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Changing climate shifts timing of European floods.
Blöschl, Günter; Hall, Julia; Parajka, Juraj; Perdigão, Rui A P; Merz, Bruno; Arheimer, Berit; Aronica, Giuseppe T; Bilibashi, Ardian; Bonacci, Ognjen; Borga, Marco; Canjevac, Ivan; Castellarin, Attilio; Chirico, Giovanni B; Claps, Pierluigi; Fiala, Károly; Frolova, Natalia; Gorbachova, Liudmyla; Gül, Ali; Hannaford, Jamie; Harrigan, Shaun; Kireeva, Maria; Kiss, Andrea; Kjeldsen, Thomas R; Kohnová, Silvia; Koskela, Jarkko J; Ledvinka, Ondrej; Macdonald, Neil; Mavrova-Guirguinova, Maria; Mediero, Luis; Merz, Ralf; Molnar, Peter; Montanari, Alberto; Murphy, Conor; Osuch, Marzena; Ovcharuk, Valeryia; Radevski, Ivan; Rogger, Magdalena; Salinas, José L; Sauquet, Eric; Sraj, Mojca; Szolgay, Jan; Viglione, Alberto; Volpi, Elena; Wilson, Donna; Zaimi, Klodian; Zivkovic, Nenad.
Afiliación
  • Blöschl G; Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Vienna, Austria. bloeschl@hydro.tuwien.ac.at.
  • Hall J; Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Vienna, Austria.
  • Parajka J; Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Vienna, Austria.
  • Perdigão RAP; Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Vienna, Austria.
  • Merz B; Helmholtz Centre Potsdam, GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany.
  • Arheimer B; Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Norrköping, Sweden.
  • Aronica GT; Department of Engineering, University of Messina, Messina, Italy.
  • Bilibashi A; Control Systems Engineering, Renewable Energy Systems & Technology, Tirana, Albania.
  • Bonacci O; Faculty of Civil Engineering, Architecture and Geodesy, Split University, Split, Croatia.
  • Borga M; Department of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, University of Padova, Padua, Italy.
  • Canjevac I; Department of Geography, Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb, Zagreb, Croatia.
  • Castellarin A; Department of Civil, Chemical, Environmental and Materials Engineering (DICAM), Università di Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
  • Chirico GB; Department of Agricultural Sciences, University of Naples Federico II, Naples, Italy.
  • Claps P; Department of Environment, Land and Infrastructure Engineering (DIATI), Politecnico di Torino, Turin, Italy.
  • Fiala K; Lower Tisza District Water Directorate, Szeged, Hungary.
  • Frolova N; Department of Land Hydrology, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia.
  • Gorbachova L; Department of Hydrological Research, Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Institute, Kiev, Ukraine.
  • Gül A; Department of Civil Engineering, Dokuz Eylul University, Izmir, Turkey.
  • Hannaford J; Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, UK.
  • Harrigan S; Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Wallingford, Oxfordshire, UK.
  • Kireeva M; Department of Land Hydrology, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia.
  • Kiss A; Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Vienna, Austria.
  • Kjeldsen TR; Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, University of Bath, Bath, UK.
  • Kohnová S; Department of Land and Water Resources Management,Faculty of Civil Engineering, Slovak University of Technology, 810 05 Bratislava, Slovakia.
  • Koskela JJ; Finnish Environment Institute, Helsinki, Finland.
  • Ledvinka O; Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, Prague, Czechia.
  • Macdonald N; Department of Geography and Planning & Institute of Risk and Uncertainty, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
  • Mavrova-Guirguinova M; University of Architecture, Civil Engineering and Geodesy, Sofia, Bulgaria.
  • Mediero L; Department of Civil Engineering: Hydraulic, Energy and Environment, Technical University of Madrid, Madrid, Spain.
  • Merz R; Department for Catchment Hydrology, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research-UFZ, Halle, Germany.
  • Molnar P; Institute of Environmental Engineering, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
  • Montanari A; Department of Civil, Chemical, Environmental and Materials Engineering (DICAM), Università di Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
  • Murphy C; Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units (ICARUS), Department of Geography, Maynooth University, Ireland.
  • Osuch M; Department of Hydrology and Hydrodynamics, Institute of Geophysics, Polish Academy of Sciences, Warsaw, Poland.
  • Ovcharuk V; Hydrometeorological Institute, Odessa State Environmental University, Odessa, Ukraine.
  • Radevski I; Institute of Geography, Faculty of Natural Sciences and Mathematics, Ss. Cyril and Methodius University, Skopje, Republic of Macedonia.
  • Rogger M; Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Vienna, Austria.
  • Salinas JL; Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Vienna, Austria.
  • Sauquet E; Irstea, UR HHLY, Hydrology-Hydraulics Research Unit, Lyon, France.
  • Sraj M; Faculty of Civil and Geodetic Engineering, University of Ljubljana, Ljubljana, Slovenia.
  • Szolgay J; Department of Land and Water Resources Management,Faculty of Civil Engineering, Slovak University of Technology, 810 05 Bratislava, Slovakia.
  • Viglione A; Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Technische Universität Wien, Vienna, Austria.
  • Volpi E; Department of Engineering, University Roma Tre, Rome, Italy.
  • Wilson D; Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, Oslo, Norway.
  • Zaimi K; Institute of Geo-Sciences, Energy, Water and Environment, Polytechnic University of Tirana, Tirana, Albania.
  • Zivkovic N; Faculty of Geography, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.
Science ; 357(6351): 588-590, 2017 08 11.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28798129
A warming climate is expected to have an impact on the magnitude and timing of river floods; however, no consistent large-scale climate change signal in observed flood magnitudes has been identified so far. We analyzed the timing of river floods in Europe over the past five decades, using a pan-European database from 4262 observational hydrometric stations, and found clear patterns of change in flood timing. Warmer temperatures have led to earlier spring snowmelt floods throughout northeastern Europe; delayed winter storms associated with polar warming have led to later winter floods around the North Sea and some sectors of the Mediterranean coast; and earlier soil moisture maxima have led to earlier winter floods in western Europe. Our results highlight the existence of a clear climate signal in flood observations at the continental scale.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Idioma: En Revista: Science Año: 2017 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Austria Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos
Texto completo
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Idioma: En Revista: Science Año: 2017 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Austria Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos