RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To describe the long-term neurodevelopmental and cognitive outcomes for children born preterm. STUDY DESIGN: In this retrospective cohort study, information on children born in Western Australia between 1983 and 2010 was obtained through linkage to population databases on births, deaths, and disabilities. For the purpose of this study, disability was defined as a diagnosis of intellectual disability, autism, or cerebral palsy. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the probability of disability-free survival up to age 25 years by gestational age. The effect of covariates and predicted survival was examined using parametric survival models. RESULTS: Of the 720â901 recorded live births, 12â083 children were diagnosed with disability, and 5662 died without any disability diagnosis. The estimated probability of disability-free survival to 25 years was 4.1% for those born at gestational age 22 weeks, 19.7% for those born at 23 weeks, 42.4% for those born at 24 weeks, 53.0% for those born at 25 weeks, 78.3% for those born at 28 weeks, and 97.2% for those born full term (39-41 weeks). There was substantial disparity in the predicted probability of disability-free survival for children born at all gestational ages by birth profile, with 5-year estimates of 4.9% and 10.4% among Aboriginal and Caucasian populations, respectively, born at 24-27 weeks and considered at high risk (based on low Apgar score, male sex, low sociodemographic status, and remote region of residence) and 91.2% and 93.3%, respectively, for those at low risk (ie, high Apgar score, female sex, high sociodemographic status, residence in a major city). CONCLUSIONS: Apgar score, birth weight, sex, socioeconomic status, and maternal ethnicity, in addition to gestational age, have pronounced impacts on disability-free survival.
Assuntos
Deficiências do Desenvolvimento/epidemiologia , Previsões , Recém-Nascido Prematuro , Adulto , Feminino , Seguimentos , Idade Gestacional , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Mortalidade Infantil/tendências , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Austrália Ocidental/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: To quantify the independent risks of neonatal (0-28 days), postneonatal (29-364 days), 1- to 5- and 6- to 30-year mortality by gestational age and investigate changes in survival over time in an Australian birth cohort. STUDY DESIGN: Maternal and birth related Western Australian population data (1980-2010) were linked to the state mortality data using a retrospective cohort study design involving 722 399 live-born singletons infants. RESULTS: When compared with 39- to 41-week born infants, the adjusted risk ratio for neonatal mortality was 124.8 (95% CI 102.9-151.3) for 24-31 weeks of gestation, 3.4 (95% CI 2.4-4.7) for 35-36 weeks of gestation, and 1.4 (95% CI 1.1-1.8) for 37-38 weeks of gestation. For 24-31 weeks of gestation infants, the adjusted hazard ratio for postneonatal mortality (29-364 days) was 13.9 (95% CI 10.9-17.6), for 1- to 5-year mortality 1.4 (95% CI 0.7-3.0) and for 6- to 30-year mortality 1.3 (95% CI 0.8-2.3). The risk of neonatal and postneonatal mortality for those born preterm decreased over time. CONCLUSIONS: In Western Australia, late preterm and early term infants experienced higher risk of neonatal and postneonatal mortality when compared with their full-term peers. There was insufficient evidence to show that gestational length was independently associated with mortality beyond 1 year of age. Neonatal and postneonatal mortality improved with each decade of the study period.