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The vulnerability of Indo-Pacific mangrove forests to sea-level rise.
Lovelock, Catherine E; Cahoon, Donald R; Friess, Daniel A; Guntenspergen, Glenn R; Krauss, Ken W; Reef, Ruth; Rogers, Kerrylee; Saunders, Megan L; Sidik, Frida; Swales, Andrew; Saintilan, Neil; Thuyen, Le Xuan; Triet, Tran.
Afiliación
  • Lovelock CE; School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia.
  • Cahoon DR; Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia.
  • Friess DA; Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, United States Geological Survey, Maryland 20708, USA.
  • Guntenspergen GR; Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, 1 Arts Link, Singapore 117570, Singapore.
  • Krauss KW; Patuxent Wildlife Research Center, United States Geological Survey, Maryland 20708, USA.
  • Reef R; National Wetlands Research Center, United States Geological Survey, Louisiana 70506, USA.
  • Rogers K; School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia.
  • Saunders ML; Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia.
  • Sidik F; Cambridge Coastal Research Unit, Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Downing Place, Cambridge CB2 3EN, UK.
  • Swales A; School of Earth and Environmental Science, University of Wollongong, Wollongong 2522, Australia.
  • Saintilan N; Global Change Institute, The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia.
  • Thuyen le X; The Institute for Marine Research and Observation, Ministry of Marine Affairs and Fisheries, Bali 82251, Indonesia.
  • Triet T; School of Biological Sciences, The University of Queensland, Brisbane 4072, Australia.
Nature ; 526(7574): 559-63, 2015 Oct 22.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26466567
Sea-level rise can threaten the long-term sustainability of coastal communities and valuable ecosystems such as coral reefs, salt marshes and mangroves. Mangrove forests have the capacity to keep pace with sea-level rise and to avoid inundation through vertical accretion of sediments, which allows them to maintain wetland soil elevations suitable for plant growth. The Indo-Pacific region holds most of the world's mangrove forests, but sediment delivery in this region is declining, owing to anthropogenic activities such as damming of rivers. This decline is of particular concern because the Indo-Pacific region is expected to have variable, but high, rates of future sea-level rise. Here we analyse recent trends in mangrove surface elevation changes across the Indo-Pacific region using data from a network of surface elevation table instruments. We find that sediment availability can enable mangrove forests to maintain rates of soil-surface elevation gain that match or exceed that of sea-level rise, but for 69 per cent of our study sites the current rate of sea-level rise exceeded the soil surface elevation gain. We also present a model based on our field data, which suggests that mangrove forests at sites with low tidal range and low sediment supply could be submerged as early as 2070.
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Agua de Mar / Bosques / Avicennia / Rhizophoraceae / Humedales / Altitud Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Idioma: En Revista: Nature Año: 2015 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Australia Pais de publicación: Reino Unido
Texto completo
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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Agua de Mar / Bosques / Avicennia / Rhizophoraceae / Humedales / Altitud Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Idioma: En Revista: Nature Año: 2015 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Australia Pais de publicación: Reino Unido