Basal values and changes of liver stiffness predict the risk of disease progression in compensated advanced chronic liver disease.
Dig Liver Dis
; 48(10): 1214-9, 2016 Oct.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-27388262
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Transient elastography has been proposed as a tool to predict the risk of decompensation in patients with chronic liver disease. We aimed to identify risk groups of disease progression, using a combination of baseline liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and its change over time (delta-LSM) in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD). METHODS: Ninety-four patients with baseline LSM ≥10kPa, Child-Pugh score 5 and without previous decompensation were included. A second LSM was performed during follow-up and data on liver function and liver-related events were collected. The primary endpoint was a composite that included death, liver decompensation and impairment in at least 1 point in Child-Pugh score. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 43.6 months, 15% of patients presented the primary endpoint. Multivariate analysis identified baseline LSM (OR 1.12, P=0.002) and delta-LSM (OR 1.02, P=0.048) as independent predictors of the primary endpoint. A high risk group represented by patients with baseline LSM ≥21kPa and delta-LSM ≥10% (risk of progression 47.1%, 95% CI: 23-71%) was identified, while patients with LSM <21kPa and delta-LSM <10% presented zero risk of progression (P=0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Simple classification rules using baseline LSM and delta-LSM identify cACLD patients at low or high risk of disease progression.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Progresión de la Enfermedad
/
Elasticidad
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Diagnóstico por Imagen de Elasticidad
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Hígado
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Hepatopatías
Tipo de estudio:
Diagnostic_studies
/
Etiology_studies
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Observational_studies
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Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Aspecto:
Patient_preference
Límite:
Aged
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Female
/
Humans
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Male
/
Middle aged
País/Región como asunto:
Europa
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Dig Liver Dis
Asunto de la revista:
GASTROENTEROLOGIA
Año:
2016
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
España
Pais de publicación:
Países Bajos