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Demographic responses to climate change in a threatened Arctic species.
Dunham, Kylee D; Tucker, Anna M; Koons, David N; Abebe, Asheber; Dobson, F Stephen; Grand, James B.
Afiliación
  • Dunham KD; Alabama Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences Auburn University Auburn AL USA.
  • Tucker AM; Present address: Department of Biological Sciences University of Alberta Edmonton AB Canada.
  • Koons DN; Alabama Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit School of Forestry and Wildlife Sciences Auburn University Auburn AL USA.
  • Abebe A; Present address: U.S. Geological Survey Patuxent Wildlife Research Center Laurel MD USA.
  • Dobson FS; Department of Fish, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology & Graduate Degree Program in Ecology Colorado State University Fort Collins CO USA.
  • Grand JB; Department of Mathematics and Statistics Auburn University Auburn AL USA.
Ecol Evol ; 11(15): 10627-10643, 2021 Aug.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34367602
The Arctic is undergoing rapid and accelerating change in response to global warming, altering biodiversity patterns, and ecosystem function across the region. For Arctic endemic species, our understanding of the consequences of such change remains limited. Spectacled eiders (Somateria fischeri), a large Arctic sea duck, use remote regions in the Bering Sea, Arctic Russia, and Alaska throughout the annual cycle making it difficult to conduct comprehensive surveys or demographic studies. Listed as Threatened under the U.S. Endangered Species Act, understanding the species response to climate change is critical for effective conservation policy and planning. Here, we developed an integrated population model to describe spectacled eider population dynamics using capture-mark-recapture, breeding population survey, nest survey, and environmental data collected between 1992 and 2014. Our intent was to estimate abundance, population growth, and demographic rates, and quantify how changes in the environment influenced population dynamics. Abundance of spectacled eiders breeding in western Alaska has increased since listing in 1993 and responded more strongly to annual variation in first-year survival than adult survival or productivity. We found both adult survival and nest success were highest in years following intermediate sea ice conditions during the wintering period, and both demographic rates declined when sea ice conditions were above or below average. In recent years, sea ice extent has reached new record lows and has remained below average throughout the winter for multiple years in a row. Sea ice persistence is expected to further decline in the Bering Sea. Our results indicate spectacled eiders may be vulnerable to climate change and the increasingly variable sea ice conditions throughout their wintering range with potentially deleterious effects on population dynamics. Importantly, we identified that different demographic rates responded similarly to changes in sea ice conditions, emphasizing the need for integrated analyses to understand population dynamics.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Idioma: En Revista: Ecol Evol Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Reino Unido

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Idioma: En Revista: Ecol Evol Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Reino Unido