RESUMO
BACKGROUND: Lead exposure reduces the cognitive development and future economic prospects of children. While previous studies in high-income settings have explored productivity losses associated with lead exposure, limited research has focused on low and middle-income countries like Mexico. OBJECTIVES: This study aims to provide a comprehensive assessment of the economic implications of lead exposure on Mexican children using, for the first time, nationally representative Blood Lead Levels (BLLs) measurements in children aged 1-4, specifically focusing on the costs of forgone lifetime income due to cognitive losses. METHODS: BLLs of children aged 1-4 were extracted from the 2018-2019 National Health and Nutrition Survey (ENSANUT). Estimations of cognitive losses were derived from a log-linear relationship between BLLs and IQ loss. Lost lifetime economic productivity per child was calculated, assuming a 2% reduction in lifetime potential productivity for each IQ point lost due to lead exposure, based on previous literature (Attina and Trasande, 2013; Larsen and Sánchez-Triana, 2023). Productivity data were obtained from representative sources for Mexico. RESULTS: The estimated economic loss amounted to US $33.02 billion, equivalent to 2.76% of Mexico's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in 2019 (calculated for a 1-year cohort). On a national scale, the long-term loss of cognition for children 1-4 years old is 4.14 IQ points per child due to lead exposure, with significant variability across States (range: 3.26 to 5.26). Lead-poisoned children (≥5 µg/dL) suffered an average loss of 6.42 IQ points (range: 0 to 6.97). In terms of economic impact, some States like Chiapas experienced losses of 7.08% of its GDP, while others had losses as low as 0.67%. Intriguingly, states with lower Human Development Index (HDIs) exhibited relatively higher economic losses despite lower average blood lead levels. DISCUSSION: The heterogeneous impact of lead exposure across Mexican states underscores the necessity for tailored regional policies. These findings emphasize the urgency for targeted interventions and informed policy measures to mitigate the socioeconomic consequences of lead exposure on Mexican children.
RESUMO
A total of 1338 high-yielding cows with five lactations from a large well-managed commercial dairy operation in a hot environment of northern Mexico were used to evaluate milk yield and reproductive performance of cows undergoing unplanned extended lactations (EL; > 450 days). The null hypothesis that cumulative milk yield during five consecutive lactations is the same in cows not having unplanned EL and cows with several EL was tested. All EL resulted from cows failing to become pregnant with ≥ 4 services. Cows were allocated to 1 of 6 groups according to the number of EL (EL0 for cows with no EL to EL5 for cows with 5 EL). Cumulative milk yield was highest (P < 0.01) for EL5 cows (95,499 kg) and lowest for EL0 cows (56,236 kg). Likewise, cumulative days in milk were greatest (P < 0.01) in EL5 (2968 days) and lowest in EL0 (1857 days) cows. Mean milk yield per lactation increased linearly with the increase in the number of extended lactations with a maximum of 19,099 kg of milk/lactation for EL5 cows. Mean daily milk yield/productive life was lowest (P < 0.01) for EL0 (30.2 kg) and highest for EL5 (32.1 kg). The percentage of days in milk relative to days from birth to the end of the fifth lactation was highest for EL5 (78.1%) and lowest for EL0 (59.6%), with EL2 to EL4 cows intermediate. Length of calving interval was longest (P < 0.01) for EL5 (24.7 months) and shortest for EL0 (15.5 months) cows. It was concluded that it is worthwhile maintaining high-yielding cows incapable to conceive before 230 days in milk because they did conceive again and produced considerable amounts of milk during their productive life, which substantially prolonged their permanence time in the herd.