RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Febrile neutropenia (FN) is an early indicator of infection in oncology patients post-chemotherapy. We aimed to determine clinical predictors of septic shock and/or bacteremia in pediatric cancer patients experiencing FN and to create a model that classifies patients as low-risk for these outcomes. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis with clinical data of a cohort of pediatric oncology patients admitted during July 2015 to September 2017 with FN. One FN episode per patient was randomly selected. Statistical analyses include distribution analysis, hypothesis testing, and multivariate logistic regression to determine clinical feature association with outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 865 episodes of FN occurred in 429 subjects. In the 404 sampled episodes that were analyzed, 20.8% experienced outcomes of septic shock and/or bacteremia. Gram-negative bacteria count for 70% of bacteremias. Features with statistically significant influence in predicting these outcomes were hematological malignancy (P < .001), cancer relapse (P = .011), platelet count (P = .004), and age (P = .023). The multivariate logistic regression model achieves AUROC = 0.66 (95% CI 0.56-0.76). The optimal classification threshold achieves sensitivity = 0.96, specificity = 0.33, PPV = 0.40, and NPV = 0.95. CONCLUSIONS: This model, based on simple clinical variables, can be used to identify patients at low-risk of septic shock and/or bacteremia. The model's NPV of 95% satisfies the priority to avoid discharging patients at high-risk for adverse infection outcomes. The model will require further validation on a prospective population.
Assuntos
Bacteriemia , Neutropenia Febril , Neoplasias , Choque Séptico , Criança , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Estudos Prospectivos , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/complicações , Bacteriemia/microbiologia , Neoplasias/complicações , Neoplasias/tratamento farmacológico , Neutropenia Febril/tratamento farmacológico , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To estimate the impact of the PediBIRN (Pediatric Brain Injury Research Network) 4-variable clinical decision rule (CDR) on abuse evaluations and missed abusive head trauma in pediatric intensive care settings. STUDY DESIGN: This was a cluster randomized trial. Participants included 8 pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) in US academic medical centers; PICU and child abuse physicians; and consecutive patients with acute head injures <3 years (n = 183 and n = 237, intervention vs control). PICUs were stratified by patient volumes, pair-matched, and randomized equally to intervention or control conditions. Randomization was concealed from the biostatistician. Physician-directed, cluster-level interventions included initial and booster training, access to an abusive head trauma probability calculator, and information sessions. Outcomes included "higher risk" patients evaluated thoroughly for abuse (with skeletal survey and retinal examination), potential cases of missed abusive head trauma (patients lacking either evaluation), and estimates of missed abusive head trauma (among potential cases). Group comparisons were performed using generalized linear mixed-effects models. RESULTS: Intervention physicians evaluated a greater proportion of higher risk patients thoroughly (81% vs 73%, P = .11) and had fewer potential cases of missed abusive head trauma (21% vs 32%, P = .05), although estimated cases of missed abusive head trauma did not differ (7% vs 13%, P = .22). From baseline (in previous studies) to trial, the change in higher risk patients evaluated thoroughly (67%â81% vs 78%â73%, P = .01), and potential cases of missed abusive head trauma (40%â21% vs 29%â32%, P = .003), diverged significantly. We did not identify a significant divergence in the number of estimated cases of missed abusive head trauma (15%â7% vs 11%â13%, P = .22). CONCLUSIONS: PediBIRN-4 CDR application facilitated changes in abuse evaluations that reduced potential cases of missed abusive head trauma in PICU settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT03162354.
Assuntos
Maus-Tratos Infantis , Traumatismos Craniocerebrais , Criança , Maus-Tratos Infantis/diagnóstico , Traumatismos Craniocerebrais/diagnóstico , Cuidados Críticos , Humanos , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva Pediátrica , Programas de RastreamentoRESUMO
AIM: This study developed a clinical decision rule (CDR) to rule in or rule out cystic fibrosis (CF) in the first weeks of life. METHODS: We combined a two-step nonconcurrent birth cohort and a cross-sectional controlled study in which observers and mothers were blinded to confirmatory sweat test results. Neonates from uncomplicated pregnancies and deliveries, with two subsequent tests for immunoreactive trypsinogen (IRT) higher than 70 ng/mL, were eligible to take part. RESULTS: We included 49 CF-affected and 177 CF-unaffected infants with an average age of 34 days. CF-affected infants demonstrated statistically significant differences in weight gain, stool frequency and salty tasting skin from birth. Multivariate analysis showed that the main predictors of CF were salty tasting skin (odds ratio 17.2) and weight gain of <10.5 g per day (odds ratio 4.6). Depending on the CDR score, we obtained the following results: sensitivity (42.9-61.2%), specificity (89.6-96.5%), positive (62.5-77.8%) and negative (85.6-89.1%) predictive value and positive (5.8-12.3) and negative (0.4-0.6) likelihood ratio. CONCLUSION: The CDR could provide a reliable index of clinical suspicion and timely referral for sweat testing in settings without newborn screening programmes and may also be applied to false-negative individuals where such programmes already exist.