Development of a clinical score, PANDA, to predict delirium in stroke care unit.
J Neurol Sci
; 415: 116956, 2020 08 15.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-32505010
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Delirium frequently complicates acute stroke and worsens outcomes. Because delirium is potentially preventable, predicting its occurrence is essential. Although several prediction scores have been proposed, nurses need to quickly predict delirium in stroke care units (SCUs). We aimed to develop a simple tool for this purpose by examining a comprehensive set of potential predictors. METHODS: This is a prospective cohort study on acute stroke patients admitted to an SCU. Patients without stupor, coma, or delirium upon admission were eligible. Participants were followed for 5 days from admission. Delirium was defined as Intensive Care Delirium Screening Checklist ≥4 points. We examined 27 potential predictors, of which 13 predictors were used to developed a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator-penalized logistic regression model. Five variables with the largest coefficients were assigned one point each in the prediction score. The internal validation was performed by bootstrapping. RESULTS: Delirium occurred in 42 of the 387 participants. The score consisted of prior delirium, alcohol, NIHSS ≥5, dementia, and auditory/visual impairment (PANDA). The apparent AUC was 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.78-0.89), and the optimism-corrected AUC was 0.81 (95% CI, 0.73-0.88). With a cutoff of ≥2 points, sensitivity was 0.78 (95% CI, 0.65-0.90), and specificity was 0.74 (95% CI, 0.70-0.79). CONCLUSIONS: PANDA score is simple and predicts delirium in an SCU satisfactorily.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Accidente Cerebrovascular
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Delirio
Tipo de estudio:
Diagnostic_studies
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Etiology_studies
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Observational_studies
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Prognostic_studies
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Risk_factors_studies
Límite:
Humans
Idioma:
En
Revista:
J Neurol Sci
Año:
2020
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Japón
Pais de publicación:
Países Bajos