RESUMO
Studies have shown that larger temperature-related health impacts may be associated with cold rather than with hot temperatures. Although it remains unclear the cold-related health burden in warmer regions, in particular at the national level in Brazil. We address this gap by examining the association between low ambient temperature and daily hospital admissions for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases in Brazil between 2008 and 2018. We first applied a case time series design in combination with distributed lag non-linear modeling (DLNM) framework to assess the association of low ambient temperature with daily hospital admissions by Brazilian region. Here, we also stratified the analyses by sex, age group (15-45, 46-65, and >65 years), and cause (respiratory and cardiovascular hospital admissions). In the second stage, we performed a meta-analysis to estimate pooled effects across the Brazilian regions. Our sample included more than 23 million hospitalizations for cardiovascular and respiratory diseases nationwide between 2008 and 2018, of which 53% were admissions for respiratory diseases and 47% for cardiovascular diseases. Our findings suggest that low temperatures are associated with a relative risk of 1.17 (95% CI: 1.07; 1.27) and 1.07 (95% CI: 1.01; 1.14) for cardiovascular and respiratory admissions in Brazil, respectively. The pooled national results indicate robust positive associations for cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admissions in most of the subgroup analyses. In particular, for cardiovascular hospital admissions, men and older adults (>65 years old) were slightly more impacted by cold exposure. For respiratory admissions, the results did not indicate differences among the population groups by sex and age. This study can help decision-makers to create adaptive measures to protect public health from the effects of cold temperature.
Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares , Doenças Respiratórias , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Temperatura Baixa , Temperatura , Brasil/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , Temperatura Alta , Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Respiratórias/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Further research is needed to examine the nationwide impact of temperature on health in Brazil, a region with particular challenges related to climate conditions, environmental characteristics, and health equity. To address this gap, in this study, we looked at the relationship between high ambient temperature and hospital admissions for circulatory and respiratory diseases in 5572 Brazilian municipalities between 2008 and 2018. We used an extension of the two-stage design with a case time series to assess this relationship. In the first stage, we applied a distributed lag non-linear modeling framework to create a cross-basis function. We next applied quasi-Poisson regression models adjusted by PM2.5, O3, relative humidity, and time-varying confounders. We estimated relative risks (RRs) of the association of heat (percentile 99th) with hospitalization for circulatory and respiratory diseases by sex, age group, and Brazilian regions. In the second stage, we applied meta-analysis with random effects to estimate the national RR. Our study population includes 23,791,093 hospital admissions for cardiorespiratory diseases in Brazil between 2008 and 2018. Among those, 53.1% are respiratory diseases, and 46.9% are circulatory diseases. The robustness of the RR and the effect size varied significantly by region, sex, age group, and health outcome. Overall, our findings suggest that i) respiratory admissions had the highest RR, while circulatory admissions had inconsistent or null RR in several subgroup analyses; ii) there was a large difference in the cumulative risk ratio across regions; and iii) overall, women and the elderly population experienced the greatest impact from heat exposure. The pooled national results for the whole population (all ages and sex) suggest a relative risk of 1.29 (95% CI: 1.26; 1.32) associated with respiratory admissions. In contrast, national meta-analysis for circulatory admissions suggested robust positive associations only for people aged 15-45, 46-65, >65 years old; for men aged 15-45 years old; and women aged 15-45 and 46-65 years old. Our findings are essential for the body of scientific evidence that has assisted policymakers to promote health equity and to create adaptive measures and mitigations.
Assuntos
Temperatura Alta , Doenças Respiratórias , Masculino , Humanos , Idoso , Feminino , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Brasil/epidemiologia , Temperatura , Promoção da Saúde , Hospitalização , Doenças Respiratórias/epidemiologiaRESUMO
The established evidence associating air pollution with health is limited to populations from specific regions. Further large-scale studies in several regions worldwide are needed to support the literature to date and encourage national governments to act. Brazil is an example of these regions where little research has been performed on a large scale. To address this gap, we conducted a study looking at the relationship between daily PM2.5, NO2, and O3, and hospital admissions for circulatory and respiratory diseases across Brazil between 2008 and 2018. A time-series analytic approach was applied with a distributed lag modeling framework. We used a generalized conditional quasi-Poisson regression model to estimate relative risks (RRs) of the association of each air pollutant with the hospitalization for circulatory and respiratory diseases by sex, age group, and Brazilian regions. Our study population includes 23, 791, 093 hospital admissions for cardiorespiratory diseases in Brazil between 2008 and 2018. Among those, 53.1% are respiratory diseases, and 46.9% are circulatory diseases. Our findings suggest significant associations of ambient air pollution (PM2.5, NO2, and O3) with respiratory and circulatory hospital admissions in Brazil. The national meta-analysis for the whole population showed that for every increase of PM2.5 by 10 µg/m3, there is a 3.28% (95%CI: 2.61; 3.94) increase in the risk of hospital admission for respiratory diseases. For O3, we found positive associations only for some sub-group analyses by age and sex. For NO2, our findings suggest that a 10 ppb increase in this pollutant, there was a 35.26% (95%CI: 24.07; 46.44) increase in the risk of hospital admission for respiratory diseases. This study may better support policymakers to improve the air quality and public health in Brazil.