RESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To examine whether presenting a 30% or a 60% chance of survival in different survival information formats would influence hypothetical periviable birth treatment choice and whether treatment choice would be associated with participants' recall or their intuitive beliefs about the chances of survival. STUDY DESIGN: An internet sample of women (n = 1052) were randomized to view a vignette with either a 30% or 60% chance of survival with intensive care during the periviable period. Participants were randomized to survival information presented as text-only, in a static pictograph, or in an iterative pictograph. Participants chose intensive care or palliative care and reported their recall of the chance of survival and their intuitive beliefs about their infant's chance of survival. RESULTS: There was no difference in treatment choice by presentation with a 30% vs 60% chance of survival (P = .48), by survival information format (P = .80), or their interaction (P = .18). However, participants' intuitive beliefs about chance of survival significantly predicted treatment choice (P < .001) and had the most explanatory power of any participant characteristic. Intuitive beliefs were optimistic and did not differ by presentation of a 30% or 60% chance of survival (P = .65), even among those with accurate recall of the chance of survival (P = .09). CONCLUSIONS: Physicians should recognize that parents may use more than outcome data to make treatment choices and in forming their own, often-optimistic, intuitive beliefs about their infant's chance of survival. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT04859114.