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Cleaner fuels for ships provide public health benefits with climate tradeoffs.
Sofiev, Mikhail; Winebrake, James J; Johansson, Lasse; Carr, Edward W; Prank, Marje; Soares, Joana; Vira, Julius; Kouznetsov, Rostislav; Jalkanen, Jukka-Pekka; Corbett, James J.
Afiliación
  • Sofiev M; Atmospheric Composition Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Winebrake JJ; Rochester Institute of Technology, Rochester, NY, 14623, USA.
  • Johansson L; Atmospheric Composition Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Carr EW; Energy and Environmental Research Associates, LLC, Pittsford, NY, 14534, USA.
  • Prank M; Atmospheric Composition Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Soares J; Atmospheric Composition Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Vira J; Atmospheric Composition Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Kouznetsov R; Atmospheric Composition Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Jalkanen JP; Atmospheric Composition Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, P.O. Box 503, FI-00101, Helsinki, Finland. jukka-pekka.jalkanen@fmi.fi.
  • Corbett JJ; University of Delaware, 305 Robinson Hall, Newark, DE, 19711, USA. jcorbett@udel.edu.
Nat Commun ; 9(1): 406, 2018 02 06.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29410475
We evaluate public health and climate impacts of low-sulphur fuels in global shipping. Using high-resolution emissions inventories, integrated atmospheric models, and health risk functions, we assess ship-related PM2.5 pollution impacts in 2020 with and without the use of low-sulphur fuels. Cleaner marine fuels will reduce ship-related premature mortality and morbidity by 34 and 54%, respectively, representing a ~ 2.6% global reduction in PM2.5 cardiovascular and lung cancer deaths and a ~3.6% global reduction in childhood asthma. Despite these reductions, low-sulphur marine fuels will still account for ~250k deaths and ~6.4 M childhood asthma cases annually, and more stringent standards beyond 2020 may provide additional health benefits. Lower sulphur fuels also reduce radiative cooling from ship aerosols by ~80%, equating to a ~3% increase in current estimates of total anthropogenic forcing. Therefore, stronger international shipping policies may need to achieve climate and health targets by jointly reducing greenhouse gases and air pollution.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Salud Pública / Modelos Estadísticos / Contaminantes Atmosféricos / Material Particulado / Combustibles Fósiles Tipo de estudio: Diagnostic_studies / Etiology_studies / Prognostic_studies Aspecto: Determinantes_sociais_saude Límite: Humans Idioma: En Revista: Nat Commun Asunto de la revista: BIOLOGIA / CIENCIA Año: 2018 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Finlandia Pais de publicación: Reino Unido
Texto completo
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Salud Pública / Modelos Estadísticos / Contaminantes Atmosféricos / Material Particulado / Combustibles Fósiles Tipo de estudio: Diagnostic_studies / Etiology_studies / Prognostic_studies Aspecto: Determinantes_sociais_saude Límite: Humans Idioma: En Revista: Nat Commun Asunto de la revista: BIOLOGIA / CIENCIA Año: 2018 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Finlandia Pais de publicación: Reino Unido