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Regional precipitation trends since 1500 CE reconstructed from calcite sublayers of a varved Mediterranean lake record (Central Pyrenees).
Vegas-Vilarrúbia, Teresa; Corella, Juan Pablo; Sigró, Javier; Rull, Valentí; Dorado-Liñan, Isabel; Valero-Garcés, Blas; Gutiérrez-Merino, Emilia.
Afiliación
  • Vegas-Vilarrúbia T; Department of Evolutionary Biology, Ecology and Environmental Sciences, University of Barcelona, Av. Diagonal 643, 08028 Barcelona, Spain. Electronic address: tvegas@ub.edu.
  • Corella JP; CIEMAT, Environmental Department, Av. Complutense 40, 28040 Madrid, Spain. Electronic address: JuanPablo.Corella@ciemat.es.
  • Sigró J; C3 Centre for Climate Change, Dept. of Geography, University Rovira i Virgili, Spain. Electronic address: Javier-sigro@urv.cat.
  • Rull V; Botanic Institute of Barcelona (CSIC), Passeig del Migdia s/n, 08038 Barcelona, Spain. Electronic address: vrull@ibb.csic.es.
  • Dorado-Liñan I; Departament of de Systems and Natural Resources. ETSI Montes, Politécnica University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain. Electronic address: isabel.dorado@upm.es.
  • Valero-Garcés B; Instituto Pirenaico de Ecología, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Avda Montañana 1005, 50059 Zaragoza, Spain. Electronic address: blas@ipe.csic.es.
  • Gutiérrez-Merino E; Department of Evolutionary Biology, Ecology and Environmental Sciences, University of Barcelona, Av. Diagonal 643, 08028 Barcelona, Spain. Electronic address: emgutierrez@ub.edu.
Sci Total Environ ; 826: 153773, 2022 Jun 20.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35182651
The Mediterranean region is expected to be highly impacted by global warming, although the uncertainty of future scenarios, particularly about precipitation patterns remains quite large. To better predict shifts in its current climate system and to test models, more regional climate records are needed spanning longer than the instrumental period. Here we provide a high-resolution reconstruction of autumn precipitation for the Central Pyrenees since 1500 CE based on annual calcite sublayer widths from Montcortès Lake (Central southern Pyrenees) varved sediments. The 500-yr calcite data series was detrended and calibrated with instrumental climate records by applying correlations and cross-correlations to regional precipitation anomalies. Highest relationships were obtained between a composite calcite series and autumn precipitation anomalies for the complete calibration period (1900-2002) and for the two halves of the full period. Applied statistical tests were significant, evidencing that the climatic signal could be reconstructed. The reconstructed precipitation anomalies show interdecadal shifts, and rainfall decrease within the coldest period of the LIA and during the second half of the 20th century, probably associated to current Global Warming. Neither increasing nor decreasing linear trends or periods of extreme precipitation events were identified. Our results are coherent with other palaeohydrological reconstructions for northern Iberian Peninsula. Correlations between the predicted autumn precipitation and the main teleconnections -NAO, ENSO and WEMO- were weak, although a potential relationship with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) pattern is suggested. The obtained reconstruction provides the first estimations of regional autumn precipitation shifts in the Central Pyrenees and is one of the few reconstructions that cover annual-to-century scale climate variability of precipitation in the Mediterranean region from the end of the Litte Ice Age (LIA) to the current period of Global Warming.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Carbonato de Calcio / Lagos Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies País/Región como asunto: Europa Idioma: En Revista: Sci Total Environ Año: 2022 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Países Bajos

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Carbonato de Calcio / Lagos Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies País/Región como asunto: Europa Idioma: En Revista: Sci Total Environ Año: 2022 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Países Bajos