RESUMO
PURPOSE: Cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT) has been established as an important therapy for heart failure. Mechanical dyssynchrony has the potential to predict responders to CRT. The aim of this study was to report the development and the validation of machine learning models which integrate ECG, gated SPECT MPI (GMPS), and clinical variables to predict patients' response to CRT. METHODS: This analysis included 153 patients who met criteria for CRT from a prospective cohort study. The variables were used to model predictive methods for CRT. Patients were classified as "responders" for an increase of LVEF ≥ 5% at follow-up. In a second analysis, patients were classified as "super-responders" for an increase of LVEF ≥ 15%. For ML, variable selection was applied, and Prediction Analysis of Microarrays (PAM) approach was used to model response while Naïve Bayes (NB) was used to model super-response. These ML models were compared to models obtained with guideline variables. RESULTS: PAM had AUC of 0.80 against 0.72 of partial least squares-discriminant analysis with guideline variables (p = 0.52). The sensitivity (0.86) and specificity (0.75) were better than for guideline alone, sensitivity (0.75) and specificity (0.24). Neural network with guideline variables was better than NB (AUC = 0.93 vs. 0.87) however without statistical significance (p = 0.48). Its sensitivity and specificity (1.0 and 0.75, respectively) were better than guideline alone (0.78 and 0.25, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to guideline criteria, ML methods trended toward improved CRT response and super-response prediction. GMPS was central in the acquisition of most parameters. Further studies are needed to validate the models.