Fasting plasma glucose, diagnosis of gestational diabetes and the risk of large for gestational age: a regression discontinuity analysis of routine data.
BJOG
; 129(1): 82-89, 2022 01.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-34510695
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the causal effects of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and diagnosis of gestational diabetes (GDM) on birthweight and the risks of large for gestational age (LGA). DESIGN: Regression discontinuity analysis of routine data. SETTING: Two district general hospitals in West Yorkshire, UK. POPULATION: A cohort of 7062 women with singleton pregnancies who were screened for GDM and gave birth to a baby at ≥24 weeks of gestation in 2017-2019, inclusive. METHODS: The causal effects of FPG and GDM diagnosis were estimated using the two-stage least-squares approach, around the diagnostic threshold of FPG ≥ 5.6 mmol/l recommended by the UK's National Institute for Health and Care Excellent (NICE), controlling for ethnicity, maternal age, parity, height and weight. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Birthweight (standardised for sex and gestational age) and large for gestational age (standardised as birthweight above the 90th centile). RESULTS: For each 1 mmol/l increase in FPG the observed birthweight increased by Z-score = 0.48 standard deviations (95% CI 0.39 to 0.57) and the odds of LGA increased by OR = 2.61 (95% CI 1.86 to 3.66). Conversely, GDM diagnosis reduced the observed birthweight by Z = -0.61 (95% CI -0.94 to -0.29) and lowered the odds of LGA by OR = 0.33 (95% CI 0.15 to 0.74). Similar, but less certain, patterns were observed for caesarean section, shoulder dystocia and perinatal death. CONCLUSIONS: The relationship between FPG and LGA is potent but is dramatically reduced by GDM diagnosis (and all the consequences thereof). Women with mild hyperglycaemia (with an FPG of 5.1-5.5 mmol/l) who fall below the current NICE threshold for GDM diagnosis have the highest risks of adverse outcomes, suggesting a need to reconsider their current care. TWEETABLE ABSTRACT: Regression discontinuity analysis shows that untreated mild hyperglycaemia increases the odds of large for gestational age, but that a diagnosis of gestational #diabetes lowers the odds by three times.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Diagnóstico Prenatal
/
Macrosomía Fetal
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Diabetes Gestacional
Tipo de estudio:
Clinical_trials
/
Diagnostic_studies
/
Etiology_studies
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Incidence_studies
/
Observational_studies
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Risk_factors_studies
Límite:
Adult
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Female
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Humans
/
Newborn
/
Pregnancy
País/Región como asunto:
Europa
Idioma:
En
Revista:
BJOG
Asunto de la revista:
GINECOLOGIA
/
OBSTETRICIA
Año:
2022
Tipo del documento:
Article
Pais de publicación:
Reino Unido