Etiology_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Animals / Humans País/Región como asunto: Africa Idioma: En Revista: Viruses Año: 2023 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Zambia Pais de publicación: Suiza