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Derivation and external validation of the SHIeLD score for predicting outcome in normotensive pulmonary embolism.
Freitas, Pedro; Santos, Ana Rita; Ferreira, António Miguel; Oliveira, Afonso; Gonçalves, Mariana; Corte-Real, Ana; Lameiras, Catarina; Maurício, Joana; Ornelas, Énia; Matos, Clara; Faria, Daniel; Augusto, João; Simões, Joana; Ferreira, Inês; Pedroso, Ana; Santos, Ana Coutinho; Gago, Miguel; Oliveira, João Diogo; Antunes, Ricardo Mamede; Correia, David; Lynce, Ana; Brito, João; Aguiar, Carlos; Ferreira, Jorge; Morais, Carlos; Campos, Luís; Raposo, Luís; Mendes, Miguel.
Afiliación
  • Freitas P; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal. Electronic address: pnfreitas@chlo.min-saude.pt.
  • Santos AR; Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Ferreira AM; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Oliveira A; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Gonçalves M; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Corte-Real A; Internal Medicine Department III, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Lameiras C; Internal Medicine Department III, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Maurício J; Internal Medicine Department III, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Ornelas É; Internal Medicine Department III, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Matos C; Internal Medicine Department III, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Faria D; Cardiology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Augusto J; Cardiology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Simões J; Cardiology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Ferreira I; Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Pedroso A; Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Santos AC; Radiology Department, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Gago M; Radiology Department, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Oliveira JD; Radiology Department, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Antunes RM; Radiology Department, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Correia D; Radiology Department, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Lynce A; Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Brito J; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Aguiar C; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Ferreira J; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Morais C; Cardiology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Campos L; Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Raposo L; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
  • Mendes M; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
Int J Cardiol ; 281: 119-124, 2019 Apr 15.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30638984
BACKGROUND: Identifying patients with normotensive pulmonary embolism (PE) who may benefit from thrombolysis remains challenging. We sought to develop and validate a score to predict 30-days PE-related mortality and/or rescue thrombolysis. METHODS: We retrospectively assessed 554 patients with normotensive PE. Independent predictors of the studied endpoint were identified from variables available at admission in the emergency department and were used to create a score. The model was validated in 308 patients from a separate hospital. RESULTS: A total of 64 patients died or needed rescue thrombolysis (44 in the derivation cohort). Four independent prognostic factors were identified: Shock index ≥ 1.0 (OR 3.33; 95% CI 1.40-7.93; P = 0.006), HypoxaemIa by the PaO2/FiO2 ratio (OR 0.92 per 10 units; 95% CI 0.88-0.97; P < 0.001), Lactate (OR 1.38 per mmol/L; 95% CI 1.09-1.75; P = 0.008) and cardiovascular Dysfunction (OR 5.67; 95% CI 2.60-12.33; P < 0.001) - SHIeLD score. In the development cohort, event rates for each risk tercile were 0.0%, 2.2%, and 21.6%. In the validation cohort, corresponding rates were 0.0%, 1.9%, and 14.3%. The C-statistic was 0.90 (95% CI 0.86-0.94, P < 0.001) in the derivation cohort and 0.82 (95% CI 0.75-0.89, P < 0.001) in the validation cohort. Decision curve analysis showed that the SHIeLD score is able to accurately identify more true positive cases than the European Society of Cardiology decision criteria. CONCLUSIONS: A risk score to predict 30-days PE-related mortality and/or rescue thrombolysis in patients with normotensive PE was developed and validated. This score may assist physicians in selecting patients for closer monitoring or aggressive treatment strategy.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Embolia Pulmonar / Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad Tipo de estudio: Etiology_studies / Incidence_studies / Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Aged / Aged80 / Female / Humans / Male / Middle aged Idioma: En Revista: Int J Cardiol Año: 2019 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Países Bajos

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Embolia Pulmonar / Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad Tipo de estudio: Etiology_studies / Incidence_studies / Observational_studies / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Aged / Aged80 / Female / Humans / Male / Middle aged Idioma: En Revista: Int J Cardiol Año: 2019 Tipo del documento: Article Pais de publicación: Países Bajos