Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Projecting the effects of agricultural conservation practices on stream fish communities in a changing climate.
Fraker, Michael E; Keitzer, S Conor; Sinclair, James S; Aloysius, Noel R; Dippold, David A; Yen, Haw; Arnold, Jeffrey G; Daggupati, Prasad; Johnson, Mari-Vaughn V; Martin, Jay F; Robertson, Dale M; Sowa, Scott P; White, Michael J; Ludsin, Stuart A.
Afiliación
  • Fraker ME; Aquatic Ecology Laboratory, Department of Evolution, Ecology, and Organismal Biology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA.
  • Keitzer SC; Department of Natural Sciences, Tusculum University, Greeneville, TN, USA.
  • Sinclair JS; Aquatic Ecology Laboratory, Department of Evolution, Ecology, and Organismal Biology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA.
  • Aloysius NR; Department of Bioengineering, University of Missouri, Columbia, MO, USA.
  • Dippold DA; Aquatic Ecology Laboratory, Department of Evolution, Ecology, and Organismal Biology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA.
  • Yen H; Blackland Research and Extension Center, Texas A&M University, Temple, TX, USA.
  • Arnold JG; U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service, Grassland Soils and Water Research Laboratory, Temple, TX, USA.
  • Daggupati P; School of Engineering, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada.
  • Johnson MV; U.S. Department of Agriculture, Natural Resources Conservation Service, Soil Science and Resource Assessment Division, Temple, TX, USA.
  • Martin JF; Department of Food, Agriculture, and Biological Engineering, and OSU Sustainability Institute, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA.
  • Robertson DM; U.S. Geological Survey, Upper Midwest Water Science Center, Middleton, WI, USA.
  • Sowa SP; The Nature Conservancy, Michigan Field Office, Lansing, MI, USA.
  • White MJ; U.S. Department of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service, Grassland Soils and Water Research Laboratory, Temple, TX, USA.
  • Ludsin SA; Aquatic Ecology Laboratory, Department of Evolution, Ecology, and Organismal Biology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA. Electronic address: ludsin.1@osu.edu.
Sci Total Environ ; 747: 141112, 2020 Dec 10.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32791405
How anticipated climate change might affect long-term outcomes of present-day agricultural conservation practices remains a key uncertainty that could benefit water quality and biodiversity conservation planning. To explore this issue, we forecasted how the stream fish communities in the Western Lake Erie Basin (WLEB) would respond to increasing amounts of agricultural conservation practice (ACP) implementation under two IPCC future greenhouse gas emission scenarios (RCP4.5: moderate reductions; RCP8.5: business-as-usual conditions) during 2020-2065. We used output from 19 General Circulation Models to drive linked agricultural land use (APEX), watershed hydrology (SWAT), and stream fish distribution (boosted regression tree) models, subsequently analyzing how projected changes in habitat would influence fish community composition and functional trait diversity. Our models predicted both positive and negative effects of climate change and ACP implementation on WLEB stream fishes. For most species, climate and ACPs influenced species in the same direction, with climate effects outweighing those of ACP implementation. Functional trait analysis helped clarify the varied responses among species, indicating that more extreme climate change would reduce available habitat for large-bodied, cool-water species with equilibrium life-histories, many of which also are of importance to recreational fishing (e.g., northern pike, smallmouth bass). By contrast, available habitat for warm-water, benthic species with more periodic or opportunistic life-histories (e.g., northern hogsucker, greater redhorse, greenside darter) was predicted to increase. Further, ACP implementation was projected to hasten these shifts, suggesting that efforts to improve water quality could come with costs to other ecosystem services (e.g., recreational fishing opportunities). Collectively, our findings demonstrate the need to consider biological outcomes when developing strategies to mitigate water quality impairment and highlight the value of physical-biological modeling approaches to agricultural and biological conservation planning in a changing climate.
Asunto(s)
Palabras clave

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Ecosistema / Ríos Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Límite: Animals Idioma: En Revista: Sci Total Environ Año: 2020 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Países Bajos

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Ecosistema / Ríos Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Límite: Animals Idioma: En Revista: Sci Total Environ Año: 2020 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Países Bajos