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Prediction of pre-eclampsia-related complications in women with suspected or confirmed pre-eclampsia: development and internal validation of clinical prediction model.
Saleh, L; Alblas, M M; Nieboer, D; Neuman, R I; Vergouwe, Y; Brussé, I A; Duvekot, J J; Steyerberg, E W; Versendaal, H J; Danser, A H J; Meiracker, A H VAN DEN; Verdonk, K; Visser, W.
Afiliación
  • Saleh L; Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Vascular Medicine and Pharmacology, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Alblas MM; Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Obstetrics and Prenatal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Nieboer D; Centre for Medical Decision Sciences, Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Neuman RI; Centre for Medical Decision Sciences, Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Vergouwe Y; Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Vascular Medicine and Pharmacology, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Brussé IA; Centre for Medical Decision Sciences, Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Duvekot JJ; Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Obstetrics and Prenatal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Steyerberg EW; Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Obstetrics and Prenatal Medicine, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Versendaal HJ; Centre for Medical Decision Sciences, Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Danser AHJ; Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Division of Obstetrics and Prenatal Medicine, Maasstad Ziekenhuis, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Meiracker AHVD; Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Vascular Medicine and Pharmacology, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Verdonk K; Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Vascular Medicine and Pharmacology, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
  • Visser W; Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Vascular Medicine and Pharmacology, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol ; 58(5): 698-704, 2021 Nov.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33030757
OBJECTIVE: A model that can predict reliably the risk of pre-eclampsia (PE)-related pregnancy complications does not exist. The aim of this study was to develop and validate internally a clinical prediction model to predict the risk of a composite outcome of PE-related maternal and fetal complications within 7, 14 and 30 days of testing in women with suspected or confirmed PE. METHODS: The data for this study were derived from a prospective, multicenter, observational cohort study on women with a singleton pregnancy and suspected or confirmed PE at 20 to < 37 weeks' gestation. For the development of the prediction model, the possible contribution of clinical and standard laboratory variables, as well as the biomarkers soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1 (sFlt-1), placental growth factor (PlGF) and their ratio, in the prediction of a composite outcome of PE-related complications, consisting of maternal and fetal adverse events within 7, 14 and 30 days, was explored using multivariable competing-risks regression analysis. The discriminative ability of the model was assessed using the concordance (c-) statistic. A bootstrap validation procedure with 500 replications was used to correct the estimate of the prediction model performance for optimism and to compute a shrinkage factor for the regression coefficients to correct for overfitting. RESULTS: Among 384 women with suspected or confirmed PE, 96 (25%) had an adverse PE-related outcome at any time after hospital admission. Important predictors of adverse PE-related outcome included sFlt-1/PlGF ratio, gestational age at the time of biomarker measurement and protein-to-creatinine ratio as continuous variables. The c-statistics (corrected for optimism) for developing a PE-related complication within 7, 14 and 30 days were 0.89, 0.88 and 0.87, respectively. There was limited overfitting, as indicated by a shrinkage factor of 0.91. CONCLUSIONS: We propose a simple clinical prediction model with good discriminative performance to predict PE-related complications. Determination of its usefulness in clinical practice awaits further investigation and external validation. © 2020 The Authors. Ultrasound in Obstetrics & Gynecology published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Preeclampsia / Complicaciones del Embarazo / Diagnóstico Prenatal / Modelos Estadísticos Tipo de estudio: Clinical_trials / Diagnostic_studies / Etiology_studies / Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Adult / Female / Humans / Pregnancy Idioma: En Revista: Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol Asunto de la revista: DIAGNOSTICO POR IMAGEM / GINECOLOGIA / OBSTETRICIA Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Países Bajos Pais de publicación: Reino Unido

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Preeclampsia / Complicaciones del Embarazo / Diagnóstico Prenatal / Modelos Estadísticos Tipo de estudio: Clinical_trials / Diagnostic_studies / Etiology_studies / Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Adult / Female / Humans / Pregnancy Idioma: En Revista: Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol Asunto de la revista: DIAGNOSTICO POR IMAGEM / GINECOLOGIA / OBSTETRICIA Año: 2021 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Países Bajos Pais de publicación: Reino Unido