Development and validation of a risk score to predict the probability of postoperative vomiting in pediatric patients: the VPOP score.
Paediatr Anaesth
; 24(9): 945-52, 2014 Sep.
Article
en En
| MEDLINE
| ID: mdl-24823626
BACKGROUND: Few data are available in the literature on risk factors for postoperative vomiting (POV) in children. OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study was to establish independent risk factors for POV and to construct a pediatric specific risk score to predict POV in children. METHODS: Characteristics of 2392 children operated under general anesthesia were recorded. The dataset was randomly split into an evaluation set (n = 1761), analyzed with a multivariate analysis including logistic regression and backward stepwise procedure, and a validation set (n = 450), used to confirm the accuracy of prediction using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROCAUC ), to optimize sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS: The overall incidence of POV was 24.1%. Five independent risk factors were identified: stratified age (>3 and <6 or >13 years: adjusted OR 2.46 [95% CI 1.75-3.45]; ≥6 and ≤13 years: aOR 3.09 [95% CI 2.23-4.29]), duration of anesthesia (aOR 1.44 [95% IC 1.06-1.96]), surgery at risk (aOR 2.13 [95% IC 1.49-3.06]), predisposition to POV (aOR 1.81 [95% CI 1.43-2.31]), and multiple opioids doses (aOR 2.76 [95% CI 2.06-3.70], P < 0.001). A simplified score was created, ranging from 0 to 6 points. Respective incidences of POV were 5%, 6%, 13%, 21%, 36%, 48%, and 52% when the risk score ranged from 0 to 6. The model yielded a ROCAUC of 0.73 [95% CI 0.67-0.78] when applied to the validation dataset. CONCLUSIONS: Independent risk factors for POV were identified and used to create a new score to predict which children are at high risk of POV.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
1
Colección:
01-internacional
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
Náusea y Vómito Posoperatorios
Tipo de estudio:
Diagnostic_studies
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Etiology_studies
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Incidence_studies
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Observational_studies
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Prognostic_studies
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Risk_factors_studies
Límite:
Adolescent
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Child
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Child, preschool
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Female
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Humans
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Infant
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Male
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Newborn
País/Región como asunto:
Europa
Idioma:
En
Revista:
Paediatr Anaesth
Asunto de la revista:
ANESTESIOLOGIA
/
PEDIATRIA
Año:
2014
Tipo del documento:
Article
País de afiliación:
Francia
Pais de publicación:
Francia