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Identifying climate drivers of infectious disease dynamics: recent advances and challenges ahead.
Metcalf, C Jessica E; Walter, Katharine S; Wesolowski, Amy; Buckee, Caroline O; Shevliakova, Elena; Tatem, Andrew J; Boos, William R; Weinberger, Daniel M; Pitzer, Virginia E.
Afiliación
  • Metcalf CJE; Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA cmetcalf@princeton.edu.
  • Walter KS; Office of Population Research, Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
  • Wesolowski A; Department of Epidemiology of Microbial Diseases, Yale School of Public Health, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.
  • Buckee CO; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Helath, Baltimore, MD, USA.
  • Shevliakova E; Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Tatem AJ; Center for Communicable Disease Dynamics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
  • Boos WR; NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, USA.
  • Weinberger DM; Flowminder Foundation, Stockholm, Sweden.
  • Pitzer VE; WorldPop project, Department of Geography and Environment, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
Proc Biol Sci ; 284(1860)2017 Aug 16.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28814655
Climate change is likely to profoundly modulate the burden of infectious diseases. However, attributing health impacts to a changing climate requires being able to associate changes in infectious disease incidence with the potentially complex influences of climate. This aim is further complicated by nonlinear feedbacks inherent in the dynamics of many infections, driven by the processes of immunity and transmission. Here, we detail the mechanisms by which climate drivers can shape infectious disease incidence, from direct effects on vector life history to indirect effects on human susceptibility, and detail the scope of variation available with which to probe these mechanisms. We review approaches used to evaluate and quantify associations between climate and infectious disease incidence, discuss the array of data available to tackle this question, and detail remaining challenges in understanding the implications of climate change for infectious disease incidence. We point to areas where synthesis between approaches used in climate science and infectious disease biology provide potential for progress.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Cambio Climático / Enfermedades Transmisibles Tipo de estudio: Incidence_studies / Prognostic_studies Límite: Animals / Humans Idioma: En Revista: Proc Biol Sci Asunto de la revista: BIOLOGIA Año: 2017 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Reino Unido
Texto completo
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Cambio Climático / Enfermedades Transmisibles Tipo de estudio: Incidence_studies / Prognostic_studies Límite: Animals / Humans Idioma: En Revista: Proc Biol Sci Asunto de la revista: BIOLOGIA Año: 2017 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Reino Unido