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Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Hantavirus Cardiopulmonary Syndrome Transmission Risk in Brazil.
Muylaert, Renata L; Sabino-Santos, Gilberto; Prist, Paula R; Oshima, Júlia E F; Niebuhr, Bernardo Brandão; Sobral-Souza, Thadeu; Oliveira, Stefan Vilges de; Bovendorp, Ricardo Siqueira; Marshall, Jonathan C; Hayman, David T S; Ribeiro, Milton Cezar.
Afiliación
  • Muylaert RL; Department of Ecology, Institute of Biosciences, São Paulo State University (UNESP), Rio Claro 13506-900, Brazil. renatamuy@gmail.com.
  • Sabino-Santos G; Molecular Epidemiology and Public Health Laboratory, Hopkirk Research Institute, Massey University, Private Bag 11-222, Palmerston North 4474, New Zealand. renatamuy@gmail.com.
  • Prist PR; Center for Virology Research, Ribeirão Preto Medical School, University of São Paulo, Av. Bandeirantes 3900, Vila Monte Alegre, Ribeirão Preto 14049-900, Brazil. sabinogsj@gmail.com.
  • Oshima JEF; Vitalant Research Institute, 270 Masonic Avenue, San Francisco, CA 94118, USA. sabinogsj@gmail.com.
  • Niebuhr BB; Department of Laboratory Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, 270 Masonic Avenue, San Francisco, CA 94118, USA. sabinogsj@gmail.com.
  • Sobral-Souza T; Department of Ecology, Biosciences Institute, University of São Paulo, São Paulo 05508-900, Brazil. pprist@hotmail.com.
  • Oliveira SV; Department of Ecology, Institute of Biosciences, São Paulo State University (UNESP), Rio Claro 13506-900, Brazil. juemioshima@gmail.com.
  • Bovendorp RS; Department of Ecology, Institute of Biosciences, São Paulo State University (UNESP), Rio Claro 13506-900, Brazil. bernardo_brandaum@yahoo.com.br.
  • Marshall JC; Centro Nacional de Pesquisa e Conservação de Mamíferos, Carnívoros (CENAP), Instituto Chico Mendes de Conservação (ICMBio), Estrada Municipal Hisaichi Takebayashi, 8600-Bairro da Usina, Atibaia 12.952-011, Brazil. bernardo_brandaum@yahoo.com.br.
  • Hayman DTS; Instituto Pró-Carnívoros, Av. Horácio Neto 1030, Parque Edmundo Zanoni Atibaia 12945-010, Brazil. bernardo_brandaum@yahoo.com.br.
  • Ribeiro MC; Department of Botany and Ecology, Federal University of Mato Grosso (UFMT), Cuiabá 78060-900, Brazil. thadeusobral@gmail.com.
Viruses ; 11(11)2019 10 31.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31683644
BACKGROUND: Hantavirus disease in humans is rare but frequently lethal in the Neotropics. Several abundant and widely distributed Sigmodontinae rodents are the primary hosts of Orthohantavirus and, in combination with other factors, these rodents can shape hantavirus disease. Here, we assessed the influence of host diversity, climate, social vulnerability and land use change on the risk of hantavirus disease in Brazil over 24 years. METHODS: Landscape variables (native forest, forestry, sugarcane, maize and pasture), climate (temperature and precipitation), and host biodiversity (derived through niche models) were used in spatiotemporal models, using the 5570 Brazilian municipalities as units of analysis. RESULTS: Amounts of native forest and sugarcane, combined with temperature, were the most important factors influencing the increase of disease risk. Population at risk (rural workers) and rodent host diversity also had a positive effect on disease risk. CONCLUSIONS: Land use change-especially the conversion of native areas to sugarcane fields-can have a significant impact on hantavirus disease risk, likely by promoting the interaction between the people and the infected rodents. Our results demonstrate the importance of understanding the interactions between landscape change, rodent diversity, and hantavirus disease incidence, and suggest that land use policy should consider disease risk. Meanwhile, our risk map can be used to help allocate preventive measures to avoid disease.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Roedores / Zoonosis / Síndrome Pulmonar por Hantavirus / Infecciones por Hantavirus / Análisis Espacio-Temporal Tipo de estudio: Etiology_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Animals / Humans País/Región como asunto: America do sul / Brasil Idioma: En Revista: Viruses Año: 2019 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Brasil Pais de publicación: Suiza
Texto completo
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XML
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Roedores / Zoonosis / Síndrome Pulmonar por Hantavirus / Infecciones por Hantavirus / Análisis Espacio-Temporal Tipo de estudio: Etiology_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Animals / Humans País/Región como asunto: America do sul / Brasil Idioma: En Revista: Viruses Año: 2019 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Brasil Pais de publicación: Suiza