Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Nomograms for predicting overall survival and cancer-specific survival in elderly patients with epithelial ovarian cancer.
Cheng, Hao; Xu, Jin-Hong; Kang, Xiao-Hong; Wu, Chen-Chen; Tang, Xiao-Nan; Chen, Mei-Ling; Lian, Zhu-Sheng; Li, Ning; Xu, Xue-Lian.
Afiliación
  • Cheng H; Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, 88 Jiankang Road, Xinxiang, 453100, Henan, China.
  • Xu JH; Department of Otolaryngology, AnYang District Hospital, Anyang, Henan, China.
  • Kang XH; Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, 88 Jiankang Road, Xinxiang, 453100, Henan, China.
  • Wu CC; Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, 88 Jiankang Road, Xinxiang, 453100, Henan, China.
  • Tang XN; Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, 88 Jiankang Road, Xinxiang, 453100, Henan, China.
  • Chen ML; Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, 88 Jiankang Road, Xinxiang, 453100, Henan, China.
  • Lian ZS; Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, 88 Jiankang Road, Xinxiang, 453100, Henan, China.
  • Li N; Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, 88 Jiankang Road, Xinxiang, 453100, Henan, China.
  • Xu XL; Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xinxiang Medical University, 88 Jiankang Road, Xinxiang, 453100, Henan, China. xxl17651951833@163.com.
J Ovarian Res ; 16(1): 75, 2023 Apr 14.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37059991
BACKGROUND: Epithelial ovarian cancer (EOC) is one of the most fatal gynecological malignancies among elderly patients. We aim to construct two nomograms to predict the overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in elderly EOC patients. METHODS: Elderly patients with EOC between 2000 and 2019 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Enrolled patients were randomly divided into the training and validation set at a ratio of 2:1. The OS and CSS were recognized as endpoint times. The independent prognostic factors from the multivariate analysis were used to establish nomograms for predicting the 3-, 5- and 10-year OS and CSS of elderly EOC patients. The improvement of predictive ability and clinical benefits were evaluated by consistency index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, decision curve (DCA), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Finally, the treatment efficacy of surgery and chemotherapy in low-, medium-, and high-risk groups were displayed by Kaplan-Meier curves. RESULTS: Five thousand five hundred eighty-eight elderly EOC patients were obtained and randomly assigned to the training set (n = 3724) and validation set (n = 1864). The independent prognostic factors were utilized to construct nomograms for OS and CSS. Dynamic nomograms were also developed. The C-index of the OS nomogram and CSS nomogram were 0.713 and 0.729 in the training cohort. In the validation cohort, the C-index of the OS nomogram and CSS nomogram were 0.751 and 0.702. The calibration curve demonstrated good concordance between the predicted survival rates and actual observations. Moreover, the NRI, IDI, and DCA curves determined the outperformance of the nomogram compared with the AJCC stage system. Besides, local tumor resection had a higher benefit on the prognosis in all patients. Chemotherapy had a better prognosis in the high-risk groups, but not for the medium- risk and low-risk groups. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated nomograms for predicting OS and CSS in elderly EOC patients to help gynecologists to develop an appropriate individualized therapeutic schedule.
Asunto(s)
Palabras clave

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Neoplasias Ováricas / Nomogramas Tipo de estudio: Clinical_trials / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Aged / Female / Humans Idioma: En Revista: J Ovarian Res Año: 2023 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: China Pais de publicación: Reino Unido

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Neoplasias Ováricas / Nomogramas Tipo de estudio: Clinical_trials / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Aged / Female / Humans Idioma: En Revista: J Ovarian Res Año: 2023 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: China Pais de publicación: Reino Unido