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The Complex Epidemiological Relationship between Flooding Events and Human Outbreaks of Mosquito-Borne Diseases: A Scoping Review.
Coalson, Jenna E; Anderson, Elizabeth J; Santos, Ellen M; Madera Garcia, Valerie; Romine, James K; Dominguez, Brian; Richard, Danielle M; Little, Ashley C; Hayden, Mary H; Ernst, Kacey C.
Afiliación
  • Coalson JE; Center for Insect Science, University of Arizona, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
  • Anderson EJ; International Center for Research on Women, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
  • Santos EM; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Arizona Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
  • Madera Garcia V; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Arizona Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
  • Romine JK; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Arizona Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
  • Dominguez B; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Arizona Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
  • Richard DM; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Arizona Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
  • Little AC; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Arizona Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
  • Hayden MH; National Institute for Human Resilience, University of Colorado Colorado Springs, Colorado Springs, Colorado, USA.
  • Ernst KC; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Arizona Mel and Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health, Tucson, Arizona, USA.
Environ Health Perspect ; 129(9): 96002, 2021 09.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34582261
BACKGROUND: Climate change is expected to increase the frequency of flooding events. Although rainfall is highly correlated with mosquito-borne diseases (MBD) in humans, less research focuses on understanding the impact of flooding events on disease incidence. This lack of research presents a significant gap in climate change-driven disease forecasting. OBJECTIVES: We conducted a scoping review to assess the strength of evidence regarding the potential relationship between flooding and MBD and to determine knowledge gaps. METHODS: PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched through 31 December 2020 and supplemented with review of citations in relevant publications. Studies on rainfall were included only if the operationalization allowed for distinction of unusually heavy rainfall events. Data were abstracted by disease (dengue, malaria, or other) and stratified by post-event timing of disease assessment. Studies that conducted statistical testing were summarized in detail. RESULTS: From 3,008 initial results, we included 131 relevant studies (dengue n=45, malaria n=61, other MBD n=49). Dengue studies indicated short-term (<1 month) decreases and subsequent (1-4 month) increases in incidence. Malaria studies indicated post-event incidence increases, but the results were mixed, and the temporal pattern was less clear. Statistical evidence was limited for other MBD, though findings suggest that human outbreaks of Murray Valley encephalitis, Ross River virus, Barmah Forest virus, Rift Valley fever, and Japanese encephalitis may follow flooding. DISCUSSION: Flooding is generally associated with increased incidence of MBD, potentially following a brief decrease in incidence for some diseases. Methodological inconsistencies significantly limit direct comparison and generalizability of study results. Regions with established MBD and weather surveillance should be leveraged to conduct multisite research to a) standardize the quantification of relevant flooding, b) study nonlinear relationships between rainfall and disease, c) report outcomes at multiple lag periods, and d) investigate interacting factors that modify the likelihood and severity of outbreaks across different settings. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP8887.
Asunto(s)

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Brotes de Enfermedades / Enfermedades Transmitidas por Vectores Tipo de estudio: Systematic_reviews Límite: Animals / Humans Idioma: En Revista: Environ Health Perspect Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Brotes de Enfermedades / Enfermedades Transmitidas por Vectores Tipo de estudio: Systematic_reviews Límite: Animals / Humans Idioma: En Revista: Environ Health Perspect Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos