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Seasonal fluctuations of small mammal and flea communities in a Ugandan plague focus: evidence to implicate Arvicanthis niloticus and Crocidura spp. as key hosts in Yersinia pestis transmission.
Moore, Sean M; Monaghan, Andrew; Borchert, Jeff N; Mpanga, Joseph T; Atiku, Linda A; Boegler, Karen A; Montenieri, John; MacMillan, Katherine; Gage, Kenneth L; Eisen, Rebecca J.
Afiliación
  • Moore SM; National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3090 Center Green Drive, Boulder, 80301, CO, USA. smoore62@jhu.edu.
  • Monaghan A; Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 3156 Rampart Road, Fort Collins, 80522, CO, USA. smoore62@jhu.edu.
  • Borchert JN; Department of Epidemiology, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, 615 N Wolfe St, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA. smoore62@jhu.edu.
  • Mpanga JT; National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3090 Center Green Drive, Boulder, 80301, CO, USA. monaghan@ucar.edu.
  • Atiku LA; Division of Vector-Borne Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, 3156 Rampart Road, Fort Collins, 80522, CO, USA. gqx1@cdc.gov.
  • Boegler KA; Uganda Virus Research Institute, Entebbe, Uganda. joe1ug@msn.com.
  • Montenieri J; Uganda Virus Research Institute, Entebbe, Uganda. l_atikupraise@yahoo.com.
  • MacMillan K; National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3090 Center Green Drive, Boulder, 80301, CO, USA. kje5@cdc.gov.
  • Gage KL; National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3090 Center Green Drive, Boulder, 80301, CO, USA. jam3@cdc.gov.
  • Eisen RJ; National Center for Atmospheric Research, 3090 Center Green Drive, Boulder, 80301, CO, USA. macmillian.ks@gmail.com.
Parasit Vectors ; 8: 11, 2015 Jan 08.
Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25573253
BACKGROUND: The distribution of human plague risk is strongly associated with rainfall in the tropical plague foci of East Africa, but little is known about how the plague bacterium is maintained during periods between outbreaks or whether environmental drivers trigger these outbreaks. We collected small mammals and fleas over a two year period in the West Nile region of Uganda to examine how the ecological community varies seasonally in a region with areas of both high and low risk of human plague cases. METHODS: Seasonal changes in the small mammal and flea communities were examined along an elevation gradient to determine whether small mammal and flea populations exhibit differences in their response to seasonal fluctuations in precipitation, temperature, and crop harvests in areas within (above 1300 m) and outside (below 1300 m) of a model-defined plague focus. RESULTS: The abundance of two potential enzootic host species (Arvicanthis niloticus and Crocidura spp.) increased during the plague season within the plague focus, but did not show the same increase at lower elevations outside this focus. In contrast, the abundance of the domestic rat population (Rattus rattus) did not show significant seasonal fluctuations regardless of locality. Arvicanthis niloticus abundance was negatively associated with monthly precipitation at a six month lag and positively associated with current monthly temperatures, and Crocidura spp. abundance was positively associated with precipitation at a three month lag and negatively associated with current monthly temperatures. The abundance of A. niloticus and Crocidura spp. were both positively correlated with the harvest of millet and maize. CONCLUSIONS: The association between the abundance of several small mammal species and rainfall is consistent with previous models of the timing of human plague cases in relation to precipitation in the West Nile region. The seasonal increase in the abundance of key potential host species within the plague focus, but not outside of this area, suggests that changes in small mammal abundance may create favorable conditions for epizootic transmission of Y. pestis which ultimately may increase risk of human cases in this region.
Asunto(s)

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Peste / Roedores / Estaciones del Año / Musarañas / Yersinia pestis / Siphonaptera Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Límite: Animals País/Región como asunto: Africa Idioma: En Revista: Parasit Vectors Año: 2015 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Reino Unido

Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Asunto principal: Peste / Roedores / Estaciones del Año / Musarañas / Yersinia pestis / Siphonaptera Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies Límite: Animals País/Región como asunto: Africa Idioma: En Revista: Parasit Vectors Año: 2015 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Reino Unido