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Counterfactuals of effects of vaccination and public health measures on COVID-19 cases in Canada: What could have happened?
Ogden, Nicholas H; Turgeon, Patricia; Fazil, Aamir; Clark, Julia; Gabriele-Rivet, Vanessa; Tam, Theresa; Ng, Victoria.
Afiliación
  • Ogden NH; Public Health Risk Sciences Division, National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, St-Hyacinthe, QC and Guelph, ON.
  • Turgeon P; Public Health Risk Sciences Division, National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, St-Hyacinthe, QC and Guelph, ON.
  • Fazil A; Public Health Risk Sciences Division, National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, St-Hyacinthe, QC and Guelph, ON.
  • Clark J; Office of the Chief Public Health Officer, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, ON.
  • Gabriele-Rivet V; Public Health Risk Sciences Division, National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, St-Hyacinthe, QC and Guelph, ON.
  • Tam T; Office of the Chief Public Health Officer, Public Health Agency of Canada, Ottawa, ON.
  • Ng V; Public Health Risk Sciences Division, National Microbiology Laboratory, Public Health Agency of Canada, St-Hyacinthe, QC and Guelph, ON.
Can Commun Dis Rep ; 48(7-8): 292-302, 2022 Jul 07.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37334255
This study illustrates what may have happened, in terms of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections, hospitalizations and deaths in Canada, had public health measures not been used to control the COVID-19 epidemic, and had restrictions been lifted with low levels of vaccination, or no vaccination, of the Canadian population. The timeline of the epidemic in Canada, and the public health interventions used to control the epidemic, are reviewed. Comparisons against outcomes in other countries and counterfactual modelling illustrate the relative success of control of the epidemic in Canada. Together, these observations show that without the use of restrictive measures and without high levels of vaccination, Canada could have experienced substantially higher numbers of infections and hospitalizations and almost a million deaths.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Aspecto: Patient_preference Idioma: En Revista: Can Commun Dis Rep Asunto de la revista: DOENCAS TRANSMISSIVEIS / EPIDEMIOLOGIA Año: 2022 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Canadá

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Aspecto: Patient_preference Idioma: En Revista: Can Commun Dis Rep Asunto de la revista: DOENCAS TRANSMISSIVEIS / EPIDEMIOLOGIA Año: 2022 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Canadá