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A model to estimate the probability of human immunodeficiency virus and hepatitis C infection despite negative nucleic acid testing among increased-risk organ donors.
Annambhotla, Pallavi D; Gurbaxani, Brian M; Kuehnert, Matthew J; Basavaraju, Sridhar V.
Afiliación
  • Annambhotla PD; Office of Blood, Organ, and Other Tissue Safety, Division of Healthcare Quality Promotion, National Center for Emerging and Zoonotic Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
  • Gurbaxani BM; Oak Ridge Institute for Science and Education, Oak Ridge, TN, USA.
  • Kuehnert MJ; Office of the Associate Director for Science, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA.
  • Basavaraju SV; H. Milton Stewart School of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Transpl Infect Dis ; 19(2)2017 Apr.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28178393
BACKGROUND: In 2013, guidelines were released for reducing the risk of viral bloodborne pathogen transmission through organ transplantation. Eleven criteria were described that result in a donor being designated at increased infectious risk. Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission risk from an increased-risk donor (IRD), despite negative nucleic acid testing (NAT), likely varies based on behavior type and timing. METHODS: We developed a Monte Carlo risk model to quantify probability of HIV among IRDs. The model included NAT performance, viral load dynamics, and per-act risk of acquiring HIV by each behavior. The model also quantifies the probability of HCV among IRDs by non-medical intravenous drug use (IVDU). RESULTS: Highest risk is among donors with history of unprotected, receptive anal male-to-male intercourse with partner of unknown HIV status (MSM), followed by sex with an HIV-infected partner, IVDU, and sex with a commercial sex worker. CONCLUSION: With NAT screening, the estimated risk of undetected HIV remains small even at 1 day following a risk behavior. The estimated risk for HCV transmission through IVDU is likewise small and decreases quicker with time owing to the faster viral growth dynamics of HCV compared with HIV. These findings may allow for improved organ allocation, utilization, and recipient informed consent.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Donantes de Tejidos / Infecciones por VIH / Hepatitis C / Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa / Aloinjertos / Modelos Teóricos Tipo de estudio: Diagnostic_studies / Etiology_studies / Guideline / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Humans Idioma: En Revista: Transpl Infect Dis Asunto de la revista: TRANSPLANTE Año: 2017 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Dinamarca

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Donantes de Tejidos / Infecciones por VIH / Hepatitis C / Transmisión de Enfermedad Infecciosa / Aloinjertos / Modelos Teóricos Tipo de estudio: Diagnostic_studies / Etiology_studies / Guideline / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Límite: Humans Idioma: En Revista: Transpl Infect Dis Asunto de la revista: TRANSPLANTE Año: 2017 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Dinamarca