Comment on "Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5°N".

Vecchi, Gabriel A; Msadek, Rym; Delworth, Thomas L; Dixon, Keith W; Guilyardi, Eric; Hawkins, Ed; Karspeck, Alicia R; Mignot, Juliette; Robson, Jon; Rosati, Anthony; Zhang, Rong

Vecchi, Gabriel A; Msadek, Rym; Delworth, Thomas L; Dixon, Keith W; Guilyardi, Eric; Hawkins, Ed; Karspeck, Alicia R; Mignot, Juliette; Robson, Jon; Rosati, Anthony; Zhang, Rong.

Afiliación

Vecchi GA; National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ 08540-6649, USA. Gabriel.A.Vecchi@noaa.gov

Science ; 338(6107): 604; author reply 604, 2012 Nov 02.

Article en En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-23118168

RESUMEN

Matei et al. (Reports, 6 January 2012, p. 76) claim to show skillful multiyear predictions of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). However, these claims are not justified, primarily because the predictions of AMOC transport do not outperform simple reference forecasts based on climatological annual cycles. Accordingly, there is no justification for the "confident" prediction of a stable AMOC through 2014.

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Texto completo: 1 Colección: 01-internacional Base de datos: MEDLINE Tipo de estudio: Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Idioma: En Revista: Science Año: 2012 Tipo del documento: Article País de afiliación: Estados Unidos Pais de publicación: Estados Unidos

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