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Modeling the Dynamics of Coronavirus Disease Pandemic Coupled with Fear Epidemics.
Mpeshe, Saul C; Nyerere, Nkuba.
Afiliación
  • Mpeshe SC; Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Iringa, P.O. Box 200, Iringa, Tanzania.
  • Nyerere N; Department Mathematics, Informatics and Computational Science, Sokoine University of Agriculture, P.O. Box 3000, Morogoro, Tanzania.
Comput Math Methods Med ; 2021: 6647425, 2021.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33777169
A modeling approach to investigate the dynamics of COVID-19 epidemics coupled with fear is presented in this paper. The basic reproduction number R 0 is computed and employed in analysing the effect of initial transmission and the conditions for disease control or eradication. Numerical simulations show that whenever there is an outbreak coupled with fear, the disease is likely to persist in the first two months, and after that, it will start to slow down as the recovery rate from fear increases. An increase in the number of recovered individuals lead to a rise in the number of susceptibles and consequently set off a second wave of infection in the third month of the epidemic.
Asunto(s)

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Miedo / Epidemias / COVID-19 Tipo de estudio: Diagnostic_studies / Prognostic_studies Límite: Humans Idioma: En Revista: Comput Math Methods Med Asunto de la revista: INFORMATICA MEDICA Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Tanzania Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Miedo / Epidemias / COVID-19 Tipo de estudio: Diagnostic_studies / Prognostic_studies Límite: Humans Idioma: En Revista: Comput Math Methods Med Asunto de la revista: INFORMATICA MEDICA Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Tanzania Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos