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Using surveillance data for early warning modelling of highly pathogenic avian influenza in Europe reveals a seasonal shift in transmission, 2016-2022.
Jung Kjær, Lene; Ward, Michael P; Boklund, Anette Ella; Larsen, Lars Erik; Hjulsager, Charlotte Kristiane; Kirkeby, Carsten Thure.
Afiliación
  • Jung Kjær L; Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark. lenju@sund.ku.dk.
  • Ward MP; Faculty of Science, Sydney School of Veterinary Science, University of Sydney, Camden, NSW, Australia.
  • Boklund AE; Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Larsen LE; Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Hjulsager CK; Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
  • Kirkeby CT; Department of Veterinary and Animal Sciences, Faculty of Health and Medical Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 15396, 2023 09 16.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37717056
Avian influenza in wild birds and poultry flocks constitutes a problem for animal welfare, food security and public health. In recent years there have been increasing numbers of outbreaks in Europe, with many poultry flocks culled after being infected with highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI). Continuous monitoring is crucial to enable timely implementation of control to prevent HPAI spread from wild birds to poultry and between poultry flocks within a country. We here utilize readily available public surveillance data and time-series models to predict HPAI detections within European countries and show a seasonal shift that happened during 2021-2022. The output is models capable of monitoring the weekly risk of HPAI outbreaks, to support decision making.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Gripe Aviar Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies / Screening_studies Límite: Animals País/Región como asunto: Europa Idioma: En Revista: Sci Rep Año: 2023 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Dinamarca Pais de publicación: Reino Unido
Texto completo
Añadir a Mi BVS
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Gripe Aviar Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies / Screening_studies Límite: Animals País/Región como asunto: Europa Idioma: En Revista: Sci Rep Año: 2023 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Dinamarca Pais de publicación: Reino Unido