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Simulating tree growth response to climate change in structurally diverse oak and beech forests.
de Wergifosse, Louis; André, Frédéric; Goosse, Hugues; Boczon, Andrzej; Cecchini, Sébastien; Ciceu, Albert; Collalti, Alessio; Cools, Nathalie; D'Andrea, Ettore; De Vos, Bruno; Hamdi, Rafiq; Ingerslev, Morten; Knudsen, Morten Alban; Kowalska, Anna; Leca, Stefan; Matteucci, Giorgio; Nord-Larsen, Thomas; Sanders, Tanja Gm; Schmitz, Andreas; Termonia, Piet; Vanguelova, Elena; Van Schaeybroeck, Bert; Verstraeten, Arne; Vesterdal, Lars; Jonard, Mathieu.
Afiliación
  • de Wergifosse L; Earth and Life Institute: Environmental Sciences, UCLouvain, 1, Croix du Sud, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium; Earth and Life Institute: Earth and Climate, UCLouvain, 3, Place Louis Pasteur, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium. Electronic address: dewergifosse.louis@gmail.com.
  • André F; Earth and Life Institute: Environmental Sciences, UCLouvain, 1, Croix du Sud, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
  • Goosse H; Earth and Life Institute: Earth and Climate, UCLouvain, 3, Place Louis Pasteur, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
  • Boczon A; Forest Research Institute, Sekocin Stary, ul. Braci Lesnej 3, 05-090 Raszyn, Poland.
  • Cecchini S; Office National des Forêts, Département Recherche-Développement-Innovation, Bâtiment B, Boulevard de Constance, 77300 Fontainebleau, France.
  • Ciceu A; Forest Management Department, National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry INCDS Marin Dracea, 128, Bulevardul Eroilor, 077190 Voluntari, Romania; Department of Forest Engineering, Forest Management Planning and Terrestrial Measurements, Faculty of Silviculture and Forest Engineering,
  • Collalti A; Forest Modelling Lab., Institute for Agriculture and Forestry Systems in the Mediterranean, National Research Council of Italy (CNR-ISAFOM), Via Madonna Alta 128, 06128 Perugia, PG, Italy; Department of Innovation in Biological, Agro-food and Forest Systems (DIBAF), University of Tuscia, via San Cam
  • Cools N; Research Institute for Nature and Forest (INBO), 4, Gaverstraat, 9500 Geraardsbergen, Belgium.
  • D'Andrea E; Institute for Agriculture and Forestry Systems in the Mediterranean, National Research Council of Italy 8 (CNR-ISAFOM), P. le Enrico Fermi 1 Loc. Porto del Granatello, 80055 Portici, NA, Italy.
  • De Vos B; Research Institute for Nature and Forest (INBO), 4, Gaverstraat, 9500 Geraardsbergen, Belgium.
  • Hamdi R; Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, 3, Avenue circulaire, 1180 Brussels, Belgium.
  • Ingerslev M; Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Rolighedsvej 23, DK-1958 Frederiksberg C, Denmark.
  • Knudsen MA; Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Rolighedsvej 23, DK-1958 Frederiksberg C, Denmark.
  • Kowalska A; Forest Research Institute, Sekocin Stary, ul. Braci Lesnej 3, 05-090 Raszyn, Poland.
  • Leca S; Forest Management Department, National Institute for Research and Development in Forestry INCDS Marin Dracea, 128, Bulevardul Eroilor, 077190 Voluntari, Romania.
  • Matteucci G; Institute for BioEconomy, National Research Council of Italy (CNR-IBE), via Madonna del Piano, 10 50019 Sesto Fiorentino, FI, Italy.
  • Nord-Larsen T; Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Rolighedsvej 23, DK-1958 Frederiksberg C, Denmark.
  • Sanders TG; Thünen Institute of Forest Ecosystems, Alfred-Moeller-Str. 1, Haus 41/42, 16225 Eberswalde, Germany.
  • Schmitz A; Department of Silviculture and Forest Ecology of the Temperate Zones, University of Göttingen, 1, Büsgenweg, 37077 Göttingen, Germany; State Agency for Nature, Environment and Consumer Protection of North Rhine-Westphalia, 10, Leibnizstraße, 45659 Recklinghausen, Germany; Department of Silviculture
  • Termonia P; Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, 3, Avenue circulaire, 1180 Brussels, Belgium; Department of Physics and Astronomy, Ghent University, 86, Proeftuinstraat, 9000 Ghent, Belgium.
  • Vanguelova E; Centre of Ecosystem, Society and Biosecurity, Forest Research, Alice Holt Lodge, Farnham, Surrey GU10 4LH, UK.
  • Van Schaeybroeck B; Royal Meteorological Institute of Belgium, 3, Avenue circulaire, 1180 Brussels, Belgium.
  • Verstraeten A; Research Institute for Nature and Forest (INBO), 4, Gaverstraat, 9500 Geraardsbergen, Belgium.
  • Vesterdal L; Department of Geosciences and Natural Resource Management, University of Copenhagen, Rolighedsvej 23, DK-1958 Frederiksberg C, Denmark.
  • Jonard M; Earth and Life Institute: Environmental Sciences, UCLouvain, 1, Croix du Sud, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.
Sci Total Environ ; 806(Pt 2): 150422, 2022 Feb 01.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34852431
This study aimed to simulate oak and beech forest growth under various scenarios of climate change and to evaluate how the forest response depends on site properties and particularly on stand characteristics using the individual process-based model HETEROFOR. First, this model was evaluated on a wide range of site conditions. We used data from 36 long-term forest monitoring plots to initialize, calibrate, and evaluate HETEROFOR. This evaluation showed that HETEROFOR predicts individual tree radial growth and height increment reasonably well under different growing conditions when evaluated on independent sites. In our simulations under constant CO2 concentration ([CO2]cst) for the 2071-2100 period, climate change induced a moderate net primary production (NPP) gain in continental and mountainous zones and no change in the oceanic zone. The NPP changes were negatively affected by air temperature during the vegetation period and by the annual rainfall decrease. To a lower extent, they were influenced by soil extractable water reserve and stand characteristics. These NPP changes were positively affected by longer vegetation periods and negatively by drought for beech and larger autotrophic respiration costs for oak. For both species, the NPP gain was much larger with rising CO2 concentration ([CO2]var) mainly due to the CO2 fertilisation effect. Even if the species composition and structure had a limited influence on the forest response to climate change, they explained a large part of the NPP variability (44% and 34% for [CO2]cst and [CO2]var, respectively) compared to the climate change scenario (5% and 29%) and the inter-annual climate variability (20% and 16%). This gives the forester the possibility to act on the productivity of broadleaved forests and prepare them for possible adverse effects of climate change by reinforcing their resilience.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Fagus / Quercus Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Idioma: En Revista: Sci Total Environ Año: 2022 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Países Bajos
Texto completo
Añadir a Mi BVS
Imprimir
XML
PubMed Links
Buscar en Google

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Fagus / Quercus Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Idioma: En Revista: Sci Total Environ Año: 2022 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Países Bajos